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Grand unified 2020 election thread

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Kepler said:
NYT drops GA back from 85% Dump to 79%. 58% in but not the big Black counties.
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I still dont get how they came up with their number when so many votes are not counted in major Dem areas. I am not saying Biden will win it but there is no way you can think a state is callable if half the vote isnt in in areas that can flip it.
 
Still only 17% of the current vote in Michigan is EV. CNN is still projecting 55% and most of Detroit still isnt in.
 
Lindsey Graham AND Mitch McConnell get re-elected? Jesus fu** are Americans stupider than dirt.
 
Handyman said:
I still dont get how they came up with their number when so many votes are not counted in major Dem areas. I am not saying Biden will win it but there is no way you can think a state is callable if half the vote isnt in in areas that can flip it.
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I assume the algorithm behind the needle takes into consideration things like which counties are reporting and what their lean is. But for various reasons (like mechanism of voting, and changes in demographic partisanship since last time) that algorithm could be flawed, and we don't know whether it can learn from 2020 results and correct itself dynamically.
 
aparch said:
Lindsey Graham AND Mitch McConnell get re-elected? Jesus fu** are Americans stupider than dirt.
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The cruelty, the racism, the abject dereliction of duty on the pandemic...a lot of truly sick, sick people in this country
 
Roughly a quarter of Iowa is in. Votes are almost entirely party line across the board thus far. Dems up with Iowa City and Cedar Rapids in, nothing from Des Moines or Waterloo yet. So I'm cautiously optimistic.
 
Um, folks… AZ is up to 77% reporting, Biden is comfortably ahead, and Maricopa Cty which is urban and suburban is exactly at 77%.

It… could… VERK!
 
Majority of Polk County just reported: Biden's up 40k in the county. Hillary won it by 27k.

50k would've been a great sign. 40k makes it closer to a tossup. Pretty much assures Axne of holding onto the seat.
 
unofan said:
Majority of Polk County just reported: Biden's up 40k in the county. Hillary won it by 27k.

50k would've been a great sign. 40k makes it closer to a tossup. Pretty much assures Axne of holding onto the seat.
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What is a Polk Cty? OH I'm guessing?
 
Kepler said:
I assume the algorithm behind the needle takes into consideration things like which counties are reporting and what their lean is. But for various reasons (like mechanism of voting, and changes in demographic partisanship since last time) that algorithm could be flawed, and we don't know whether it can learn from 2020 results and correct itself dynamically.
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Well those are great internally but they put that out publicly and I hate that crap because they often (allow me to speak in generalities for a second) dont explain that so people see it and feel it means more than it does.

Hennepin County is at 99% reported and 108% of the 2016 total. Biden still up well over 170k votes and Tina Smith is up over 200k votes.
 
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