Re: Detroit Tigers, 2009, Part III: How long does it take for Leyland to screw this up?
A lot in Granderson?!?!?!
People value this guy WAY to much because he is likeable. In reality all he is and all he ever will be is an average ball player. What do we think Granderson will hit for the Yankees next year? I'm guessing around .260/340/450. And I bet it declines every year after that. If he plays left field, is that good enough from a $10-13 million corner outfielder?
The more I think about this trade I find myself looking at this like I do my investment portfolio. This is the equivalent of presumably selling high on both Granderson and Jackson. As fans, our emotions like Granderson, just like traders like a stock. If they were companies:
Granderson Inc.
The company says things we like, has a good pr department, and was a great buy back in the days when The Maybin Co. looked like the future star. Emperically, however has not produced very much recently. The CFO is telling us that the company they projected 5 years ago, looks more like the one today than the one three years ago, but the buying public keeps buying and inflating the price. The optimum time to sell is before bond holders are asked to make a significant reinvestment.
Jackson young arm LLC
The young startup turned heads 18 months ago as an emerging markets star. A new (often mistaken for durable) arm asset wowed investors. After a fast start, the product turned a little stale, and management was not able to adapt. After exhausting the market the company stumbled to a close. There are buyers who believe that a breath of fresh air could revitalize it, but that window will fade when the newness wears off.
Those are the downsides, but that is the risk. Both of these companies are sells.
Originally posted by Terrierbyassociation
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People value this guy WAY to much because he is likeable. In reality all he is and all he ever will be is an average ball player. What do we think Granderson will hit for the Yankees next year? I'm guessing around .260/340/450. And I bet it declines every year after that. If he plays left field, is that good enough from a $10-13 million corner outfielder?
The more I think about this trade I find myself looking at this like I do my investment portfolio. This is the equivalent of presumably selling high on both Granderson and Jackson. As fans, our emotions like Granderson, just like traders like a stock. If they were companies:
Granderson Inc.
The company says things we like, has a good pr department, and was a great buy back in the days when The Maybin Co. looked like the future star. Emperically, however has not produced very much recently. The CFO is telling us that the company they projected 5 years ago, looks more like the one today than the one three years ago, but the buying public keeps buying and inflating the price. The optimum time to sell is before bond holders are asked to make a significant reinvestment.
Jackson young arm LLC
The young startup turned heads 18 months ago as an emerging markets star. A new (often mistaken for durable) arm asset wowed investors. After a fast start, the product turned a little stale, and management was not able to adapt. After exhausting the market the company stumbled to a close. There are buyers who believe that a breath of fresh air could revitalize it, but that window will fade when the newness wears off.
Those are the downsides, but that is the risk. Both of these companies are sells.
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