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2024 Elections: One Last Chance for Democracy

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  • 538 released their new model yesterday (friday)
    Code:
    As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
    College Hockey 6       College Football 0
    BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
    Originally posted by SanTropez
    May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
    Originally posted by bigblue_dl
    I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
    Originally posted by Kepler
    When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
    He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

    Comment


    • Originally posted by Kepler View Post
      538 swing states (from Harris perspective):

      Code:
      8/15 18 24
      WI +3.7 2.9 3.8
      MI +3.0 2.6 3.4
      PA +2.4 1.4 1.8
      -----------------------
      AZ +1.1 1.3 1.4
      GA +0.3 -1.0 -0.5
      NV even -1.0 0.6
      NC -0.5 -0.3 0.1
      Harris' ceiling is probably closer to 320 now.
      Code:
      As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
      College Hockey 6       College Football 0
      BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
      Originally posted by SanTropez
      May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
      Originally posted by bigblue_dl
      I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
      Originally posted by Kepler
      When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
      He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

      Comment


      • Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post

        Harris' ceiling is probably closer to 320 now.
        That is how I feel as well. No I'm not saying she will get there...but she has a lot of paths right now.

        On election night if she wins North Carolina its going to be a very good night. Hell if it is even a smidge better than Biden did there it will likely end up just like 2020.
        "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
        -aparch

        "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
        -INCH

        Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
        -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

        Comment


        • The "Never Walz" site now says Trump is a convicted felon vote for adults
          "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
          -aparch

          "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
          -INCH

          Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
          -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

          Comment


          • Issac Hayes estate making Trump come to court for using his songs, T FF
            https://www.threads.net/@isaachayes3...arVHrLhwy0JoMA
            I swear there ain't no heaven but I pray there ain't no hell.

            Maine Hockey Love it or Leave it

            Comment


            • Originally posted by Handyman View Post

              That is how I feel as well. No I'm not saying she will get there...but she has a lot of paths right now.

              On election night if she wins North Carolina it's going to be a very good night. Hell if it is even a smidge better than Biden did there it will likely end up just like 2020.
              Exactly my thoughts
              Code:
              As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
              College Hockey 6       College Football 0
              BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
              Originally posted by SanTropez
              May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
              Originally posted by bigblue_dl
              I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
              Originally posted by Kepler
              When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
              He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

              Comment


              • The Harris Campaign has announced they raised like $82 million during the convention pushing the total to $540 million since launch. After the acceptance speech they had their best fundraising hour since the first day. But the Times wants you to know that "Joy is not a strategy". (one third were first time donations)

                WaPo Fact Check: The chances they raised $540 million on the nose is highly unlikely. They probably raised $539.XX million or $540.01 million but there is almost no chance they hit that number exactly. Ruling: PANTS ON FIRE!

                (politofact would be even worse which is why I unfollowed them on socials...and dont get me started on the AP these days)
                Last edited by Handyman; 08-25-2024, 11:06 AM.
                "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                -aparch

                "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                -INCH

                Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                Comment


                • In GA Harris has 400k volunteers ready to go...that is pretty crazy!
                  "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                  -aparch

                  "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                  -INCH

                  Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                  -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                  Comment


                  • I think the Rust Belt (WI-MI-PA) is the most likely path. If she drops one of those states that's indicative of other problems, but she can recover with Sun Belt West or GA. I think NC would imply she already had won through other routes and it would be gilding the lily.

                    The problem is Dump tends to outperform the polls with uneducated whites. Either the pollsters aren't reaching them or they get out to vote for their Messiah in greater numbers than predicted. So WI-MI-PA aren't independent trials. If the margins get close that factor could flip them all, and then it's the 2016 nightmare again.
                    Cornell University
                    National Champion 1967, 1970
                    ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                    Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                    Comment


                    • Obviously Dump and the Crazy Pants part of the GOP will scream about stolen elections and other lies. But it would be really nice if the popular vote and EV count was large enough that the rest of the GOP peaced out on him and let him be dragged away to rot in prison.
                      Last edited by Kepler; 08-25-2024, 12:24 PM.
                      Cornell University
                      National Champion 1967, 1970
                      ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                      Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                      Comment


                      • Honestly I think if it is a blowout they will just yell louder. "Everyone said it will be close" will he tbe reason.

                        The GOP won't peace out until he is dead.
                        "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                        -aparch

                        "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                        -INCH

                        Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                        -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Handyman View Post
                          Honestly I think if it is a blowout they will just yell louder. "Everyone said it will be close" will he tbe reason.

                          The GOP won't peace out until he is dead.
                          Obviously. "74 million voted for Trump in 2020! No one ever had more! The 81 million that gave him the finger was AI and part of the 3am ballot dump in Wisconsin.
                          "I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites


                          Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup Champions

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by bronconick View Post

                            Obviously. "74 million voted for Trump in 2020! No one ever had more! The 81 million that gave him the finger was AI and part of the 3am ballot dump in Wisconsin.
                            Don't forget bamboo ballots from Jhina!
                            "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                            -aparch

                            "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                            -INCH

                            Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                            -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                            Comment


                            • I'm just gonna straight troll anyone that even hints at that sh*t...

                              Back to Back Election Stealing Champs baby!
                              It's never too early to start the Pre-game festivities

                              Go Cats!!! GO BLACKHAWKS!

                              Cuck the Fubs... Let's Go WHITE SOX!!!

                              Wildcat Born, Wildcat Bred....

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by RaceBoarder View Post
                                I'm just gonna straight troll anyone that even hints at that sh*t...

                                Back to Back Election Stealing Champs baby!
                                We are good at rigging elections...despite failing at everything.
                                "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                                -aparch

                                "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                                -INCH

                                Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                                -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                                Comment

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