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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

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  • Christopher Bouzy...whose model called the Senate 3 days ago...says his model has the Dems winning 219. I highly highly doubt it but he has been way closer than anyone else.
    "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
    -aparch

    "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
    -INCH

    Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
    -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

    Comment


    • EAT MY **** COCK MlTCH. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA **** YOU

      LET'S ****ING GOOOOOOOOOOOOO
      Code:
      As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
      College Hockey 6       College Football 0
      BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
      Originally posted by SanTropez
      May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
      Originally posted by bigblue_dl
      I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
      Originally posted by Kepler
      When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
      He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

      Comment


      • Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
        EAT MY **** COCK MlTCH. HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA **** YOU

        LET'S ****ING GOOOOOOOOOOOOO
        Lol epic!
        "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
        -aparch

        "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
        -INCH

        Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
        -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

        Comment


        • Originally posted by Handyman View Post
          Christopher Bouzy...whose model called the Senate 3 days ago...says his model has the Dems winning 219. I highly highly doubt it but he has been way closer than anyone else.
          I think he’s a crack pot for other reasons but I hope he’s right on this

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Deutsche Gopher Fan View Post

            I think he’s a crack pot for other reasons but I hope he’s right on this
            Oh he is definitely a few Happy Meals short of a dozen! But his model has been solid so far this cycle.

            (Better than RCP AND 538 by leaps and bounds!)
            "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
            -aparch

            "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
            -INCH

            Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
            -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

            Comment


            • So Masters won't concede until all "legal votes" are counted. Maricopa County is having none of it!

              https://twitter.com/mteeeezy/status/...EsOlNhWfw&s=19
              "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
              -aparch

              "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
              -INCH

              Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
              -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

              Comment


              • Joe Kent won't concede either...whining about cured votes. Funny they didn't care about that before...
                "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                -aparch

                "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                -INCH

                Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                Comment


                • With recounts and lawsuits coming, to deal with the Manchin Factor, and to put an exclamation point on all this, Ga is still huge. If the Senate votes all fall into place and Ds somehow reach 218 in the House, you can just take me now, Parise. It would give a nice vantage point to watch all those snot-nosed children kicking and screaming on the floor in front of the candy rack.
                  Last edited by burd; 11-13-2022, 05:49 AM.

                  Comment


                  • Originally posted by burd View Post
                    With recounts and lawsuits coming, to deal with the Manchin Factor, and to put an exclamation point on all this, Ga is still huge. If the Senate votes all fall into place and Ds somehow reach 218 in the House, you can just take me now, Parise. It would give a nice vantage point to watch all those snot-nosed children kicking and screaming on the floor in front of the candy rack.
                    I feel really, really good about the GA runoff, with the GOP bickering about 2024, plus it has to be demoralize GOP voters that they’ve already lost the Senate. It just becomes a lot easier to make excuses and be busy that day if you know your vote won’t be the reason that control was lost.
                    If you don't change the world today, how can it be any better tomorrow?

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by LynahFan View Post

                      I feel really, really good about the GA runoff, with the GOP bickering about 2024, plus it has to be demoralize GOP voters that they’ve already lost the Senate. It just becomes a lot easier to make excuses and be busy that day if you know your vote won’t be the reason that control was lost.
                      Goodf point. If Nevada holds, I wonder how many votes that would mean.

                      Comment


                      • CO8 called for D
                        FLIP

                        The odds of us holding the house and senate before the election (in my opinion and not because of the Nates) was extremely remote. I figured 50-50 and maybe -15 in the house. It felt like **** was just not breaking the way we needed it, the media was being really gross covering Fetterman*, the fact that midterms are never good for the White House**, and just a general angst feeling.

                        * And never, ever, ever forget this one. They deliberately tried to tank this man because he has a potentially temporary disability that was EXTREMELY easy to accommodate. Never forget and never let them forget.

                        ** I mean, it still wasn't great. Just objectively better than anyone in the last 100 years (W doesn't count because he convinced everyone a 747 was going to fly into their bedroom).
                        Code:
                        As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
                        College Hockey 6       College Football 0
                        BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
                        Originally posted by SanTropez
                        May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
                        Originally posted by bigblue_dl
                        I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
                        Originally posted by Kepler
                        When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
                        He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
                          CO8 called for D
                          FLIP

                          The odds of us holding the house and senate before the election (in my opinion and not because of the Nates) was extremely remote. I figured 50-50 and maybe -15 in the house. It felt like **** was just not breaking the way we needed it, the media was being really gross covering Fetterman*, the fact that midterms are never good for the White House**, and just a general angst feeling.

                          * And never, ever, ever forget this one. They deliberately tried to tank this man because he has a potentially temporary disability that was EXTREMELY easy to accommodate. Never forget and never let them forget.

                          ** I mean, it still wasn't great. Just objectively better than anyone in the last 100 years (W doesn't count because he convinced everyone a 747 was going to fly into their bedroom).
                          Considering how little they go after Walker (who is that problematic all the time) what the media did with Fetterman was ridiculous. I am not saying they should not have openly discussed his condition or been honest that he required help in his interview...but they made it sound like he was brain dead to anyone who didn't watch his interviews and debate. And some of them tried to defend it by saying "it isn't us coming up with the narrative" but:

                          A) that is a lie they flat out did come up with the narrative, they opined on it for days

                          B) even if they hadn't, they never countered any of the arguments because they are lazy hacks who were just happy to be talked about

                          And the thing is, that is just one of the egregious ways they covered all of this midterm. I could write an entire textbook on how the journalists at all the major news outlets (tv, print, blog...etc.) failed in their charter and completely violated journalistic ethics. Not all for the same reasons either. Some did it because they are plute suck ups (NYT/WaPo) some did it because they are afraid of being considered too biased towards liberals (most of the networks outside of NBC) and some did it because they suckle at the teet of their corporate fascist overlords. (NBC and CNN) Add in that apparently even the stats nerds bought in* for various reasons and the last 6 months are the perfect example of how not to cover politics in a free society.

                          And it is only going to get worse. Trump/DeSantis is going to suck the air out of the room for the next 2 years. It won't matter if the GOP wins the House, the media will make it sound like everything wrong in the world is because Biden is so divisive and his agenda is not something the people want. They will hammer his approval rating (like they did Trumps...which funny he vastly overperformed as did Biden this Midterm) and make it sound like the Dems are the reason nothing got done. Then every stumble Biden makes will be ripped to shreds while the media decides whether they like their fascism flavored orange or deep fried. They will pretend Ronny is moderate (despite his abortion stance, his fight with Di$ney, the fact he wants professors to reveal their politics openly, his anti-gay stance...etc) and Trump is a conquering hero that can't be beat and when Biden wins they will all wonder how the narratives they made up in their little corporate bubbles never came to be.

                          And the answer is simple, not one of them has the balls to actually just talk to the average voter. They are either chicken[bleep] or arrogant depending on who we are talking about. They think if they go to small town Indiana and talk to 12 people at a diner that tells them a story. It doesn't. That is lazy pandering and is like the loser in HS who writes 12 paragraphs of rambling nonsense in his research paper but figures a few lines of stats and anecdotes will be enough to get a good grade. They think if they do the bare minimum they can use lame math and lots of editorializing to fill in the context. They do no critical thinking or critical work. Hell they don't even use basic logic. A 10th grader could have figured out that in a divided country where everything seems 50/50 a "Red Wave" makes no sense...especially when the hottest issue (if you actually talk to people not machines) was ****ing ABORTION! They used to be smarter than this, they used to have better long term memory too. Remember all the special elections, the ones that showed the Dems were in better shape than they thought? Remember the Kansas Abortion vote which again showed how important that issue was? All of that was forgotten or ignored by the time October rolled around. Then it was all about how the Dems were trending downwards because of the economy (even though unemployment is at historic lows) and gas prices (which have been trending down not up) and Inflation. (which has been flat and likely to drop soon) They just assumed women stopped caring. They just assumed Dems wouldn't vote in the Midterms, and then they saw polls that agreed with their hypothesis and ran with them instead of even looking into the basics of what the polling said or how it was done. That is why for weeks non-partisans kept trying to tell them it was all wrong.

                          Ugh...sorry I really needed to rant I guess.




                          * Watching Nate Silver, RCP and Cook completely buy into the BS narratives of polls that were so obviously terrible even morons who can't do math (like me!) can figure out how lame they are was disheartening on many levels. And it isn't like this is the first time, in 2020 they did the same thing when the GOP started flooding the market with terrible polls (Jason Lewis and Tina Smith are tied!!1!1!) and the nerds bought it hook, line and sinker. They just don't get you can't quantify everything and there is no amount of weighting that can offset a completely biased and ridiculous poll. Also, people are not machines, just because they say something doesn't mean it is true, honest, or accurate. 2016 proved that in spades and yet they still circle jerk every time Rasmussen or YouGov or CBS puts out a new poll like it tells them anything of real value. It doesn't, and what we are learning is it likely never did.
                          "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                          -aparch

                          "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                          -INCH

                          Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                          -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Handyman View Post
                            Big rant....
                            One thing that really bugs me about modern news channels- they make a HUGE amount of money on political advertising. So as long as they make it close, the campaigns will be forced to spend more and more money on advertising.

                            Basically, yellow journalism (and by this I mean urine, not the color of the paper), make them a lot of money- and it's quite circular. I would not be surprised to hear that advertising rates for the last month is higher than normal.

                            Comment


                            • I just like that you quoted me as "big rant" :^D

                              I agree with you 100%!
                              "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                              -aparch

                              "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                              -INCH

                              Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                              -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by burd View Post

                                Goodf point. If Nevada holds, I wonder how many votes that would mean.
                                It takes away the national aspect from the race and makes it all about Walker, and even GOP voters there are not excited about Walker, so it sure hurts Walker. Maybe there is less urgency for Warnock too as a result, but I have to think it hurts Walker more. Plus, Warnocks voters are used to turning out a second time for him.

                                Cornell '04, Stanford '06


                                KDR

                                Rover Frenchy, Classic! Great post.
                                iwh30 I wish I could be as smart as you. I really do you are the man
                                gregg729 I just saw your sig, you do love having people revel in your "intelligence."
                                Ritt18 you are the perfect representation of your alma mater.
                                Miss Thundercat That's it, you win.
                                TBA#2 I want to kill you and dance in your blood.
                                DisplacedCornellian Hahaha. Thread over. Frenchy wins.

                                Test to see if I can add this.

                                Comment

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