2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

[unofan]

Now it's at 53-47. That's an R+17 district IIRC

First time I can recall that the Dem actually won Lancaster County (Lincoln). It normally swings blue for presidential races but that's about it.

Some of it also is likely the shift of district lines in Sarpy County (Omaha suburb) - they took some of the bluer parts out of Omaha's district and moved it here to try to keep NE-2 red and win back the associated electoral vote.

Having said that, still represents a shift left by at least 5 points, possibly more.

[dxmnkd316]

One thing, I was wrong. It was a Trump +11 in 2020. Either way. You're right uno, this is a shift of around +5, not noise. Well, it's a shift for now.

[Kepler]

5 actually is noise, though. Districts wander.

I want to see a huge shift as women abandon the Nazi party in droves, but I find it difficult to believe any woman with a brain has not already. The evidence is that white nationalism and Christofascism are both quite popular among white women, particular among the uneducated. Why would they suddenly realize the GOP wants them to be baby machines, when the GOP has screamed that at the top of its lungs for the last fifty years. Half of women, at going rates, aren't stupid, why would they not have punished them for their neofascism decades ago?

[dxmnkd316]

5 actually is noise, though. Districts wander.

(Edit: I accidentally skipped 2006. It was 58.6 - 41.64.
I didn't include 2002 because it was R vs. Libertarian)

[Jimjamesak]

(Edit: I accidentally skipped 2006. It was 58.6 - 41.64.
I didn't include 2002 because it was R vs. Libertarian)

Just guessing based on your graph but it looks like the D candidate outperformed Obama’s 2008 numbers?

[dxmnkd316]

Just guessing based on your graph but it looks like the D candidate outperformed Obama’s 2008 numbers?

Yes, but worth noting that in 2013, from my understanding, the district was redrawn. So take everything left of the line with a grain of salt. THey're real numbers, but I'm not sure how direclty they're comparable.

But it's worth noting that Lancaster County went 52.7-44.9 Biden, 46-46 Tie b/t Clinton/Trump, 49.7-48.7 Romney, 52.5-47.4 McCain

it made up something like half the votes in NE-01 special.

[unofan]

Yes, but worth noting that in 2013, from my understanding, the district was redrawn. So take everything left of the line with a grain of salt. THey're real numbers, but I'm not sure how direclty they're comparable.

But it's worth noting that Lancaster County went 52.7-44.9 Biden, 46-46 Tie b/t Clinton/Trump, 49.7-48.7 Romney, 52.5-47.4 McCain

it made up something like half the votes in NE-01 special.

Makes sense. Omaha (Douglas County) is basically its own district, with just a small portion of Sarpy County included. Lincoln is roughly half the size of Omaha.

I assume Lincoln + the rest of Sarpy County make up 60-70% of the voters in the district.

[dxmnkd316]

Makes sense. Omaha (Douglas County) is basically its own district, with just a small portion of Sarpy County included. Lincoln is roughly half the size of Omaha.

I assume Lincoln + the rest of Sarpy County make up 60-70% of the voters in the district.

Totally missed Sarpy. THought it was an extension of Cass.

Sarpy was 14k total, Lancaster was 69,500. Total overall NE-01 was 112,900 for 73% and change

Sarpy went 52.7-47.3 in favor of the GOP

[Drew S.]

I might be bad but the Republicans are worse is a tough sell https://www.boston.com/news/politics...p_featurestack

[LynahFan]

I might be bad but the Republicans are worse is a tough sell https://www.boston.com/news/politics...p_featurestack

I would proudly proclaim that the country is on the wrong track, what with SCOTUS taking control of women's bodies, allowing establishment of religion, and allowing unfettered access to weapons designed for killing humans. The nation is so far down the wrong track that certifiably insane people like MTG and Lauren Bobblehead can be elected to Congress. Congress can steal SCOTUS seats at will. Political and racial gerrymandering are now fine, affirmative action is about to die, and social security payments will soon be paid in an equivalent value of bootstraps.

Hell yes this country is headed in the wrong direction - but not one iota of that is the Democrats' fault and this opinion in no way makes the Democrats a "tough sell."

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

Please don’t quote the troll, many of us have him blocked for a reason

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

Speaking of Bobblehead, I saw she said in a speech yesterday that churches should direct the government.

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

Speaking of Bobblehead, I saw she said in a speech yesterday that churches should direct the government.

Separation of church and state was only in a stinkin letter

[walrus]

The nation is so far down the wrong track that certifiably insane people like MTG and Lauren Bobblehead can be elected to Congress. "

When you put it like that it makes perfect sense.

[RaceBoarder]

Speaking of Bobblehead, I saw she said in a speech yesterday that churches should direct the government.

Yep...

Actually thinking about it, religion seems to be a decent way to carve a few more votes away from the R's. Put an emphasis on the religious aspect. I'm sure there are a decent number of non-church folk that vote R outside of the Southeast. Not that it's an instant kill, but every vote counts.