2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

[walrus]

Some serious wishful thinking happening on CNN this morning. You have to be pretty naive not to realize racism is a net positive for Republicans in today’s America and think that voters aren’t going to hold Dems responsible for inflation and shortages. I think Republicans win governships in PA and ME with far right candidates over moderate Dems.

I doubt Lepage wins but its certainly possible if people don't get out to vote. 6 dollar fuel oil isn't going to help Mills chances even though she has nothing to do with oil prices. Golden wins 2nd district, and Pingree in 1st.

[dxmnkd316]

Subscribed.

some great posts in this thread

[Kepler]

So IIRC LePage won the first time because there was a three-way split of the ballot, but he won re-election outright, right? I see no reason he wouldn't be a threat again. Collins won, and Maine seems to be Ohioing.

[ScoobyDoo]

Lepage wins going away. The last thing Maine wants is a liberal in office.

[MissThundercat]

Here in MI, it's Whitmer vs. the Dregs of Society, including a loudmouth chiropractor, a January 6 insurrectionist, and a talking suit who blames gas prices on Whitmer.

[ericredaxe]

He won with a plurality both times. The same independent, Eliot Cutter, was on the ballot receiving something like 35% and 9% in the two times he ran. Maine also now has ranked choice voting. LePage could certainly win but certainly not going away.

[Drew S.]

So IIRC LePage won the first time because there was a three-way split of the ballot, but he won re-election outright, right? I see no reason he wouldn't be a threat again. Collins won, and Maine seems to be Ohioing.

Both times he won before he ran against very mediocre candidates. Mills is both a strong candidate and has been a good governor but the tough decisions she has had to make during Covid will hurt her. On top of that people will vote against her because of inflation even though there really isn’t much she can do. Our housing is completely out of control right now. I think the school stuff drives a lot more votes than something like abortion too.

The group of voters I’ll be interested to watch is upper middle parents in southern maine. That really is the democrats base in Maine and if some of them go with LePage Mills will be in serious trouble.

Jared Golden will be Maine’s next Senator. Myself(and likely Walrus as well) love him but he rubs the hardcore democrats the wrong way.

[bronconick]

Here in MI, it's Whitmer vs. the Dregs of Society, including a loudmouth chiropractor, a January 6 insurrectionist, and a talking suit who blames gas prices on Whitmer.

“The best way to describe [the Michigan GOP] is the Pridelands once Simba is gone and Scar and the hyenas have taken over,"
@jefftimmer
told me.

[walrus]

Lepage wins going away. The last thing Maine wants is a liberal in office.

I think he gets to 40% without a doubt but after that?? Again the wildcard is fuel prices and inflation, which I think I've been told on here neither matter.

[ScoobyDoo]

I think he gets to 40% without a doubt but after that?? Again the wildcard is fuel prices and inflation, which I think I've been told on here neither matter.

On the contrary. They matter more than anything else. That's why the Democrats continue to lose over and over and over again while Republicans always find a way to stay in power, even when they're not in power.

[dxmnkd316]

I think he gets to 40% without a doubt but after that?? Again the wildcard is fuel prices and inflation, which I think I've been told on here neither matter.

They do, but the president, much less a governor, shouldn't get credit or blame for gas prices. Only a handful of things any person can do with immediate impact and that usually involves the strategic reserves.

Anyways, back in reality, yeah, inflation and fuel are going to determine this election.

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

They do, but the president, much less a governor, shouldn't get credit or blame for gas prices. Only a handful of things any person can do with immediate impact and that usually involves the strategic reserves.

Anyways, back in reality, yeah, inflation and fuel are going to determine this election.

Rick Scott’s plan to raise taxes on everyone but the rich will really help out the voters concerned about inflation

[rufus]

Rick Scott’s plan to raise taxes on everyone but the rich will really help out the voters concerned about inflation

Sad thing is, they don't even care about that.

Even sadder thing is, most of them don't even know a thing about it.

But if a Democrat even suggests anything, like maybe half a cent tax on every share of stock sold, Oh, the horror!!!!!

[Swansong]

Sad thing is, they don't even care about that.

Even sadder thing is, most of them don't even know a thing about it.

But if a Democrat even suggests anything, like maybe half a cent tax on every share of stock sold, Oh, the horror!!!!!

Agreed. Policy doesn't matter other than cruelty.

[ScoobyDoo]

Policy Wonkiness is an instant negative for any politician. Lying to people and telling them they're going to be rich someday so Bezos needs a big taxcut always works.