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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

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  • Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post

    I wish I had loaded some of these house races but focused on getting the Senate and Governors in. Every single race is two separate queries to the website and it's a pain in the *** to setup. I should ahve done this earlier, but the problem was that I wouldn't know what formulas are incorrect until I started seeing data stream in. As it turns out, I had to spend about two hours now getting formulas fixed. NBC reports percentages as 54.2% instead of .542 which.. whatever, but I had to update half a dozen formulas for each race and then apply it to the entire worksheet. It's a pain..


    ANyways, I think we have a chance of holding the house based on Boebert alone. That's a big big big big surprise for me.
    There was a poll maybe 6 weeks ago that had it close, and it was essentially dismissed as college kids not knowing what they were doing. That being said, there are still a lot of votes left to be counted...I just have no idea who leanings those areas typically have. : )
    North Dakota
    National Champions: 1959, 1963, 1980, 1982, 1987, 1997, 2000, 2016

    Comment


    • Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post

      Florida is forever lost.

      The VA loss was one of the lowest hanging fruit. It's really good news that we held the other two. I think we could pick up some. I almost loaded the entire house into the spreadsheet but didn't want to get blocked from the data feed I'm hijacking.
      I don't think you need worry about anything that was more than a +/-5 swing. The lines are drawn. The Nazis aren't coming over to us and we're not going over to them.
      Cornell University
      National Champion 1967, 1970
      ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
      Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

      Comment


      • Mastriano loses. Good. He was an anti-Semitic MAGA fascist election denier piece of feces. PA will still have democracy in 2024.
        Cornell University
        National Champion 1967, 1970
        ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
        Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

        Comment


        • ****. bad news for Ohio. Vance gets that seat from my numbers.
          Senate Governors Sec of State
          State Reporting Needed State Reporting Needed State Reporting Needed
          AZ 39.4% -15.8% AZ 39.2% -11.1% AZ 38.7% -16.4%
          CO 75.6% -28.0% GA 92.9% 12.2% GA 90.8% 16.6%
          FL 94.1% 112.4% MI 29.2% -13.5% MN 1.4% -38.7%
          GA 92.6% -9.6% MN 1.5% -24.6% MI 26.4% -12.7%
          NV 0.0% 1.0% WI 35.0% -4.7% NV 0.0% 1.0%
          NH 19.3% -58.8% NV
          NC 92.7% 6.2% OK
          OH 88.6% 7.0% OR
          PA 74.8% -15.3% KS
          WI 34.8% 0.6%
          wa
          in
          ut
          IA 37.0% 9.1%
          Code:
          As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
          College Hockey 6       College Football 0
          BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
          Originally posted by SanTropez
          May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
          Originally posted by bigblue_dl
          I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
          Originally posted by Kepler
          When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
          He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

          Comment


          • I made a joke that the House seats would be 217-217 and everyone would be waiting for weeks for the Alaska Division of Elections to run the ranked choice calculations to find out who holds the House.
            U-A-A!!!Go!Go!GreenandGold!
            Applejack Tells You How UAA Is Doing...
            I spell Failure with UAF

            Originally posted by UAFIceAngel
            But let's be real...There are 40 some other teams and only two alaskan teams...the day one of us wins something big will be the day I transfer to UAA
            Originally posted by Doyle Woody
            Best sign by a visting Seawolf fan Friday went to a young man who held up a piece of white poster board that read: "YOU CAN'T SPELL FAILURE WITHOUT UAF."

            Comment


            • Axne is up 10k with probably 50k left to be counted. Polk County is done, so it's going to be close. Grassley is starting to pull ahead and should be called if it hasn't been already.

              2 of the other 3 house races are still close.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Kaleigh Rogers @ 538
                It’s still too early (and close) for ABC News’s Decision Desk to call, but we have a possible upset alert! Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert, the conservative firebrand representing Colorado’s 3rd District who once vowed to carry her glock in Congress and has embraced Trump’s claims that the 2020 election was stolen, is currently trailing in her reelection bid. With 71 percent of expected vote reporting, Boebert has 48 percent while her challenger, Democrat and former Aspen City Council Member Adam Frisch, leads with 52 percent. Our forecast gave Boebert a 97-in-100 chance of winning, so if Frisch can maintain his lead, it will be a surprising ouster.
                I'm feeling a bit more hopeful...at least about this district.
                North Dakota
                National Champions: 1959, 1963, 1980, 1982, 1987, 1997, 2000, 2016

                Comment


                • Someone talk me down from getting too excited about the results so far...

                  Comment


                  • Fetterman looking good.
                    Cornell University
                    National Champion 1967, 1970
                    ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                    Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                    Comment


                    • NY looking REALLY good for their house races..
                      Uncle Mickey: July 23, 1950-July 22, 2003

                      WRPI, 91.5 FM...usually color commentary.

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by psych View Post
                        Someone talk me down from getting too excited about the results so far...
                        OK well it's not GREAT. I mean the GOP will make gains in the House and almost certainly take control, which means endless idiotic hearings and impeachments.

                        Though that may help us in 2024: the GOP will have skin in the game again and won't be outsiders. Now, they won't help the nation -- they'll sabotage as the terrorists they are. BUT, they will then have a record to defend and the country may get really sick of their BS. Biden isn't Obama, it isn't going to be "pin the tail on blackie." Nobody sane doubts Biden is not trying to help the country, and having these boobs constantly running a circus won't go over as well as it did when the GOP could depend on sheer ferocious racism.

                        Also this is not over: every close election in a red state could be stolen by their SecState and Leg, and obviously the Court will be no help. We are on the path to the end of our democracy still, but it has been significantly slowed. Had the GOP been able to sneak their turd traitors in because OMG GAS PRICES!!!! we might never have had democratic elections again without an actual civil war.

                        The clock has been set back a few minutes, and remember: in the long run, they are dying. Time, like reality and ethics, is with us. This was a huge opportunity for the Nazis to destroy our democracy and they failed. They will still be garbage tomorrow morning, but, statistically, every hour, more of them die and more of us are born. The Open Society is the future of the world, let alone America. The last five centuries have been the history of us gradually winning and taking the care of humanity over from the creeps who used to abuse it. They will still try, and they are still strong, and fear and stupidity and hatred will be on their side, but we dodged a bullet it took them decades to set up.



                        Last edited by Kepler; 11-08-2022, 10:51 PM.
                        Cornell University
                        National Champion 1967, 1970
                        ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                        Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by psych View Post
                          Someone talk me down from getting too excited about the results so far...
                          Well remember GA has to be 50% or it's a runoff, with the libertarian holding the rest of the balance. If the Dems win in PA and hold serve elsewhere, they should enter the runoff with 50 seats; does things not being in the balance help the Dems or GOP?

                          Cornell '04, Stanford '06


                          KDR

                          Rover Frenchy, Classic! Great post.
                          iwh30 I wish I could be as smart as you. I really do you are the man
                          gregg729 I just saw your sig, you do love having people revel in your "intelligence."
                          Ritt18 you are the perfect representation of your alma mater.
                          Miss Thundercat That's it, you win.
                          TBA#2 I want to kill you and dance in your blood.
                          DisplacedCornellian Hahaha. Thread over. Frenchy wins.

                          Test to see if I can add this.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Kepler View Post

                            OK well it's not GREAT. I mean the GOP will make gains in the House and almost certainly take control, which means endless idiotic hearings and impeachments.

                            Though that may help us in 2024: the GOP will have skin in the game again and won't be outsiders. Now, they won't help the nation -- they'll sabotage as the terrorists they are. BUT, they will then have a record to defend and the country may get really sick of their BS. Biden isn't Obama, it isn't going to be "pin the tail on blackie." Nobody sane doubts Biden is not trying to help the country, and having these boobs constantly running a circus won't go over as well as it did when the GOP could depend on sheer ferocious racism.
                            Endless government shutdowns to look forward to.
                            U-A-A!!!Go!Go!GreenandGold!
                            Applejack Tells You How UAA Is Doing...
                            I spell Failure with UAF

                            Originally posted by UAFIceAngel
                            But let's be real...There are 40 some other teams and only two alaskan teams...the day one of us wins something big will be the day I transfer to UAA
                            Originally posted by Doyle Woody
                            Best sign by a visting Seawolf fan Friday went to a young man who held up a piece of white poster board that read: "YOU CAN'T SPELL FAILURE WITHOUT UAF."

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Fighting Sioux 23 View Post

                              Are you able to calculate the margin Frisch would need to outperform down the stretch?
                              -8.9%.
                              **** me. That was hard to do. TOtally different calculation because the feed was completely different. So, -8.9% @ 67% average county reporting is good. BUt the ones with 0% in are all moderate republican counties.
                              Code:
                              As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
                              College Hockey 6       College Football 0
                              BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
                              Originally posted by SanTropez
                              May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
                              Originally posted by bigblue_dl
                              I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
                              Originally posted by Kepler
                              When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
                              He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

                              Comment


                              • Red Wave my azz. RCP can suck it!
                                "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                                -aparch

                                "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                                -INCH

                                Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                                -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                                Comment

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