2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

[Spartanforlife4]

Per MSNBC, the hope is to have a huge ballot release in Arizona tomorrow night. About 115k are mail-in, there's another 265k that are same day drop-offs. In 2020 the drop-offs were pro-Trump, but in 2018 they were pro-Dem.

In Nevada it sounds like it could run into next week to finally get a winner.

[Spartanforlife4]

Based on the Senate race, what's keeping Lake close and what may ultimately get her the win is that there isn't a third party running for governor. Much of Masters deficit in to Kelly right now compared to Lake with Hobbs is the Libertarian.

[dxmnkd316]

Just as black women were the heroes of the 2020 election, young white males are the heroes of the 2022 election. I am not sure the Democratic party is equipped to handle that. If they are, we can finally lay this fascist scourge to bed.

Eh, I'm guessing young white females were the heroes here. White males just do what they can to get their dick wet. Let's be honest here.

[Kepler]

Just as black women were the heroes of the 2020 election, young white males are the heroes of the 2022 election. I am not sure the Democratic party is equipped to handle that. If they are, we can finally lay this fascist scourge to bed.

[dxmnkd316]

Golden has reached 50% in ME-02

That's a tough one given the odd way the counties have been reporting.

He's currently WAAAAAY up in my book.

[Handyman]

https://twitter.com/SpiroAgnewGhost/...k9gKPK_NQ&s=19

[Spartanforlife4]

Golden has reached 50% in ME-02

[Kepler]

That +58 is interesting. Evidently it is because that county has Aspen, and environmentalism is big because they know it is important to their billion dollar businesses.

The whole district is fun. MAGAtard ranchers meet Aspen skiing milliberaltards. Pretty much every person in the zone is a sh-t, just for different reasons. But if NYT and Kos are correct Frisch should eek it out. Then the recounts will begin and the crazy will go plaid.

[dxmnkd316]

One more thing that caught my eye. I'm surprised they called IA-4. It's WAY closer than is normal for a called race. Plenty of outstanding votes and the outperform is under 5%. That's MOE territory.

[dxmnkd316]

Oh, and I know I mentioned NV statewide as a disaster, but it's not even in the same galaxy as NY bad. Those stupid mother****ers cost us the house. Went from 19-8 to 15-11 all while Minnesota and Michigan took back their legislatures, defended the statewides, and held the congressional seats. Unreal. No new york politician should come within a country mile of the DNC. Just pure incompetence. Save for AOC who managed to increase her margin.

[RaceBoarder]

Eh, it's more of a richy rich, NIMBY environmentalism. They still mostly vote blue though.

Does the Roaring Fork valley have much of a permanent population nowadays?

I thought that was one of the first areas that cleared out the locals when the vacation economy moved towards it's current status in the late 90's.

[bronconick]

The courts and redistricting in New York is probably going to cost the Dems the House. Therefore, I blame Cuomo.

[state of hockey]

Eh, it's more of a richy rich, NIMBY environmentalism. They still mostly vote blue though.

Yeah that’s more believable. lol the environment yeah right.

[dxmnkd316]

8 PM Update

Big drops in AZ. Very little impact depsite what the news is saying.
Boebert's race got closer despite her deficit in actual votes going up.
Nevada's races got a tiny bit better, but only by a little. The thing that blows my mind is that the NV house races are all going D. Yet... statewide, no bueno.


Final House prediction still 217-218.

Senate				Governors				Sec of State				House
State	Reporting	Needed		State	Reporting	Needed		State	Reporting	Needed		Code	State	Reporting	Needed
AZ	80.4%	-12.6%		AZ	80.0%	-3.6%		AZ	79.1%	-11.5%			AK			D
AK	70.3%	133.2%		NV	87.5%	13.6%		NV	87.2%	2.4%		H1	AZ	75.1%	-3.2%	D
GA	93.9%	-10.9%		GA	94.1%			GA	93.0%			H2	AZ	69.9%	13.1%	R
NV	87.5%	7.3%		MI	96.1%	-106.0%		MN	94.2%	-74.5%		H4	AZ	73.4%	-26.1%	D
CO	90.5%	-40.2%		MN	94.7%	-70.3%		MI	95.9%	-131.6%		H6	AZ	81.5%	3.9%	R
NH	83.6%	-100.2%		WI	96.9%	-84.8%						H3	CA	63.2%	7.1%	R
PA	95.6%	-40.5%										H6	CA	26.6%	-7.9%	D
NC	92.3%	21.6%										H9	CA	53.0%	-10.5%	D
OH	93.7%	29.0%										H13	CA	41.6%	-0.2%	D
WI	96.9%	36.1%										H21	CA	41.1%	-5.8%	D
IA	92.7%	84.3%										H22	CA	40.8%	3.3%	R
FL	96.5%											H23	CA	37.1%	17.8%	R
												H25	CA	37.5%	-17.3%	D
												H26	CA	50.4%	-7.6%	D
												H27	CA	45.6%	14.0%	R
												H40	CA	39.2%	20.4%	R
												H41	CA	28.8%	-8.7%	D
												H45	CA	47.8%	10.4%	R
												H47	CA	59.3%	-0.7%	D
												H49	CA	59.9%	-3.4%	D
												H3	CO	94.0%	-1.1%	D
												H8	CO	81.3%	-4.1%	D
												H5	CT	96.5%	-8.4%	D
												H17	IL	92.6%	-21.2%	D
												H3	IA	90.4%	4.3%	R
												H2	ME	48.4%	-74.7%	D
												H6	MD	75.9%	-2.5%	D
												H10	MI	99.0%		R
												H1	MT	92.6%	23.0%	R
												H1	NV	85.7%	-12.4%	D
												H3	NV	87.9%	-6.3%	D
												H4	NV	80.5%	-14.4%	D
												H2	NM	92.0%	-5.6%	D
												H4	NY	92.5%	25.4%	R
												H17	NY	97.0%	27.3%	R
												H18	NY	95.6%	-7.9%	D
												H19	NY	96.1%	45.5%	R
												H22	NY	98.0%	17.1%	R
												H5	OR	70.6%	5.2%	R
												H6	OR	70.8%	-4.6%	D
												H3	WA	76.2%	-9.0%	D
												H8	WA	66.3%	-14.1%	D
												H10	WA	64.6%	-20.6%	D
												H15	CA			D
												H34	CA			D
												H37	CA			D

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

That +58 is interesting. Evidently it is because that county has Aspen, and environmentalism is big because they know it is important to their billion dollar businesses.

Eh, it's more of a richy rich, NIMBY environmentalism. They still mostly vote blue though.