Originally posted by Kepler
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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?
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He has to run cause he figures that Garland won't go after him if he's running. Presidential Immunity BS. Garland is probably going to puss out on arresting him now that the election is over because of the run-off in Georgia. Which means Dump got another month reprieve.
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Originally posted by RaceBoarder View Post
Does the Roaring Fork valley have much of a permanent population nowadays?
I thought that was one of the first areas that cleared out the locals when the vacation economy moved towards it's current status in the late 90's.
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Originally posted by burd View Post
I have a hard time seeing Dump making a serious run if he doesn't get the nom. He's too afraid of losing again, and the writing on the wall will be pretty clear if he can't even get his party's support. His only option would be to become the face of the revolution. More likely he resorts to Pout and Spout from his Fla. HQ.
It would be cool, though, to see him campaign from prison on a work-release.
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Originally posted by burd View Post
He's too afraid of losing again,
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Originally posted by RaceBoarder View Post
That's the neat part!
They stick with Trump. Trump will claim that the R system is rigged. In the process he will tick off DeSantis' people. If Dump wins the primary, DeSantis' people no-show. If Dump loses (better scenario), he runs as an indie, with every vote for him being someone who would otherwise vote R. If a state is even the SLIGHTEST bit purple, this hands it to D's.
It would be cool, though, to see him campaign from prison on a work-release.
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Originally posted by rufus View Post
But what do all the MAGAts do once the Republicans start slamming on Trumpy?
They stick with Trump. Trump will claim that the R system is rigged. In the process he will tick off DeSantis' people. If Dump wins the primary, DeSantis' people no-show. If Dump loses (better scenario), he runs as an indie, with every vote for him being someone who would otherwise vote R. If a state is even the SLIGHTEST bit purple, this hands it to D's.
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Originally posted by Swansong View PostMoulton tripped out of the gate by trying to oust Pelosi as a rookie back bencher, and she punished him for it.
Hopefully, when Pelosi retires, if Moulton is still in Congress he can move forward again.
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Originally posted by rufus View Post
But what do all the MAGAts do once the Republicans start slamming on Trumpy?- Trump cultists. These people largely don't vote and if they do, only for Trump. The biggest mistake the GQP ever paid was to embrace these trolls and rely on them, because they will not follow the party onto the next guy. Further, they're usually so odious that they drive away that big squishy middle that both parties need.
- Non-Trumpist bullies. Ben Shapiro. Ron DeSantis. Greg Abbott. And their voters (like much of my family). These people likely despise Trump personally but will cognitive-dissonance themselves into dismissing all the problems with Trump-the-person because they like the result. Give them a Ron DeSantis or someone else who does basically the same thing but minus the TRUMP and they'll jump in a heartbeat.
The questions to me are:- Who will win in a primary series?
- What will Trump do if he doesn't win?
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Moulton tripped out of the gate by trying to oust Pelosi as a rookie back bencher, and she punished him for it.
Hopefully, when Pelosi retires, if Moulton is still in Congress he can move forward again.
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So the response from GOP pundits who had a red trickle over the tsunami has been to
1. Raise the voting age to 21 and
2. Find unmarried women that voted 68% Dem and "put a ring on it."
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Originally posted by Drew S. View Post
Seth Moulton seems much better on paper than in reality. He always comes across really phony and unlikable to me.
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Originally posted by ericredaxe View Post
I like Abrams, but she is 0 for 2 in a swing state that Democrats will need to win (especially if Florida continues trending red). Fetterman I'd like to hear more from (and ensure his health is ok) before putting him at the top of the ticket. Possible options that come to mind might be Roy Cooper, Jared Polis. Gavin Newsom seems to be positioning himself for a run at some point. I've also been a big fan of Seth Moulton for some time.... would love to see him take another run. I'm also still a Kamala fan.
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Morning update:
CCM tightens her race a bit but the governor's race gets wider.
NV's house races are all still looking good.
Porter's race gets a hair better for her.
CA-45 also got a bit bluer.
We've got to be getting close to a called race in AZ senate
Final project still stands at 217-218
Senate Governors Sec of State House State Reporting Needed State Reporting Needed State Reporting Needed Code State Reporting Needed AZ 80.4% -12.6% AZ 80.0% -3.6% AZ 79.1% -11.5% AK D AK 70.3% 133.2% NV 90.4% 13.9% NV 90.2% 0.3% H1 AZ 75.1% -3.2% D GA 93.9% -10.9% GA 94.1% GA 93.0% H2 AZ 69.9% R NV 90.5% 6.2% MI 96.1% MN 94.2% H4 AZ 73.4% -26.1% D CO 90.5% MN 94.7% MI 95.9% H6 AZ 81.5% 3.9% R NH 83.6% WI 96.9% H3 CA 63.2% 7.1% R PA 95.6% H6 CA 26.6% -7.9% D NC 92.3% H9 CA 53.0% -10.5% D OH 93.7% H13 CA 41.6% -0.2% D WI 96.9% H21 CA 41.1% -5.8% D IA 92.7% H22 CA 40.8% 3.3% R FL 96.5% H23 CA 37.1% R H25 CA 39.4% -17.7% D H26 CA 50.4% -7.6% D H27 CA 45.6% 14.0% R H40 CA 39.7% R H41 CA 28.8% -8.7% D H45 CA 48.9% 10.2% R H47 CA 60.3% -1.2% D H49 CA 60.4% -3.6% D H3 CO 94.1% -0.7% D H8 CO 84.2% -4.5% D H5 CT 96.5% -8.4% D H17 IL 92.6% -21.2% D H3 IA 90.4% 4.3% R H2 ME 48.4% -74.7% D H6 MD 75.9% -2.5% D H10 MI 99.0% R H1 MT 93.5% 30.0% R H1 NV 85.7% -12.4% D H3 NV 87.9% -6.3% D H4 NV 83.8% -13.7% D H2 NM 92.0% -5.6% D H4 NY 92.5% R H17 NY 97.0% R H18 NY 95.6% -7.9% D H19 NY 96.1% R H22 NY 98.0% 17.1% R H5 OR 70.6% 5.2% R H6 OR 73.7% -4.9% D H3 WA 78.2% -9.0% D H8 WA 67.4% -14.3% D H10 WA 65.7% -21.7% D H15 CA D H34 CA D H37 CA D
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