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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

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  • burd
    replied
    Originally posted by RaceBoarder View Post

    That's the neat part!

    They stick with Trump. Trump will claim that the R system is rigged. In the process he will tick off DeSantis' people. If Dump wins the primary, DeSantis' people no-show. If Dump loses (better scenario), he runs as an indie, with every vote for him being someone who would otherwise vote R. If a state is even the SLIGHTEST bit purple, this hands it to D's.
    I have a hard time seeing Dump making a serious run if he doesn't get the nom. He's too afraid of losing again, and the writing on the wall will be pretty clear if he can't even get his party's support. His only option would be to become the face of the revolution. More likely he resorts to Pout and Spout from his Fla. HQ.

    It would be cool, though, to see him campaign from prison on a work-release.

    Leave a comment:


  • RaceBoarder
    replied
    Originally posted by rufus View Post

    But what do all the MAGAts do once the Republicans start slamming on Trumpy?
    That's the neat part!

    They stick with Trump. Trump will claim that the R system is rigged. In the process he will tick off DeSantis' people. If Dump wins the primary, DeSantis' people no-show. If Dump loses (better scenario), he runs as an indie, with every vote for him being someone who would otherwise vote R. If a state is even the SLIGHTEST bit purple, this hands it to D's.

    Leave a comment:


  • dxmnkd316
    replied
    Originally posted by Swansong View Post
    Moulton tripped out of the gate by trying to oust Pelosi as a rookie back bencher, and she punished him for it.

    Hopefully, when Pelosi retires, if Moulton is still in Congress he can move forward again.
    It wasn't just that, remember that he was one of the dumbfucks who flew to Afghanistan without authorization durign the evacuation last year? This moron shouldn't be anywhere near a leadership position.

    Leave a comment:


  • Swansong
    replied
    Originally posted by rufus View Post

    But what do all the MAGAts do once the Republicans start slamming on Trumpy?
    I think there are two distinct kinds of MAGA Chuds.
    • Trump cultists. These people largely don't vote and if they do, only for Trump. The biggest mistake the GQP ever paid was to embrace these trolls and rely on them, because they will not follow the party onto the next guy. Further, they're usually so odious that they drive away that big squishy middle that both parties need.
    • Non-Trumpist bullies. Ben Shapiro. Ron DeSantis. Greg Abbott. And their voters (like much of my family). These people likely despise Trump personally but will cognitive-dissonance themselves into dismissing all the problems with Trump-the-person because they like the result. Give them a Ron DeSantis or someone else who does basically the same thing but minus the TRUMP and they'll jump in a heartbeat.

    The questions to me are:
    1. Who will win in a primary series?
    2. What will Trump do if he doesn't win?

    Leave a comment:


  • Swansong
    replied
    Moulton tripped out of the gate by trying to oust Pelosi as a rookie back bencher, and she punished him for it.

    Hopefully, when Pelosi retires, if Moulton is still in Congress he can move forward again.

    Leave a comment:


  • bronconick
    replied
    So the response from GOP pundits who had a red trickle over the tsunami has been to

    1. Raise the voting age to 21 and
    2. Find unmarried women that voted 68% Dem and "put a ring on it."

    Leave a comment:


  • rufus
    replied
    Originally posted by RaceBoarder View Post

    Reality is setting in and they realize there is no path forward...

    Of course Dumpy doesn't realize this.
    But what do all the MAGAts do once the Republicans start slamming on Trumpy?

    Leave a comment:


  • ericredaxe
    replied
    Originally posted by Drew S. View Post

    Seth Moulton seems much better on paper than in reality. He always comes across really phony and unlikable to me.
    Really? My impression is the exact opposite. He seems super genuine and very likable to me.

    Leave a comment:


  • Drew S.
    replied
    Originally posted by ericredaxe View Post

    I like Abrams, but she is 0 for 2 in a swing state that Democrats will need to win (especially if Florida continues trending red). Fetterman I'd like to hear more from (and ensure his health is ok) before putting him at the top of the ticket. Possible options that come to mind might be Roy Cooper, Jared Polis. Gavin Newsom seems to be positioning himself for a run at some point. I've also been a big fan of Seth Moulton for some time.... would love to see him take another run. I'm also still a Kamala fan.
    Seth Moulton seems much better on paper than in reality. He always comes across really phony and unlikable to me.

    Leave a comment:


  • dxmnkd316
    replied
    Morning update:

    CCM tightens her race a bit but the governor's race gets wider.
    NV's house races are all still looking good.
    Porter's race gets a hair better for her.

    CA-45 also got a bit bluer.
    We've got to be getting close to a called race in AZ senate

    Final project still stands at 217-218

    Senate Governors Sec of State House
    State Reporting Needed State Reporting Needed State Reporting Needed Code State Reporting Needed
    AZ 80.4% -12.6% AZ 80.0% -3.6% AZ 79.1% -11.5% AK D
    AK 70.3% 133.2% NV 90.4% 13.9% NV 90.2% 0.3% H1 AZ 75.1% -3.2% D
    GA 93.9% -10.9% GA 94.1% GA 93.0% H2 AZ 69.9% R
    NV 90.5% 6.2% MI 96.1% MN 94.2% H4 AZ 73.4% -26.1% D
    CO 90.5% MN 94.7% MI 95.9% H6 AZ 81.5% 3.9% R
    NH 83.6% WI 96.9% H3 CA 63.2% 7.1% R
    PA 95.6% H6 CA 26.6% -7.9% D
    NC 92.3% H9 CA 53.0% -10.5% D
    OH 93.7% H13 CA 41.6% -0.2% D
    WI 96.9% H21 CA 41.1% -5.8% D
    IA 92.7% H22 CA 40.8% 3.3% R
    FL 96.5% H23 CA 37.1% R
    H25 CA 39.4% -17.7% D
    H26 CA 50.4% -7.6% D
    H27 CA 45.6% 14.0% R
    H40 CA 39.7% R
    H41 CA 28.8% -8.7% D
    H45 CA 48.9% 10.2% R
    H47 CA 60.3% -1.2% D
    H49 CA 60.4% -3.6% D
    H3 CO 94.1% -0.7% D
    H8 CO 84.2% -4.5% D
    H5 CT 96.5% -8.4% D
    H17 IL 92.6% -21.2% D
    H3 IA 90.4% 4.3% R
    H2 ME 48.4% -74.7% D
    H6 MD 75.9% -2.5% D
    H10 MI 99.0% R
    H1 MT 93.5% 30.0% R
    H1 NV 85.7% -12.4% D
    H3 NV 87.9% -6.3% D
    H4 NV 83.8% -13.7% D
    H2 NM 92.0% -5.6% D
    H4 NY 92.5% R
    H17 NY 97.0% R
    H18 NY 95.6% -7.9% D
    H19 NY 96.1% R
    H22 NY 98.0% 17.1% R
    H5 OR 70.6% 5.2% R
    H6 OR 73.7% -4.9% D
    H3 WA 78.2% -9.0% D
    H8 WA 67.4% -14.3% D
    H10 WA 65.7% -21.7% D
    H15 CA D
    H34 CA D
    H37 CA D

    Leave a comment:


  • ScoobyDoo
    replied
    We need to continue to fight the Nazi's. Elaine Luria lost her race in Virginia. Very disappointed in that race as well.

    Washington, D.C. — Speaker Nancy Pelosi issued this statement on the election result in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District:
    “Congresswoman Elaine Luria is a patriot, whose determination to defend our Democracy has earned the respect of her colleagues and so many across the country.
    “After two decades of distinguished leadership in the United States Navy, she again stepped forward to serve her nation in the House of Representatives. Her military expertise has been an invaluable asset to our Caucus and the Congress: from the Armed Services Committee, where she served as Vice Chair, to the Veterans Affairs and Homeland Security Committees. In the wake of the staggering January 6th attack, she inspired all freedom-loving Americans with her principled, bipartisan and unifying work to protect our precious Democracy on the Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack.
    “While Congresswoman Luria will be sorely missed by her colleagues in the Congress, we aredeeply grateful for her distinguished service to our nation. On behalf of House Democrats, we wish her, her husband Robert and her daughter Violette the best in their next chapter.”
    https://www.speaker.gov/newsroom/11922-2

    We need people like her in leadership. Virginia made a glaring mistake in rejecting her.





    Leave a comment:


  • ScoobyDoo
    replied
    Originally posted by psych View Post
    Ralston, Nevada election expert, thinks Cortez Masto is going to win. Said there's plenty of mail-in ballots left in Clark that she's currently winning at almost 2-1 margin; even if that drops to 55-35, she pulls ahead with rural voting spent.
    If this is true it would make my day.

    Leave a comment:


  • ericredaxe
    replied
    Originally posted by Kepler View Post

    Dr. Mrs. and I had a long talk about this in the shower because hey that's what we do in the shower nowadays.

    BLUF: If Dump runs, as he almost positively will to try to avoid the electric chair, then it has to be Biden/Harris again, no way around it. But if Dump doesn't run or somehow the DOJ descends from its self-appointed place outside of history and time and reality and actually indicts the motherfucker, and if Biden decides not to run, then I would like to see Fetterman take a run at the ring and if he grabs it then a Fetterman/Abrams ticket.

    And outside of Biden I don't think I ever want to see another Dem under my present age (59.75 if you're scoring at home) in leadership. And in strategy I would skip GenX entirely and just use Millennials for strategy leadership and Gen Z's for foot soldiers to start building a bench. Virtually the entire composition of the party who entered prior to 2020 are compromised by the defeatism of the Boomers in general and the coopted cynicism of the Clintonistas and even the Obalmers. Time to dust my broom and sweep them all out.
    I like Abrams, but she is 0 for 2 in a swing state that Democrats will need to win (especially if Florida continues trending red). Fetterman I'd like to hear more from (and ensure his health is ok) before putting him at the top of the ticket. Possible options that come to mind might be Roy Cooper, Jared Polis. Gavin Newsom seems to be positioning himself for a run at some point. I've also been a big fan of Seth Moulton for some time.... would love to see him take another run. I'm also still a Kamala fan.
    Last edited by ericredaxe; 11-10-2022, 08:40 AM.

    Leave a comment:


  • RaceBoarder
    replied
    Originally posted by aparch View Post
    Paul Ryan does soul searching, finds balls, says what we've said for six years...
    Reality is setting in and they realize there is no path forward...

    Of course Dumpy doesn't realize this.

    Leave a comment:


  • aparch
    replied
    Paul Ryan does soul searching, finds balls, says what we've said for six years...

    Leave a comment:

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