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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

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  • Handyman
    replied
    Originally posted by Kepler View Post

    This might be the most important election result in American history, as it was a direct contest between democracy and authoritarianism.

    We give the electorate a lot of grief, deservedly. But let's give it a big hand. We kept it, Ben. At least for 2 more years.
    Agreed! I was more worried about that than The House or Senate. The States was where the skullfuck would start!

    This kind of reminds me of when Howard Dean was chair of the party. The 50 state solution...win in the down ballot races and build from there. The GOP was good at that before Trump.

    Leave a comment:


  • Kepler
    replied
    Originally posted by psych View Post
    but more importantly for us nationally, Masto is likely going to win.
    Hugely important.

    Leave a comment:


  • psych
    replied
    Arizona looks to be in the bag for Democrats. Late voting is swinging D like 2018, not R like 2020. I think Dem incumbent Gov Sisolak in Nevada is going to fall just short though, but more importantly for us nationally, Masto is likely going to win.

    Leave a comment:


  • Kepler
    replied
    If I am reading the AZ results correctly, we shall have swept statewide.

    Leave a comment:


  • Kepler
    replied
    If Finchem loses in AZ - down by 109k votes rn - every "America First" SecState candidate will have lost.
    This might be the most important election result in American history, as it was a direct contest between democracy and authoritarianism.

    We give the electorate a lot of grief, deservedly. But let's give it a big hand. We kept it, Ben. At least for 2 more years.

    Leave a comment:


  • Handyman
    replied
    https://twitter.com/Redistrict/statu...44022939717633

    I've seen enough: Sen. Mark Kelly (D) wins reelection in #AZSEN, defeating Blake Masters (R).
    edit: Also from 11/10...

    https://twitter.com/Redistrict/statu...93791576358912

    After last night's NV mail ballot trend, excellent chance now that Dems will have 50 Senate seats/control in hand heading into the GA runoff.
    Now I have been giving Cook all sorts of crap lately but I always trust Wasserman.
    Last edited by Handyman; 11-11-2022, 03:28 AM.

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  • Handyman
    replied
    Originally posted by Spartanforlife4 View Post

    Since it's in recount range they may just leave it as too close to call, but I think at this point almost all the stragglers will have to be Frisch.
    I'm not gonna lie, they seem to think that is the case.

    Leave a comment:


  • Spartanforlife4
    replied
    Originally posted by Handyman View Post

    Apparently they disagree...we won't find out until next week.
    Since it's in recount range they may just leave it as too close to call, but I think at this point almost all the stragglers will have to be Frisch.

    Leave a comment:


  • Handyman
    replied
    https://twitter.com/daveweigel/statu...obnqe8GgA&s=19

    Tonight's ballots from Washoe County pushed Democrat Cisco Aguilar into a lead over GOP Secretary of State candidate Jim Marchant, which will hold.
    If Finchem loses in AZ - down by 109k votes rn - every "America First" SecState candidate will have lost.
    Also interesting info: https://twitter.com/AJentleson/statu...zjM1G4B1A&s=19

    New data dive finds the PA debate HELPED Fetterman. This is what we said at the time. But many reporters were uncomfortable seeing a man struggle so they bought Oz’s spin. Actual voters, who understand struggle more than most political reporters, had a much different reaction.
    Last edited by Handyman; 11-11-2022, 12:04 AM.

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  • Handyman
    replied
    Originally posted by Spartanforlife4 View Post

    And it only netted him 14 votes. This one is done.
    Apparently they disagree...we won't find out until next week.

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  • Handyman
    replied
    Originally posted by Spartanforlife4 View Post
    19k came in from Washoe (Reno). Cortez Masto gained another 3k. Deficit is now down to 9k.

    Laxalt keeps talking about how there are plenty of rural counties left, but even if those results come in are increasing his lead when they come in, they're by a smaller rate than the in-person, letting Cortez Masto to tread water waiting for Clark. He also keeps referencing Washoe like it's giving him an advantage, but ever since the mail-in ballots started it's turned blue.
    https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/15...611781632?s=19

    A big new gain for Cortez Masto in Washoe.


    She wins a batch of 18K by a strong 25%. Nets 4617 votes.She now trails statewide by 8054 votes.


    This was less than half of what's left in Washoe, plus roughly 3 x as many ballots are left in Clark County. As well as some red rurals.
    To back up your point and the constant optimism.

    Leave a comment:


  • Spartanforlife4
    replied
    Originally posted by Spartanforlife4 View Post
    Per the reporter from Pueblo County, there should be around 3k votes reported tonight.

    https://twitter.com/annalynnfrey/sta...DQ7duTiZQsAAAA
    And it only netted him 14 votes. This one is done.

    Leave a comment:


  • Spartanforlife4
    replied
    Per the reporter from Pueblo County, there should be around 3k votes reported tonight.

    https://twitter.com/annalynnfrey/sta...DQ7duTiZQsAAAA

    Leave a comment:


  • Spartanforlife4
    replied
    19k came in from Washoe (Reno). Cortez Masto gained another 3k. Deficit is now down to 9k.

    Laxalt keeps talking about how there are plenty of rural counties left, but even if those results come in are increasing his lead when they come in, they're by a smaller rate than the in-person, letting Cortez Masto to tread water waiting for Clark. He also keeps referencing Washoe like it's giving him an advantage, but ever since the mail-in ballots started it's turned blue.

    Leave a comment:


  • ericredaxe
    replied
    Originally posted by bronconick View Post
    Another 12k in Clark County today. 7400-4100 for Cortez. Laxalt's lead down to 12,671
    17ish-k more just came in from Washoe county 11000 -6500 for Cortez.

    laxalts lead down to 8k
    Last edited by ericredaxe; 11-10-2022, 11:04 PM.

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