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2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

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  • dxmnkd316
    replied
    Originally posted by burd View Post
    As far as actual voting goes (and not just party identification for purposes of committee work and control of bill flow), as long as Manchin is there the numbers are skewed (by 2--one more R, one fewer D), aren't they?
    Kinda sorta. I guess I look at it as an increasing or decreasing leverage situation. Sometimes one vote is high leverage, other times it's not. It's easier to pick off one vote than two. Sinema and Manchin can't provide each other cover as effectively when it's 51-49 and not 52-48.

    But, the one person holding out could extract a LOT more from the Dems if he or she wanted to.

    Leave a comment:


  • state of hockey
    replied
    Originally posted by burd View Post
    As far as actual voting goes (and not just party identification for purposes of committee work and control of bill flow), as long as Manchin is there the numbers are skewed (by 2--one more R, one fewer D), aren't they?
    This is why Warnock finding a way to win the runoff is important. Make it 51-49. Manchin can pull his crap just for Harris to make it pointless. Still have Sinema to deal with though.

    Leave a comment:


  • burd
    replied
    As far as actual voting goes (and not just party identification for purposes of committee work and control of bill flow), as long as Manchin is there the numbers are skewed (by 2--one more R, one fewer D), aren't they?
    Last edited by burd; 11-12-2022, 11:25 AM.

    Leave a comment:


  • dxmnkd316
    replied
    AZ6 not looking as tough with the updates. CA13 is very very tight. CA22 is as tight but in favor of the R. CA41 is tighter yet. I think the house is well within play.'

    I almost (ALMOST) don't want us to win the house. Easier to play from 1 behind than 1 ahead. Plus it gives the Dems a foil in 2024.

    Senate Governors Sec of State House
    State Reporting Needed State Reporting Needed State Reporting Needed Code State Reporting Needed
    AZ 89.0% -19.7% AZ 88.8% -6.8% AZ 88.3% -18.0% AK
    AK 70.3% 133.2% NV 93.8% 21.5% NV 93.6% -12.3% H1 AZ 85.1% -4.4%
    GA 93.9% -10.9% GA 94.1% GA 93.0% H2 AZ 76.4% 27.0%
    NV 93.8% 1.5% MI 96.1% MN 94.2% H4 AZ 82.8% -41.5%
    CO 90.5% MN 94.7% MI 95.9% H6 AZ 89.6% 2.0%
    NH 83.6% WI 96.9% H3 CA 69.8% 7.1%
    PA 95.6% H6 CA 38.7% -10.1%
    NC 92.3% H9 CA 56.8% -10.6%
    OH 93.7% H13 CA 47.2% -0.6%
    WI 96.9% H21 CA 48.5% -8.6%
    IA 92.7% H22 CA 51.3% 2.5%
    FL 96.5% H23 CA 44.0% 18.4%
    H25 CA 48.7% -17.2%
    H26 CA 58.4% -9.5%
    H27 CA 52.4% 12.6%
    H40 CA 50.2% 23.6%
    H41 CA 47.8% 1.2%
    H45 CA 56.0% 9.7%
    H47 CA 69.0% -3.8%
    H49 CA 71.6% -8.0%
    H3 CO 95.3% 4.4%
    H8 CO 93.0% -1.5%
    H5 CT 96.5% -8.9%
    H17 IL 92.6% -21.2%
    H3 IA 90.4% 4.3%
    H2 ME 64.9% -56.6%
    H6 MD 94.7% -24.5%
    H10 MI 99.0%
    H1 MT 93.5% 30.0%
    H1 NV 94.3% -43.5%
    H3 NV 94.5% -28.4%
    H4 NV 94.8% -35.1%
    H2 NM 92.0% -5.6%
    H4 NY 93.1%
    H17 NY 97.3%
    H18 NY 95.7% -8.0%
    H19 NY 96.1%
    H22 NY 96.0% 15.0%
    H5 OR 75.8% 5.9%
    H6 OR 80.9% -7.2%
    H3 WA 91.0% -10.8%
    H8 WA 90.2% -62.4%
    H10 WA 76.4% -32.8%

    Leave a comment:


  • dxmnkd316
    replied
    Originally posted by Handyman View Post
    Well I believe WA03 is looking good and everyone seems confident in at least one of the AZ ones.
    Haven't updated yet but I like us in AZ1 and WA3. The rest are tough.

    AZ6 and CA22 are going to be reaaally tough outs

    Leave a comment:


  • Handyman
    replied
    Well I believe WA03 is looking good and everyone seems confident in at least one of the AZ ones.

    Leave a comment:


  • bronconick
    replied

    Dave Wasserman

    @Redistrict
    New House math:
    Dem called/likely (212), incl. #AKAL, #CA09, #CA21, #CA47, #CA49, #CO08, #ME02, #OR06
    GOP called/likely (217): incl. #CA03, #CA27, #CA45, #CO03, #NY22, #OR05
    Toss Ups (6): #AZ01, #AZ06, #CA13, #CA22, #CA41, #WA03 Dems need to run the table on Toss Ups for 218.

    Leave a comment:


  • jericho
    replied
    Originally posted by Handyman View Post
    Trump Is claiming that the election was stolen from Blake Masters...oh and Laxalt.

    Edit: I should say he said "The Electron" was stolen.

    https://twitter.com/ddale8/status/15...o3Q7nQVdQ&s=19

    Maybe he really did have people keeping an ion the election.

    Leave a comment:


  • dxmnkd316
    replied
    Originally posted by Handyman View Post

    Isn't it ionic...
    And after allllllllllllllll
    im you're van der waaaaals

    Leave a comment:


  • Handyman
    replied
    Originally posted by French Rage View Post

    When asked if he was sure, he said "I'm positive".








    Tip your servers.
    Isn't it ionic...

    Leave a comment:


  • Handyman
    replied
    https://twitter.com/s_golonka/status...uiYQnlUeA&s=19

    In a new batch of 2.6k ballots counted in Republican-leaning Carson City, here are the #nvsen results:
    - Cortez Masto received 1.19k votes (46 percent)
    - Laxalt received 1.23k votes (48 percent)

    This increases Laxalt’s statewide lead from 821 votes to 862 votes.
    that is not good for Laxalt at all. The next Clark batch is gonna kill him.

    Leave a comment:


  • state of hockey
    replied
    Originally posted by Handyman View Post
    Edit: I should say he said "The Electron" was stolen.
    He’s just being salty.

    Leave a comment:


  • French Rage
    replied
    Originally posted by Handyman View Post
    Trump Is claiming that the election was stolen from Blake Masters...oh and Laxalt.

    Edit: I should say he said "The Electron" was stolen.

    https://twitter.com/ddale8/status/15...o3Q7nQVdQ&s=19
    When asked if he was sure, he said "I'm positive".








    Tip your servers.

    Leave a comment:


  • French Rage
    replied
    "Why does it take so long to count the ballots? This is a conspiracy!", asks party who wanted to delay counting mailed-in ballots until election day and then added seventeen different rounds of signature and date verification under the watchful eye of thirty different poll watchers, all of whom got an entire hour of "training" and are definitely there with the best intentions of making sure things go smoothly.

    Leave a comment:


  • Handyman
    replied
    Trump Is claiming that the election was stolen from Blake Masters...oh and Laxalt.

    Edit: I should say he said "The Electron" was stolen.

    https://twitter.com/ddale8/status/15...o3Q7nQVdQ&s=19
    Last edited by Handyman; 11-12-2022, 12:15 AM.

    Leave a comment:

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