2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

[ScoobyDoo]

The seat is actually more important than we think. Democrats get a little bit more power at 51-50 and any power is a good thing at this point.

[burd]

The seat is actually more important than we think. Democrats get a little bit more power at 51-50 and any power is a good thing at this point.

True.

Just as the realization that over 60 million people supported Dump was as frightening as the man himself, the fact that Walker is so competitive, despite his obvious incompetence, is far more frightening than the fool himself. Georgia has proven herself, but that is some scary shyt down in that part of the woods.

[rufus]

He's one of the tribe, all that matters.

[LynahFan]

The seat is actually more important than we think. Democrats get a little bit more power at 51-50 and any power is a good thing at this point.

Oh, absolutely. It means that Dems only have to buy off one of Manchin or Sienema, let the other vote no, and Kamala still breaks the tie. It’s a whole different ballgame when the Dems only need one of them and not both.

[Handyman]

Plus no deal for committees the Dems would have legit control.

[Kepler]

Plus no deal for committees the Dems would have legit control.

This. More important than folks realize.

[psych]

This. More important than folks realize.

I remember posting a couple things last year about the importance of 51/49 versus 50/50. One post I think was about the Senate Parliamentarian ruling that a majority of the Senate Budget Committee had to vote to revise budget resolutions multiple times per year (read: one extra budget reconciliation bill in 2021), since such a resolution wasn't allowed to be automatically discharged to the Senate floor. Since no GOP member would ever vote to advance one (partisan) budget reconciliation bill, much less more than one in one year, the opportunity for that third budget reconciliation died with the 50/50 chamber (Manchin killed the second budget reconciliation bill late last year anyways, but I digress). The second post was along the lines of the importance of 51/49 complete control of committees while rendering Manchin less important. Blind squirrels and nuts and all, and I certainly don't expect anyone to remember what I posted 18 minutes ago, much less 18 months ago, but we're in on this one together.

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

Oh, absolutely. It means that Dems only have to buy off one of Manchin or Sienema, let the other vote no, and Kamala still breaks the tie. It’s a whole different ballgame when the Dems only need one of them and not both.

This. 51-49 means they can allow Manchin to break from the party when necessary to try and save his seat going into 2024, and tell Sinema to quit dicking around and start voting like the transplanted AZ liberals who elected her if she wants to raise her approval rating and keep hers.

[Handyman]

Sinema is DOA. The entire AZ Dem party called her out for not lifting a finger to help Hobbs and Company.

[MissThundercat]

Arizona finally certifies their results.

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

Counts looking good for warnock so far

[Kepler]

https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blo...walker/351714/

Expand the rows and then sort by change. All the big county changes are in Warnock's direction. 38 counties have changed by 4% or more (up to 23%). All 38 in the direction of Warnock. That suggests the gap should start to significantly widen.

[bronconick]

Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict
?
17s
I've seen enough: Sen. Raphael Warnock (D) defeats Herschel Walker (R) in the #GASEN runoff, giving Democrats a 51-49 majority in the Senate.

[Handyman]

I mean with early voting numbers it was bound to be good news but I like that it is already "over".

[French Rage]

Yeah but they haven't counted the votes from all of the Walker's kids yet.