2022 MidTerms & State races- who ya got?

[burd]

As far as actual voting goes (and not just party identification for purposes of committee work and control of bill flow), as long as Manchin is there the numbers are skewed (by 2--one more R, one fewer D), aren't they?

[state of hockey]

As far as actual voting goes (and not just party identification for purposes of committee work and control of bill flow), as long as Manchin is there the numbers are skewed (by 2--one more R, one fewer D), aren't they?

This is why Warnock finding a way to win the runoff is important. Make it 51-49. Manchin can pull his crap just for Harris to make it pointless. Still have Sinema to deal with though.

[dxmnkd316]

As far as actual voting goes (and not just party identification for purposes of committee work and control of bill flow), as long as Manchin is there the numbers are skewed (by 2--one more R, one fewer D), aren't they?

Kinda sorta. I guess I look at it as an increasing or decreasing leverage situation. Sometimes one vote is high leverage, other times it's not. It's easier to pick off one vote than two. Sinema and Manchin can't provide each other cover as effectively when it's 51-49 and not 52-48.

But, the one person holding out could extract a LOT more from the Dems if he or she wanted to.

[bronconick]

The R's having a 1-3 seat majority might be best case since the only reason it wasn't called for the Democrats already was New York, and I doubt those guys will easily get along with MTG, Gaetz etc. if they want to be reelected in 2024.

[Handyman]

Dx,

I said the same thing about the house. 218-217 would be a great spot for the Dems.

[burd]

The most important issue of our time, other than perhaps the democratic process itself, is climate change. On that, Manchin is R and can be expected to stay R.

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

The most important issue of our time, other than perhaps the democratic process itself, is climate change. On that, Manchin is R and can be expected to stay R.

And after 2024, his successor will be hard R. Same for Brown in Ohio, he's toast.

[cF[Authentic]]

Just to clarify... if it's within a couple seats in the house, Dems could make a deal with a few R reps to vote one of them Speaker?

[Handyman]

Yes. Very very very very unlikely but yes.

[dxmnkd316]

I dunno. My only concern is they're still all scorpions.

[Kepler]

Just to clarify... if it's within a couple seats in the house, Dems could make a deal with a few R reps to vote one of them Speaker?

It wouldn't be as Speaker, it would be plum committee assignments and a lot of funding. But I can't imagine any R switching parties. And no Member would remain in their party after ****ing over the leadership. You don't assassinate Caesar and then show up next morning in the Senate like nothing happened.

[Kepler]

AZ6 not looking as tough with the updates. CA13 is very very tight. CA22 is as tight but in favor of the R. CA41 is tighter yet. I think the house is well within play.'

I almost (ALMOST) don't want us to win the house. Easier to play from 1 behind than 1 ahead. Plus it gives the Dems a foil in 2024

Is CA13 Porter? I can't understand how that is tight she is one of the 4 or 5 most impressive Members in my eyes.

[Kepler]

Maybe he really did have people keeping an ion the election.

Holy ****, is that original?

[state of hockey]

Is CA13 Porter? I can't understand how that is tight she is one of the 4 or 5 most impressive Members in my eyes.

She’s CA47 I believe. Still too tight.

[dxmnkd316]

Is CA13 Porter? I can't understand how that is tight she is one of the 4 or 5 most impressive Members in my eyes.

47

shes in orange county and my understanding was she was redistricted to a relatively tough district. I could be wrong on that. Going strictly from vague memories of 2020.