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Biden v Dump 1: If not now, when? If not us, who?

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  • Originally posted by Kepler View Post

    Much like crime, which the GOP always tries to increase to scare the white middle class.

    When this sh-t breaks it may break big. The Republicans have had their finger (and their donors, and their judges) in the dike for a decade holding back the will of a sizable majority -- anywhere from 55-60% of the people. You can't stop history you can only move with it and attempt to channel it. The Nazis may have unwittingly created conditions where instead of a 3 magnitude quake each of the last two elections they unleash a 9.

    I hope so. We have 40 years of progress to make up after we clear away the wreckage of the fascist state. I really want those 99% top marginal rates. And if enough Americans want them even Chuck Schumer will eventually have to comply or get bent.
    Cook them dinner
    "I'm not crazy about reality, but it's still the only place to get a decent meal."
    Groucho Marx
    "You can't fix stupid. There's not a pill you can take; there's not a class you can go to. Stupid is forever. "
    Ron White
    "If we stop being offensive, the Terrorists win."
    Milo Bloom

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    • Friday state poll round-up:

      There are 12 more Fridays until Dr. Mrs.' Birthday (and Election Day).

      Code:
      MI: Biden +7.8 (8.0 swing from 2016)
      WI: Biden +7.5 (8.3)
      PA: Biden +6.1 (6.8)
      FL: Biden +5.2 (6.4)
      NE-2: ? (needs just a 2.3 swing)
      AZ: Biden +3.6 (7.2)
      NC: Biden +2.9 (6.6)
      OH: Biden +0.3 (8.4)
      ------------------
      GA: Dump +0.9 (4.2)
      TX: Dump +0.9 (9.9)
      IA: Dump +1.4 (8.0)
      ME-2: ? (would need 10.3 swing)
      
      Projected EV: Biden 352 Dump 186
      Last edited by Kepler; 08-08-2020, 01:21 AM.
      Cornell University
      National Champion 1967, 1970
      ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
      Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

      Comment


      • That's just strong evidence that the brain drain in Ohio is as bad, if not even worse than we surmised after 2016.

        Comment


        • Jfc

          https://mobile.***********/tribelaw/...57024906366979

          https://mobile.***********/smotus/st...91608293183488

          Comment


          • Originally posted by Kepler View Post
            Friday state poll round-up:

            There are 12 more Fridays until Dr. Mrs.' Birthday (and Election Day).

            Code:
            MI: Biden +7.8 (8.0 swing from 2016)
            WI: Biden +7.5 (8.3)
            PA: Biden +6.1 (6.8)
            FL: Biden +5.2 (6.4)
            NE-2: ? (needs just a 2.3 swing)
            AZ: Biden +3.6 (7.2)
            NC: Biden +2.9 (6.6)
            OH: Biden +0.3 (8.4)
            ------------------
            GA: Dump +0.9 (4.2)
            TX: Dump +0.9 (9.9)
            IA: Dump +1.4 (8.0)
            ME-2: ? (would need 10.3 swing)
            
            Projected EV: Biden 352 Dump 186
            I guess it's on you to make sure she gets a big election gift.

            Though we'll do our parts in helping to ensure the local parts of of it come through.

            Comment


            • Originally posted by WeAreNDHockey View Post

              At this stage in the game I cannot believe there are any people who are planning to vote who are actually undecided. I never believed the numbers of undecideds anyway. I always think they are over-reported.

              Barring some scandal tied to prominent democrats (pizza-gate turning out to be real) I cannot see anything the leadership among democrats doing as blowing this election. I think an attorney general-led corruption investigation of Biden and his family isn't even likely to have the same impact the Comey shenanigans had on turnout for Clinton in 2016. People who are going to bother to vote are wise to what has been going on with this president.

              My only real concern is voter suppression and intimidation and fraudulent counting in republican areas of swing states. I believe that is the only arrow trump has left in his quiver. In fact, I do not believe a trump win will be legitimate.
              There are always undecideds. It’s just how long that field is and what yard marker.

              my original theory on undecideds:

              I think the undecided window is real, but we're making a massive mistake in assuming it's the same people. That window shifts up and down the field and has a different width.

              With an election of Romney-Obama, the undecided window might look like:
              <------------Field------------>
              ..................<------>............. (Window)

              Obama vs. Dump:
              <------------Field------------>
              ................................<-->.....

              Hillary vs. Dump (2016, only knowing what we knew on 11/8/2016)
              <------------Field------------>
              ..............<---------->............

              Hillary vs. Dump (2016, only knowing what we knew know now)
              <------------Field------------>
              ...........................<--------->

              We've (maybe just the average dummy like me) have assumed they're always "centrists" and "independents". They aren't. They always move. This year the undecideds are right-wingers who haven't decided whether they can pull the lever for a nazi and live with themselves.

              This is probably all PolySci 101, but whatever.
              I’ll modify it to say it’s more complex than this. There are people who think that being undecided somehow makes them morally superior or whatever nonsense that helps them sleep. There is also a third dimension to that graph in that some people won’t vote or will refuse to vote for the other party regardless.
              Last edited by dxmnkd316; 08-08-2020, 10:36 AM.
              Code:
              As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
              College Hockey 6       College Football 0
              BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
              Originally posted by SanTropez
              May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
              Originally posted by bigblue_dl
              I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
              Originally posted by Kepler
              When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
              He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

              Comment


              • They dont even pretend to hide it...

                Though it should be noted that the price increase is not a poll tax like some of the Twitter people are saying. The price increase is to discourage the States from sending out the ballots. (they are paying the price for the bulk mail) There should be no issue with the voters themselves.
                Last edited by Handyman; 08-08-2020, 11:03 AM.
                "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                -aparch

                "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                -INCH

                Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                Comment


                • Oh god the Steiners and their Russian Masters are out trying to get Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian Candidate) in the debates.
                  "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                  -aparch

                  "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                  -INCH

                  Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                  -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                  Comment


                  • The theft continues to develop.

                    I'm too old to take to the streets so all you f-ckers better make sure you vote in a way in which the Dumptards can't shred it.
                    Cornell University
                    National Champion 1967, 1970
                    ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                    Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                    Comment


                    • Originally posted by Handyman View Post
                      Oh god the Steiners and their Russian Masters are out trying to get Jo Jorgensen (Libertarian Candidate) in the debates.
                      Link?

                      is Stein running again? That would basically be proof she's on Putin's payroll.
                      Cornell University
                      National Champion 1967, 1970
                      ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                      Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                      Comment


                      • If you are on Twitter just look up the hashtag #LetHerSpeak. It isnt Stein it is all for Jo Jorgensen but it is a lot of the same people and bots.

                        Edit: Here...https://***********/search?q=%23leth...rc=typed_query
                        "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                        -aparch

                        "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                        -INCH

                        Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                        -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                        Comment


                        • Can't let her in. She got bit by a possibly rabid bat. Might have to put her down.
                          "I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites


                          Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup Champions

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by bronconick View Post
                            Can't let her in. She got bit by a possibly rabid bat. Might have to put her down.
                            I never drink... wine.
                            Cornell University
                            National Champion 1967, 1970
                            ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                            Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                            Comment


                            • Stopping local officials from counting?

                              Honestly I’d love to have a D say this and see how our local conservatives react

                              https://mobile.***********/anitakuma...87516292681728
                              Last edited by Deutsche Gopher Fan; 08-08-2020, 01:50 PM.

                              Comment


                              • Originally posted by Deutsche Gopher Fan View Post
                                Stopping local officials from counting?

                                Honestly I’d love to have a D say this and see how our local conservatives react

                                https://mobile.***********/anitakuma...87516292681728
                                “Obstruction of justice as a way of life.” John Bolton
                                “Cheating as a way of life.” Mary Trump
                                “Lying as a way of life.” America

                                It's the #TrumpTrifecta
                                The Terrier Hockey Fan Blog

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