Originally posted by Kepler
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Biden v Dump 1: If not now, when? If not us, who?
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"I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites
Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup Champions
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Originally posted by Kepler View Post
Yes, Harris is TERRIBLE choice for a Republican running mate.
A black woman is going to be toxic with racists and misogynists. We are going to lose the conservative vote. Gee whiz.
I'm not saying this is a mean way, but I'm not sure I have ever not understood one of your takes more than this. Do you know something about Rice and that is the reason?Originally posted by BobbyBrady
Crosby probably wouldn't even be on BC's top two lines next year
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Originally posted by Drew S. View Post
She ran in the Democratic primary.
I'm not saying this is a mean way, but I'm not sure I have ever not understood one of your takes more than this. Do you know something about Rice and that is the reason?Cornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020
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Originally posted by bronconick View Post
Except Karen Bass. Pro Castro and Scientology is no.
No Scientologists.Last edited by Kepler; 08-03-2020, 09:07 AM.Cornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020
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https://***********/realDonaldTrump/...50416278532096
"In an illegal late night coup, Nevada’s clubhouse Governor made it impossible for Republicans to win the state. Post Office could never handle the Traffic of Mail-In Votes without preparation. Using Covid to steal the state. See you in Court!"
Yeah...Republicans cant win if people vote!"It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
-aparch
"Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
-INCH
Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
-ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007
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https://***********/AP/status/1290338790654042112
"BREAKING: New York prosecutor seeking President Trump's tax returns cites reports of 'protracted criminal conduct' at the Trump Organization."
Manhattan prosecutor trying to get President Donald Trump’s tax returns told a judge Monday that he was justified in demanding them, citing public reports of “extensive and protracted criminal conduct at the Trump Organization.”
Trump’s lawyers last month said the grand jury subpoena for the tax returns was issued in bad faith and amounted to harassment of the president.
Manhattan District Attorney District Attorney Cyrus R. Vance, Jr. is seeking eight years of the Republican president’s personal and corporate tax records, but has disclosed little about what prompted him to request the records, other than part of the investigation is related to payoffs made to women to keep them quiet about alleged affairs with Trump.
In a court filing Monday, though, attorneys for Vance said Trump’s arguments that the subpoena was too broad stemmed from “the false premise” that the probe was limited to so-called “hush-money” payments."It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
-aparch
"Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
-INCH
Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
-ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007
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@MediumBuying
The Trump campaign has placed a Fox News-only buy in DC cable zones. 8/3-8/16 flight, $38K total
Hahahaha. Got to make their toddler happy"I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites
Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup Champions
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Originally posted by bronconick View Post
Except Karen Bass. Pro Castro and Scientology is no.
Biden doesn't need a Hail Mary. A safe pick like Harris will do the trick. I'd prefer Abrams as VP but I would have preferred Warren as the nominee as well. No worries as I'm happy to support Biden and whoever he chooses. Harris is probably best suited to step right in given her background as senator and AG of California.
Legally drunk???? If its "legal", what's the ------- problem?!? - George Carlin
Ever notice how everybody who drives slower than you is an idiot, and everybody who drives faster is a maniac? - George Carlin
"I've never seen so much reason and bullsh*t contained in ONE MAN."
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Originally posted by bronconick View Post
Except Karen Bass...Scientology.Code:As of 9/21/10: As of 9/13/10: College Hockey 6 College Football 0 BTHC 4 WCHA FC: 1
Originally posted by SanTropezMay your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.Originally posted by bigblue_dlI don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..Originally posted by KeplerWhen the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
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538.com shows Biden with a tiny lead in Texas and has now for the last week or so. What were the polls like for Clinton in Texas 3 months before the 2016 election? Now I do not believe Biden will win in Texas. Instead I believe it will be ground zero for republican attempts to suppress the vote. But if the polls are that tight there 90 days before the election, that tells me that if we were not a third world when it comes to our elections Biden would probably win at least 35 states and at least 448 EC votes.
Not only can trump not win a fair election, he couldn't even be competitive in a fair election. it will take an unprecedented amount of voter suppression to keep Biden anywhere near 300 EC votes.
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Originally posted by WeAreNDHockey View Post538.com shows Biden with a tiny lead in Texas and has now for the last week or so. What were the polls like for Clinton in Texas 3 months before the 2016 election? Now I do not believe Biden will win in Texas. Instead I believe it will be ground zero for republican attempts to suppress the vote. But if the polls are that tight there 90 days before the election, that tells me that if we were not a third world when it comes to our elections Biden would probably win at least 35 states and at least 448 EC votes.
Not only can trump not win a fair election, he couldn't even be competitive in a fair election. it will take an unprecedented amount of voter suppression to keep Biden anywhere near 300 EC votes.Code:As of 9/21/10: As of 9/13/10: College Hockey 6 College Football 0 BTHC 4 WCHA FC: 1
Originally posted by SanTropezMay your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.Originally posted by bigblue_dlI don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..Originally posted by KeplerWhen the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
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Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
Could he do it again? Sure, but it's even less likelier today than it was 4 years ago.
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I was curious about incumbents losing, some interesting numbers jumped out:- It's happened ten times
- In the most recent four (Bush 92, Carter 80, Hoover 1932, Taft 1912), the incumbent lost an astonishing 248 or more EVs.
- Bush: 426->168 = 60.6% loss
- Carter: 297->49 = 83.5% loss
- Ford: N/A
- Hoover: 444->59 = 86.7% loss
- Taft: 321->8 = 97.5% loss
- Harrison (1892): 233->145 = 37.8% loss
- Cleveland (1888): 219->168 = 23.3% loss
- Cleveland & Harrison were funny because it was incumbent Cleveland who lost to Harrison in 1888 and incumbent Harrison who lost to Cleveland in 1892. Bizarre.
- Van Buren (1840): 170->60 = 64.7% loss
- John Quincy Adams (1828): 84->89*
- He didn't actually win the EC in 1824, he was one of four >30.
- John Adams (1800): 71->65 = 8% loss
- Presidents that won less than 56.5% of the EV went 2*-2 (Bush*, Nixon & Cleveland, Carter)
Popular vote:- Bush: 7M margin ->5.8M loss = 12.88M swing = 12.4% of turnout
- Carter: 1.7M -> 8.4M = 10.1M = 11.7%
- Ford: N/A
- Hoover: 6.4M -> 7.1M = 13.5M = 34%!!!
- Taft: 1.3M -> 2.2M = 3.4M = 22.9%
- Harrison (1892): -91k* -> 363k
- Cleveland (1888): 58k -> -91k*
- Van Buren (1840): 213k -> 146k = 359k = 14.9%
- John Quincy Adams (1828): -38k* ->141k
If 9-15% margin swing are typical, we're looking at 14.4M - 22.1M margin. Turnout wasn't really a factor in most. So call it 71.5 million to 57.1 million just to get to that 14.4M margin. That would be the largest vote total every by a significant margin (2M) and the lowest since 2000 (not adjusted)
I don't see either the EC or popular vote swing we would typically see in an incumbent losing. Interesting though.Code:As of 9/21/10: As of 9/13/10: College Hockey 6 College Football 0 BTHC 4 WCHA FC: 1
Originally posted by SanTropezMay your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.Originally posted by bigblue_dlI don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..Originally posted by KeplerWhen the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
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Originally posted by unofan View Post
Yeah, but 1) Hillary never had a lead as big as Biden currently has, and 2) Trump filled his inside straight on the river. Shiat happens.
Could he do it again? Sure, but it's even less likelier today than it was 4 years ago.Code:As of 9/21/10: As of 9/13/10: College Hockey 6 College Football 0 BTHC 4 WCHA FC: 1
Originally posted by SanTropezMay your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.Originally posted by bigblue_dlI don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..Originally posted by KeplerWhen the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
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