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Biden v Dump 1: If not now, when? If not us, who?

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  • With all caveats as always.

    And at this point, former Vice President Joe Biden has a clear lead over President Trump in the national polls. But recent state-level surveys also give Biden an edge over Trump in a number of key swing states. And of course, how Trump and Biden do at the state level matters the most, as that’s how the outcome in the Electoral College will be decided.
    Cornell University
    National Champion 1967, 1970
    ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
    Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

    Comment


    • I put those 538 numbers into 270towin. They generate an electoral college of:

      DEM 334 (205 safe, 89 likely, 40 lean)
      GOP 204 (109 safe, 16 likely, 79 lean)

      That includes the split districts in ME and NE.



      Last edited by Kepler; 06-12-2020, 08:02 PM.
      Cornell University
      National Champion 1967, 1970
      ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
      Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

      Comment




      • https://twitter.com/zelley/status/1271617951322513409

        New Art: Just when you think he can't go any lower, they unveil his approval ratings.
        @realDonaldTrump
        The #LincolnProjectEffect is real. #SadTrump
        "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
        -aparch

        "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
        -INCH

        Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
        -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

        Comment


        • Biden has cut the whole binder full of women Veep picks down to a Top 6.

          https://wwjnewsradio.radio.com/artic...mer-isnt-on-it

          Comment


          • Originally posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post
            Biden has cut the whole binder full of women Veep picks down to a Top 6.

            https://wwjnewsradio.radio.com/artic...mer-isnt-on-it
            No Abrams?

            Cornell '04, Stanford '06


            KDR

            Rover Frenchy, Classic! Great post.
            iwh30 I wish I could be as smart as you. I really do you are the man
            gregg729 I just saw your sig, you do love having people revel in your "intelligence."
            Ritt18 you are the perfect representation of your alma mater.
            Miss Thundercat That's it, you win.
            TBA#2 I want to kill you and dance in your blood.
            DisplacedCornellian Hahaha. Thread over. Frenchy wins.

            Test to see if I can add this.

            Comment


            • I’ve always thought she wasn’t qualified enough.

              Comment


              • https://talkbusiness.net/2020/06/pol...e-in-arkansas/

                Trump 47, Biden 45 in Arkansas??? No ****in way.
                "I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites


                Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup Champions

                Comment


                • I saw some similar Texas numbers...
                  "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                  -aparch

                  "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                  -INCH

                  Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                  -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                  Comment


                  • Hopefully trump wastes some effort in states like Arkansas he should win by a country mile and it pulls efforts from states that are trending towards Biden.

                    Comment


                    • I’m not surprised, but Christ

                      https://mobile.twitter.com/TheRickWi...00658780999680

                      Comment


                      • If you want to really destroy your brain watch the footage of his nimrod attorney on CNN trying to explain why they are suing CNN. I dont have a link at the moment but it shouldnt be hard to find.
                        "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                        -aparch

                        "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                        -INCH

                        Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                        -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Deutsche Gopher Fan View Post
                          What is the difference between the "Lying" Democrat and the "Lyin'" Democrat?

                          Cornell '04, Stanford '06


                          KDR

                          Rover Frenchy, Classic! Great post.
                          iwh30 I wish I could be as smart as you. I really do you are the man
                          gregg729 I just saw your sig, you do love having people revel in your "intelligence."
                          Ritt18 you are the perfect representation of your alma mater.
                          Miss Thundercat That's it, you win.
                          TBA#2 I want to kill you and dance in your blood.
                          DisplacedCornellian Hahaha. Thread over. Frenchy wins.

                          Test to see if I can add this.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by French Rage View Post

                            What is the difference between the "Lying" Democrat and the "Lyin'" Democrat?
                            "You said 'radical socialist' twice."

                            "I like radical socialism."

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post

                              "You said 'radical socialist' twice."

                              "I like radical socialism."
                              Liked.
                              Cornell University
                              National Champion 1967, 1970
                              ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                              Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                              Comment


                              • The Economist is currently forecasting Biden with a 5/6 chance to win the electoral college. Their model is showing him with a sure or very likely win in states totaling 245 electoral college votes and another 63 at 75% likely or better. Throw in Arizona and North Carolina (60% chance or better of winning) and Biden ends up with 334 EC votes.

                                Keeping trump below 200 EC votes will be hard unless Biden could somehow pull off all those likely or better states and grab Ohio. If voter suppression wasn't an issue I believe he'd end up close to where the upper region of their forecast is, which is 412. Since we will be seeing that in a number of states, he won't be anywhere near. That voter suppression might also be what costs the democrats a realistic shot at the senate.

                                Comment

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