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The States: Where We Wish Texas Would Secede Already

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  • Swansong
    replied
    Originally posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post

    IMO, Biden needs to find a way to make at least some progress on his agenda between now and August or they are toast.
    Just a point of order here. He managed to get the ARP and the infrastructure deal passed. Those are two gigantic accomplishments. Yes, I want more, but let's not start going on about how his presidency - less than 1 full year in - is already on the brink.

    Leave a comment:


  • SJHovey
    replied
    Originally posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post

    IMO, Biden needs to find a way to make at least some progress on his agenda between now and August or they are toast.
    That won't matter. Even if he got everything he wanted in the BBB bill, you'll never see even the slightest effect by November.

    Keep track of what people are paying for their gas and groceries this summer and fall. If it's the same or worse than it is now, the D's are toast. If it turns around by October and November, they have a shot.

    Leave a comment:


  • FadeToBlack&Gold
    replied
    Originally posted by Handyman View Post
    Not to sound like the clown I have on ignore but it is all going to come down to if the Dems show up. Personally I think they will but my opinion on that changes month to month ;^)
    IMO, Biden needs to find a way to make at least some progress on his agenda between now and August or they are toast.

    Leave a comment:


  • Handyman
    replied
    Originally posted by psych View Post

    GOP wins the majority by only 30 seats instead of 50? They’re still forecasting the GOP to retake the House.
    It appears that the gerrymandering won’t be as bad as I initially feared in August. As pointed out on here by some, the GOP already gerrymandered the fuck out of their states they controlled, so gerrymandering more was going to be difficult. Democrats may, MAY, be able to almost come out of gerrymandering as a wash, depending on how Ohio, NC, New York, etc. play out.
    That all said, the national environment is terrible for Democrats, and Biden is stuck in the mid 40s for approval rating. If those factors don’t change before November, it’s going to be 247-188 GOP come January 2023.
    I believe the ones I follow who are part of it think it is now far from a lock whereas 3 months ago they wouldn't even consider the fact the Dems could hold.

    Not to sound like the clown I have on ignore but it is all going to come down to if the Dems show up. Personally I think they will but my opinion on that changes month to month ;^)

    Leave a comment:


  • psych
    replied
    Originally posted by Handyman View Post

    It was actually predicted to go this way I posted about it around Christmas. That and Michigan (Along with a few other changes) has caused a shift in how Cook has forecasted the Midterms.
    GOP wins the majority by only 30 seats instead of 50? They’re still forecasting the GOP to retake the House.
    It appears that the gerrymandering won’t be as bad as I initially feared in August. As pointed out on here by some, the GOP already gerrymandered the fuck out of their states they controlled, so gerrymandering more was going to be difficult. Democrats may, MAY, be able to almost come out of gerrymandering as a wash, depending on how Ohio, NC, New York, etc. play out.
    That all said, the national environment is terrible for Democrats, and Biden is stuck in the mid 40s for approval rating. If those factors don’t change before November, it’s going to be 247-188 GOP come January 2023.

    Leave a comment:


  • FadeToBlack&Gold
    replied
    The new Michigan map is pretty rock solid unless you're a Democrat living in northern Oakland County.

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  • dxmnkd316
    replied
    Originally posted by Handyman View Post

    It was actually predicted to go this way I posted about it around Christmas. That and Michigan (Along with a few other changes) has caused a shift in how Cook has forecasted the Midterms.
    I completely missed that.

    Leave a comment:


  • Handyman
    replied
    Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
    Wut. Ohio Supreme COurt strikes down their redistricting maps due to partisan gerrymander.

    I think I've had a stroke.
    It was actually predicted to go this way I posted about it around Christmas. That and Michigan (Along with a few other changes) has caused a shift in how Cook has forecasted the Midterms.

    Leave a comment:


  • Spartanforlife4
    replied
    Originally posted by Kepler View Post

    (((Soros))) got to them? Or not partisan enough?
    Latter. Dems made it a 4-3 GOP over the past two cycles and got one of the GOPs to flip on this one.

    nvm, I get the cynicism now
    Last edited by Spartanforlife4; 01-12-2022, 03:58 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • Kepler
    replied
    Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
    Wut. Ohio Supreme COurt strikes down their redistricting maps due to partisan gerrymander.

    I think I've had a stroke.
    (((Soros))) got to them? Or not partisan enough?

    Leave a comment:


  • dxmnkd316
    replied
    Wut. Ohio Supreme COurt strikes down their redistricting maps due to partisan gerrymander.

    I think I've had a stroke.

    Leave a comment:


  • Bronco
    replied
    I like my AG. https://twitter.com/dananessel/statu...83032459923465

    Dana Nessel
    From now on, let’s just all assume that anyone who labels themselves a “family values” candidate is probably having sex with someone in their family besides their spouse.

    Leave a comment:


  • Kepler
    replied
    Originally posted by mookie1995 View Post

    white Jesus or real Jesus?
    They would have let white Jesus off with house arrest.

    Leave a comment:


  • Kepler
    replied
    Seems like all the more reason to support the drive for a federal law. But Stacy certainly know better than I, you, Biden, or anyone else.

    Leave a comment:


  • Handyman
    replied
    https://twitter.com/RachelBitecofer/...72941903892480

    The reason activists in GA are so angry is that without a fed law, any victory for Abrams or Warnock will need an OK from the GA Republican Party. Yes, that's the law they passed!

    Leave a comment:

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