116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

[bronconick]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

If they make a list of "10 seats most likely to flip in 2020", Michigan is the last one added.

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

BTW, is that MI seat (Peters) in any danger? First I've heard of that.

Thankfully the MI GOP was dumb enough to run John James again, so I doubt it. He'll likely narrow the gap a point or two compared to 2018 when he lost to Debs by 6.5 points, but Peters has been polling anywhere between 5 and 12 points up lately.

[Kepler]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

Kansas if Kobach wins the R nomination (Worked for the Governorship). Georgia if Loeffler wins the R nomination (She's down badly to Collins, however, so she's probably toast) North Carolina vs. Tillis. Iowa only in a wave election.

And Alabama the other way. Jones almost certainly can't hold against anybody but a child molester.

We need +3 plus the White House, so assume we need 4 pick ups with AL lost.

Here's Cook.

AZ, CO, ME, NC are our four must haves. If we don't get them all we may have lost the White House anyway.

IA, KS, MT are wishes but if we get one that probably means we already locked it up.

This election really has narrow margins. And of course one D defection would f-ck it all up, cough Manchin.

BTW, is that MI seat (Peters) in any danger? First I've heard of that.

[bronconick]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

Hmm... so Colorado and Arizona look to be flipping.

Montana had a poll a few weeks ago showing Bullock was up 7 on the incumbent GOP.

Collins is in a fight in Maine.

Any other contested races?

Kansas if Kobach wins the R nomination (Worked for the Governorship). Georgia if Loeffler wins the R nomination (She's down badly to Collins, however, so she's probably toast) North Carolina vs. Tillis. Iowa only in a wave election.

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

Collins is in a fight in Maine.

She clearly just needs to double down on waving to constituents at the airport.

[Rover]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

I'm not surprised that McSally is in a tough race, but I am surprised that even GOP commissioned polls have her down double digits. With all the obvious caveats about if the election was held today blah blah blah, right now you'd expect the Dems to net 1 set (CO, AZ offset by AL). After that I'd say Collins in ME is at best a toss up from the GOP's perspective as people seem to be finally wise to her schtick. Tillis in NC seems to be a true toss up as I think his fortunes depend on whether or not Chump wins the state.

Beyond that I'm more in a wait and see mode about MT and IA. Some good polling out of MT and Bullock is a proven winner statewide, however its tough but not unprecedented for a Dem to win a Senate in a Presidential year, look no further than the state's other Senator - Tester, who won in 2012.

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

Hmm... so Colorado and Arizona look to be flipping.

Montana had a poll a few weeks ago showing Bullock was up 7 on the incumbent GOP.

Collins is in a fight in Maine.

Any other contested races?

I think tillis could be fighting in NC

[Spartanforlife4]

na na na na, na na na na, hey hey, goodbye https://t.co/zfLRikmca7

— George Conway (@gtconway3d) May 28, 2020

Hmm... so Colorado and Arizona look to be flipping.

Montana had a poll a few weeks ago showing Bullock was up 7 on the incumbent GOP.

Collins is in a fight in Maine.

Any other contested races?

[ScoobyDoo]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uXgCyKmunXM

The Lincoln Project
101K subscribers
�� After 35 years, Kentuckians are still waiting for the kinds of opportunities #RichMitch has worked so hard to give himself.

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

na na na na, na na na na, hey hey, goodbye https://t.co/zfLRikmca7

— George Conway (@gtconway3d) May 28, 2020

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

I think it's silly to continue pretending Hong Kong isn't just a capitalist/bankster puppet of Beijing that their elites use to launder money. What this means in terms of economics/trade remains to be seen.

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

It looks like it's a procedural move so we can proceed with diplomatic measures against China, like declaring Germany to be in breach of Versailles when they occupied the Saar.

The situation is bad but it might be the right DOS move, not sure.

One problem with having a Nazi Toddler government is we never know whether our government is creating or responding to a crisis.

I’m also unclear on how to feel about it.

Meanwhile

If the FISA Bill is passed tonight on the House floor, I will quickly VETO it. Our Country has just suffered through the greatest political crime in its history. The massive abuse of FISA was a big part of it!

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) May 27, 2020

[Kepler]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

Yeah, wapo just reported it

It looks like it's a procedural move so we can proceed with diplomatic measures against China, like declaring Germany to be in breach of Versailles when they occupied the Saar.

The situation is bad but it might be the right DOS move, not sure.

One problem with having a Nazi Toddler government is we never know whether our government is creating or responding to a crisis.

[dxmnkd316]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

I'm not even sure what that means in terms of consequences for either side

Consequences are just cast to the wind with these maniacs. Pulling out of Open Skies, JCPA...

[Deutsche Gopher Fan]

Re: 116th Congress - Episode 3: Impeach the Motherf**er

Pompeo says Hong Kong is no longer autonomous from China, raising potential consequences for trade https://t.co/K3usc9PkVy

— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) May 27, 2020