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Originally posted by St. Clown
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I think if the Dems keep it 50-50 it will be a hell of an effort. Three seats GOP has a good shot at and only a couple the Dems realistically could flip. One thing they should do is empower local officials and don’t dictate too much from Washington.Originally posted by BobbyBrady
Crosby probably wouldn't even be on BC's top two lines next year -
That seems to go against everything I have read...Originally posted by Drew S. View Post"It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
-aparch
"Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
-INCH
Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
-ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007Comment
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You mean like our panel of economics experts here on Cafe?Originally posted by Handyman View Post
I'm sure the losses aren't that bad, assuming you're not one of the 1.4 million.That community is already in the process of dissolution where each man begins to eye his neighbor as a possible enemy, where non-conformity with the accepted creed, political as well as religious, is a mark of disaffection; where denunciation, without specification or backing, takes the place of evidence; where orthodoxy chokes freedom of dissent; where faith in the eventual supremacy of reason has become so timid that we dare not enter our convictions in the open lists, to win or lose.Comment
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Me too. 34 seats up, 20 GOP, 14 Dem.Originally posted by Handyman View Post
GOP targets:
CO Bennet
NV Cortez Masto
NH Hassan
AZ Kelly
GA Warnock
Dem targets:
PA open (Toomey)
WI RoJo
FL Rubio
IA Grassley
NC open (Burr)
OH open (Portman)
Midterm elections usually favor the non-White House party but who knows since we are going through a full-bore realignment?Last edited by Kepler; 02-09-2021, 09:46 AM.Cornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
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I’d guess the closest races will be PA, GA, NC, AZ, WI, and NH. Fetterman seems like a solid candidate in PA. Jackson in NC seems like a Cal Cunningham, maybe without the baggage. Tim Ryan sounds likely to go for it in OH, but I think OH may be out of reach for us now.Originally posted by Kepler View PostComment
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Rumor is Sununu runs in NH which takes that off the table -- that family's machine has NH locked up tight.Originally posted by psych View Post
May all come down to the cheeseheads whether we can hold the Senate.
It's possible of course that post-Dump, with indictments being handed down every other Friday, the GOP implodes and we get a Dem wave. But it's just as likely that post-Dump America falls asleep again and the Nazis creep back.Cornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020Comment
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A Sununu ran (and lost) in 2008 so I wouldn't call it a lost cause.Originally posted by Kepler View Post"I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites
Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup ChampionsComment
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That is part of the problem with the CBO...they don't define what the 1.4 million are. A solid percentage of that will be secondary/supplemental employment. The "loss" will be offset by the higher income at their primary job. (in theory)Originally posted by SJHovey View Post
The tip off is that it pulls almost a million out of poverty. The ones that likely would be pulled out of poverty would have the jobs at risk of being cut.
The last 2 GOP administrations killed way more jobs than that...and in way less time.
The CBO is making these predictions based on assumptions, which is fine. Problem is they are ignoring that in practice it has almost never worked out like they are predicting. Old jobs that can't afford to pay employees are Darwined out and new jobs spring up."It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
-aparch
"Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
-INCH
Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
-ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007Comment
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Hassan is a strong incumbent for Democrats. If Sununu jumps to the Senate, that’d be a marquee race. Rumor has it Ayotte is looking at running again too.Originally posted by Kepler View Post
RoJo smoked Feingold in 2016. Maybe Ron Kind gives up his seat and runs for Senate? That’d almost certainly turn his seat red, but he appears like he has some kind of crossover appeal.
Your last sentence is definitely a possibility. It’s hard to stay vigilant, and not everyone who voted against Trump is going to stay vigilant. That said, not everyone who voted for Trump is going to care about politics post-Trump either. I love watching how this sh-t shapes up and shakes out.Comment
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RIGHT NOW I don't see Kelly losing against whatever Trumper the AZGOP puts up. Warnock will end up closer (unless he ends up going against Perdue...then its a cake walk) but I think the larger counties and the fact like Abrams is possibly on the ticket for Governor will help him there.Originally posted by psych View Post
The rest who knows. I would like to think WI and PA are so annoyed with what the GOP tried to pull that they would be motivated to vote Dem but it is just so hard to know. The rest is even harder to figure out."It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
-aparch
"Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
-INCH
Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
-ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007Comment
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This right here is the key and why we just can't predict anything. Theoretically if the Dems stay engaged then 2022 could be like 2018 because Trump voters tend to stay home when he isn't on the ticket. (ask Georgia!) If the Dems go lame then all bets are off. That is what Harrison needs to do...focus on keeping everyone engaged and in the fight. even if that means I need to still get 75k emails a week.Originally posted by psych View Post"It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
-aparch
"Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
-INCH
Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
-ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007Comment
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A lot of this. I read most of the report from your link and the scary factor was greatly alleviated by the end. Possibly 1.4 million lose out but the CBO suggests a measurable % of those were going to be lost regardless, it's possible another 500k are created, net revenues likely increase because most earning $15 an hour are spending nearly all of their disposable income, there could be a resurgence in some industries in which as of now they cannot find qualified applicants at $9 an hour but at $15 that improves and in turn improves productivity, qualify of work, etc.Originally posted by Handyman View Post
All "social programs" have a cost but the gains should be plentiful.Comment
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I didn't know that. That's good.Originally posted by bronconick View PostCornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020Comment
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Warnock is going to be a fight to keep. Others seem relatively safe.Originally posted by Kepler View Post
PA and WI seem like possible flips. The rest are unlikely at best. I’m not sure I see what you guys are seeing that makes this look like a D year.Code:As of 9/21/10: As of 9/13/10: College Hockey 6 College Football 0 BTHC 4 WCHA FC: 1
Originally posted by SanTropezOriginally posted by bigblue_dlHe's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North WestOriginally posted by KeplerComment
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I don't see it as a D year. I just don't see it as DOOOOM!Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
I think it will be a wash.Cornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020Comment
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