Originally posted by Kepler
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116th Congress: F-cker WAS Impeached. Still not enough.
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Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
25% chance of 53+
but when you look at the actual state-by-state breakdown, I just don’t see it. I really hope he’s not summing the expected values (fractions) of a chance. Because these are discrete events.
edit: wait. I’m the idiot doing that.
Also, they aren't entirely discrete. There are independent local effects but they sit on top of regional and also national waves.
Now, I would think the regional effects in Appalachia should dampen the blue wave. It's the most backward place in America and thus the most safely conservative.
Cornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020
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Originally posted by Deutsche Gopher Fan View PostCornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020
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538 odds:
Dem flips: (5)
.77 AZ Kelly D v McSally R-i
.74 CO Hickenlooper D v Gardner R-i
.64 NC Cunningham D v Tillis R-i
.61 ME Gideon D v Collins R-i
.52 IA Greenfield D v Ernst R-i
Dem nearest to flips:
.33 MT Bullock D v Daines R-i
.26 GA Ossoff D v Perdue R-i
.21 KS Bollier D v Marshall R-i
.20 SC Harrison D v Graham R-i
GOP flips: (1)
.77 AL Tuberville R v Jones D-i
GOP nearest to flips:
.22 MI James R v Peters D-iCornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020
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Apparently Lady G got his *** kicked in his Senate debate this weekend.**NOTE: The misleading post above was brought to you by Reynold's Wrap and American Steeples, makers of Crosses.
Originally Posted by dropthatpuck-Scooby's a lost cause.
Originally Posted by First Time, Long Time-Always knew you were nothing but a troll.
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https://twitter.com/alanhe/status/1313170503008477184
You gotta help me doc. I've tried nothing and I'm all outta ideas!
Cornell '04, Stanford '06
KDR
Rover Frenchy, Classic! Great post.
iwh30 I wish I could be as smart as you. I really do you are the man
gregg729 I just saw your sig, you do love having people revel in your "intelligence."
Ritt18 you are the perfect representation of your alma mater.
Miss Thundercat That's it, you win.
TBA#2 I want to kill you and dance in your blood.
DisplacedCornellian Hahaha. Thread over. Frenchy wins.
Test to see if I can add this.
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Originally posted by French Rage View Posthttps://twitter.com/alanhe/status/1313170503008477184
You gotta help me doc. I've tried nothing and I'm all outta ideas!**NOTE: The misleading post above was brought to you by Reynold's Wrap and American Steeples, makers of Crosses.
Originally Posted by dropthatpuck-Scooby's a lost cause.
Originally Posted by First Time, Long Time-Always knew you were nothing but a troll.
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Originally posted by French Rage View Posthttps://twitter.com/alanhe/status/1313170503008477184
You gotta help me doc. I've tried nothing and I'm all outta ideas!Cornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020
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Originally posted by Kepler View Post
I'm not sure how insane SC women are. In PA and AZ and NC and TX Dems should be trumpeting Roe -- when those nice suburban white women get in the booth they aren't gonna cut their own throats on reproductive rights the way their moron fathers and husbands do on jobs. They'll lie to their men, but they'll vote for self-preservation against Gilead. But in Dumbf-ckistan stoking Roe probably hurts more than it helps because the short bus cross fondlers' brains are permanently switched off.
How about WI? I don't think of it as Christian so much as rural. I think of Wisconsinites hating rich coasties and maybe blacks, but I don't think of them as prayer meetin' dopes.
"The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." George Orwell, 1984
"One does not simply walk into Mordor. Its Black Gates are guarded by more than just Orcs. There is evil there that does not sleep, and the Great Eye is ever watchful. It is a barren wasteland, riddled with fire and ash and dust, the very air you breathe is a poisonous fume." Boromir
"Good news! We have a delivery." Professor Farnsworth
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Originally posted by St. Clown View PostLook up Wisconsin Evangelical Lutheran Synod, and then come to the appreciation that there are splinter synods of appreciable size that consider WELS to be too liberal.Cornell University
National Champion 1967, 1970
ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020
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Originally posted by Kepler View Post
I don't doubt there are pockets of impressively stupid people in WI. Those exist everywhere: no doubt CA has the most fundies of any state. I meant is WI as deep in the Death Cult toilet as say AL or KS?"The party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." George Orwell, 1984
"One does not simply walk into Mordor. Its Black Gates are guarded by more than just Orcs. There is evil there that does not sleep, and the Great Eye is ever watchful. It is a barren wasteland, riddled with fire and ash and dust, the very air you breathe is a poisonous fume." Boromir
"Good news! We have a delivery." Professor Farnsworth
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Originally posted by Kepler View Post
I don't doubt there are pockets of impressively stupid people in WI. Those exist everywhere: no doubt CA has the most fundies of any state. I meant is WI as deep in the Death Cult toilet as say AL or KS?
Clinton lost by 30 points in over half the state's precincts.
Exhibits A through whatever:
Ron Johnson
Rence Priebus
Paul Ryan
Trump
Scott Walker
...
Edit: Wow, nice list of maps
https://people.uwec.edu/weicherd/Last edited by dxmnkd316; 10-05-2020, 03:40 PM.Code:As of 9/21/10: As of 9/13/10: College Hockey 6 College Football 0 BTHC 4 WCHA FC: 1
Originally posted by SanTropezMay your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.Originally posted by bigblue_dlI don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..Originally posted by KeplerWhen the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
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