Covfefe-19 The 12th Part: The Only Thing Worse Than This New Board Is TrumpVirus2020

[rufus]

Chuck the U.S. is presently 11th in the world for Deaths / 1 M population and in competition with such illustrious countries as Andorra, Chile, Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru and Brazil. You're right though - the U.S. is literally killing it.

whatever happened to that "American excellence" they go on and on about?

[Chuck Murray]

Sturgis Debunked by the Wall Street Journal

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-stu...re-11599694411

Holy Hell’s Angels. Last month’s motorcycle rally among the deplorables in Sturgis, South Dakota, contributed to 266,796 Covid-19 cases and $12.2 billion in public-health costs—or so claims a new study widely flogged by the media. Here is another example of how flawed statistical models can generate grossly exaggerated projections.

The annual 10-day rally with live performances, races and bike shows drew 460,000 Americans from around the country to the small town of Sturgis (population: 7,000). South Dakota is among the few states that never imposed a shelter-in-place order or face-mask mandate. It has also let restaurants and bars operate without restrictions.

[…]

Never fear, the modelers as always are here. San Diego State University’s Center for Health Economics & Policy Studies sought to quantify the rally’s COVID impact in South Dakota and nationwide by analyzing the (anonymous) cell-phone data of attendees. They then compared case trends in counties with high, moderate and low numbers of attendees.

They found that cases increased by 3.6 to 3.9 per 1,000 in South Dakota in the three weeks after the rally, translating to between 3,185 and 3,441 more cases statewide. To put this number in perspective, New York state has recorded as many cases in the last week even with its stringent public-health rules.

[…]

Where the study jumps off the rails is linking all of the relative increase in virus cases in counties with attendees compared to those without rally participants. The modelers multiplied the percent increase in cases for counties with attendees by their pre-rally cumulative cases to get a total of 263,708 additional cases—266,796 including South Dakota’s increase.

But many “high inflow” counties like Los Angeles, Maricopa (Arizona), Clark (Nevada) and El Paso were experiencing flare-ups before the rally. These counties may have shared other characteristics like higher population density that contributed to their increases. There could be other “endogenous” variables—for instance, counties with more people who attended the motorcycle rally may also have had populations less observant of social distancing.

The study’s authors nonetheless assign each of these 266,796 COVID cases a public-health cost of $46,000—ergo $12.2 billion—though the vast majority of all virus cases are mild or moderate. Talk about a case study in statistical overreach—and double standards.

+++++++++++++++++

... and yet another bogus, narrative-driven "statistical analysis" falls by the wayside ...

[Chuck Murray]

Chuck the U.S. is presently 11th in the world for Deaths / 1 M population and in competition with such illustrious countries as Andorra, Chile, Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru and Brazil. You're right though - the U.S. is literally killing it.

You seem to be overlooking the FACT that genius Dem governors of states like NY and NJ, and a Trump-hating RINO gov in deep blue MA, greatly inflated the early impact of COVID deaths in nursing homes by ordering those already infected to return to their nursing homes and "share the wealth", with predictably disastrous results. It's not a surprise - unless you're living in a stupor-induced liberal bubble - that these three deep blue states still lead the country (by a wide margin) as a result.

Without those avoidable and needless deaths, our (below-world average) ratio of deaths per population would probably be another 25-30% lower - and that's a conservative estimate.

Now, this is where you counter with "orange man bad", and ignore that the data isn't on your side ...

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

How many 9/11s are we at now? Or would our resident trunts prefer it in Bengahzi units?

#CoronaAintGoinAway

[rufus]

How many 9/11s are we at now? Or would our resident trunts prefer it in Bengahzi units?

#CoronaAintGoinAway

That would be 60 straight days of 9/11s.

Or roughly 50,000 Benghazis.

[aparch]

How many 9/11s are we at now? Or would our resident trunts prefer it in Bengahzi units?

#CoronaAintGoinAway

65 9/11s

48,418 Benghazis

16 Swine Flus

96,835 Ebolas

2 2017-18 Influenza Seasons

5 All motor vehicle crash deaths 2018

3,654 Yearly lightning strike deaths

2.6 Louisiana Superdomes

3.6 WWI US Deaths

193,670 Jeffery Epsteins

[dxmnkd316]

To be fair, all but one EBV victim got it outside the US. Actually, didn’t everyone who died get it OUS?

[dxmnkd316]

Also, we’re beyond factors of attacks or disasters.

We’re in multiplicative terms of disasters and attacks.

What are we really at? 9/11 times Oklahoma Coty?

[Slap Shot]

You seem to be overlooking the FACT that genius Dem governors of states like NY and NJ, and a Trump-hating RINO gov in deep blue MA, greatly inflated the early impact of COVID deaths in nursing homes by ordering those already infected to return to their nursing homes and "share the wealth", with predictably disastrous results. It's not a surprise - unless you're living in a stupor-induced liberal bubble - that these three deep blue states still lead the country (by a wide margin) as a result.

Without those avoidable and needless deaths, our (below-world average) ratio of deaths per population would probably be another 25-30% lower - and that's a conservative estimate.

Now, this is where you counter with "orange man bad", and ignore that the data isn't on your side ...

I didn't ignore anything Baby Huey but you're ignoring that Trump has done nothing about the pandemic. Also NY figured things out months ago meanwhile several red states are trending in the wrong direction. And as such the country is on pace for 285k days by EOY. That doesn't fall solely on NY and NJ.

Next.

[aparch]

I think there's a typo in DX's post, but we're:

1,153 Oklahoma City Bombings
or
30% of Oklahoma City's population

[Jeb2020]

I didn't ignore anything Baby Huey but you're ignoring that Trump has done nothing about the pandemic. Also NY figured things out months ago meanwhile several red states are trending in the wrong direction. And as such the country is on pace for 285k days by EOY. That doesn't fall solely on NY and NJ.

Next.

What Specific States are headed in the wrong direction?

[Chuck Murray]

65 9/11s

48,418 Benghazis

16 Swine Flus

96,835 Ebolas

2 2017-18 Influenza Seasons

5 All motor vehicle crash deaths 2018

3,654 Yearly lightning strike deaths

2.6 Louisiana Superdomes

3.6 WWI US Deaths

193,670 Jeffery Epsteins

Another way of looking at it is, it will take roughly 320 COVID-19's to equal one (1) Roe v. Wade.

[Chuck Murray]

What Specific States are headed in the wrong direction?

State of Delusion?

[Slap Shot]

State of Delusion?

Wrong again but why change course now? Texas, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, Tennessee, Louisiana and Alabama among others. State of confusion for you Chuckie.

[aparch]

Another way of looking at it is, it will take roughly 320 COVID-19's to equal one (1) Roe v. Wade.

You want to drag Roe v Wade into this? Then every COVID case should be considered rape because 194k people didn't choose to get COVID. You miserable son of a b*tch.

Oh wait, maybe if people weren't dressed like they wanted COVID, they wouldn't catch it. So WEAR THE D*MN MASK.