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2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

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  • #211
    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

    Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
    It's a once in a 1,000 years event.
    This is likely wrong. It's an event that looking at history without any consideration for events in the recent past (last ~5-10 years) or changes expected in the future was deemed to have a 1/1,000 chance of occurring in a given year. Given recent history (3 500 year floods in the last 3 years) as well as future expectations for change, it's probably more like 50-100 year event. Odds of 3 500 year events in 3 years are 1:125M, is Houston that unlucky, or is the classification of a 500 yr event wrong?

    Comment

    • #212
      Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

      Originally posted by unofan View Post
      Quebec offers food, clothing, electricians, and other aid to Texas. Texas Secretary of State declines, asks for prayers instead.
      Natural selection.
      Cornell University
      National Champion 1967, 1970
      ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
      Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

      Comment

      • #213
        Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

        Originally posted by unofan View Post
        Quebec offers food, clothing, electricians, and other aid to Texas. Texas Secretary of State declines, asks for prayers instead.

        http://www.cbc.ca/beta/news/canada/m...rvey-1.4267387
        Texas pols really are their own breed of special (read: stupid), aren't they?

        Comment

        • #214
          Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

          Originally posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post
          Texas pols really are their own breed of special (read: stupid), aren't they?
          If you can find a collection read Molly Ivins' early reporting on the TX state leg. Those guys are spectacular.

          The stories she took to her grave must have been amazing.
          Cornell University
          National Champion 1967, 1970
          ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
          Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

          Comment

          • #215
            Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

            Originally posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post

            Here's the latest from the NHC.
            The Canadian's (CMC) model has this tracking directly over my house in SWFL 10 days out. Plus that puts it in the Gulf which could mean more devastation on top of the devastation. Fortunately these models are terribly inaccurate that far out as you can see by the spread. Just hope it tracks a bit North, because hugging the Antilles means warm water and more energy and much greater likelihood of major impact. No offense to my NE coastie friends, and it might seem selfish, but I'd rather they took a hit from a Cat 1 or Tropical Storm than me and the Gulf States both getting hit from a Cat 4 or 5.

            Next week everybody get an electric fan and point it East.
            Originally posted by WiscTJK
            I'm with Wisko and Tim.
            Originally posted by Timothy A
            Other than Wisko McBadgerton and Badger Bob, who is universally loved by all?

            Comment

            • #216
              Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

              Originally posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post



              Here's the latest from the NHC.
              Does anyone know a good place to view all of the model data?

              I've been using College of DuPage's since Weather Underground took a massive **** a few years ago.

              http://weather.cod.edu/

              But the model data still seems very limited compared to what Wunderground used to offer.
              Code:
              As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
College Hockey 6       College Football 0
BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
              Originally posted by SanTropez
              May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
              Originally posted by bigblue_dl
              I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
              Originally posted by Kepler
              When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
              He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

              Comment

              • #217
                Originally posted by dxmnkd316 View Post
                Does anyone know a good place to view all of the model data?

                I've been using College of DuPage's since Weather Underground took a massive **** a few years ago.

                http://weather.cod.edu/

                But the model data still seems very limited compared to what Wunderground used to offer.
                Tropical Tidbits may have what you're looking for, that's a pretty well respected site.

                Comment

                • #218
                  Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

                  Originally posted by hockeyplayer1015 View Post
                  Tropical Tidbits may have what you're looking for, that's a pretty well respected site.
                  That's a good one too. Thanks. Any others are always welcome.
                  Code:
                  As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
College Hockey 6       College Football 0
BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
                  Originally posted by SanTropez
                  May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
                  Originally posted by bigblue_dl
                  I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
                  Originally posted by Kepler
                  When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
                  He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

                  Comment

                  • #219
                    Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

                    Mike's Weather Page looks like a holdover web page from the 90's, but it has pretty good information and links.

                    Irma's track has moved slightly North in the last update, which is great. Sometimes these storm tracks just keep moving North every day and end up missing everything.
                    Originally posted by WiscTJK
                    I'm with Wisko and Tim.
                    Originally posted by Timothy A
                    Other than Wisko McBadgerton and Badger Bob, who is universally loved by all?

                    Comment

                    • #220
                      Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

                      Iirc The latest I saw from GFS had it moving closer to the Carolinas from the Northeast and the European model moved it from the Yucatán to closer to Florida.
                      Code:
                      As of 9/21/10:         As of 9/13/10:
College Hockey 6       College Football 0
BTHC 4                 WCHA FC:  1
                      Originally posted by SanTropez
                      May your paint thinner run dry and the fleas of a thousand camels infest your dead deer.
                      Originally posted by bigblue_dl
                      I don't even know how to classify magic vagina smoke babies..
                      Originally posted by Kepler
                      When the giraffes start building radio telescopes they can join too.
                      He's probably going to be a superstar but that man has more baggage than North West

                      Comment

                      • #221
                        Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

                        Originally posted by Wisko McBadgerton View Post
                        Mike's Weather Page looks like a holdover web page from the 90's
                        Yowzer! Any site with that architecture ought to be selling dick pills, nascent iodine, and gold stocks.
                        Cornell University
                        National Champion 1967, 1970
                        ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                        Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                        Comment

                        • #222
                          Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

                          The US MARAD has activated 3 reserve fleet ships to assist FEMA with the recovery efforts. SUNY Maritime's training ship and Massachusetts Maritime ship will be activated to sail within 10 days, 5ish day transit to TX coast.

                          TX A&M (Galveston) ship will stay in home port for same role.

                          These ships will be able to "house", feed etc 1200 workers to free up hotel space for displaced residents. Both are set for 30 day relief missions, with optional 30 days after that, if needed.


                          Well, they'll do it if Irma doesn't sink them on their way first.

                          Comment

                          • #223
                            Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

                            Originally posted by Kepler View Post
                            Yowzer! Any site with that architecture ought to be selling dick pills, nascent iodine, and gold stocks.
                            It's nostalgic! My guess is it was probably previously hosted on angelfire or GeoCities.



                            I for Irma --> In the last 16 years 8 "I" storm names have been retired:

                            Ingrid (2013): Triggered deadly flooding/mudslides (in addition to eastern Pacific Manuel) in Mexico

                            Igor (2010): Most damaging hurricane in recent history for Newfoundland; also struck Bermuda

                            Ike (2008): Massive storm surge on upper Texas, Louisiana coast; high wind event well inland to Ohio Valley, beyond

                            Ivan (2004): Devastated Grand Cayman; 10 to 15 foot surge along U.S. Gulf Coast; 120 tornadoes in U.S.

                            Isabel (2003): One of most significant hurricanes to hit eastern Virginia since Hazel (1954); storm surge up Chesapeake Bay

                            Isidore (2002): Heavy damage to agricultural interests in western Cuba, Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula

                            Iris (2001): Devastated southern Belize as a Category 4 hurricane
                            Originally posted by WiscTJK
                            I'm with Wisko and Tim.
                            Originally posted by Timothy A
                            Other than Wisko McBadgerton and Badger Bob, who is universally loved by all?

                            Comment

                            • #224
                              Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

                              Originally posted by Wisko McBadgerton View Post
                              Mike's Weather Page looks like a holdover web page from the 90's, but it has pretty good information and links.
                              Originally posted by Kepler View Post
                              Yowzer! Any site with that architecture ought to be selling dick pills, nascent iodine, and gold stocks.
                              He doesn't have anywhere near enough slow-loading pop-under ads to be doing that.

                              Originally posted by Wisko McBadgerton View Post
                              It's nostalgic! My guess is it was probably previously hosted on angelfire or GeoCities.
                              Hey, let's cut the guy a little slack. At least he's advanced beyond using HTML frames.

                              Comment

                              • #225
                                Re: 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Non-Minnesotans arguing about the weather...

                                Originally posted by FadeToBlack&Gold View Post
                                Hey, let's cut the guy a little slack. At least he's advanced beyond using HTML frames.
                                Laddy. Don't you think you should rephrase that?
                                Cornell University
                                National Champion 1967, 1970
                                ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                                Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                                Comment

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