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Presidential Election Prediction Thread

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  • #1

    Presidential Election Prediction Thread

    Go to 270towin.

    If not there already go to the President tab.

    Start from their default view (2016 Competitive). This appears to be the only way to include ME or NE splits. Go ahead and update your map so there are no beige undecideds.

    List your EV totals here. Include the chain of changes you made from the default map if you want.

    Here is my entry as an example:

    (Changes right to left)

    ME all blue
    NH blue
    NC blue
    OH red
    GA red
    FL blue
    MI blue
    IA red
    NE all red
    AZ red
    NV blue

    Clinton 323 Trump 215
    Cornell University
    National Champion 1967, 1970
    ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
    Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

    I got 340-197.

    ME Split
    NH blue
    NC blue
    OH blue
    GA red
    FL blue
    MI blue
    IA red
    NE all red
    AZ red
    NV blue
    **NOTE: The misleading post above was brought to you by Reynold's Wrap and American Steeples, makers of Crosses.

    Originally Posted by dropthatpuck-Scooby's a lost cause.
    Originally Posted by First Time, Long Time-Always knew you were nothing but a troll.

    Comment

    • #3
      Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

      427-105-6
      a legend and an out of work bum look a lot alike, daddy.

      Comment

      • #4
        Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

        Originally posted by mookie1995 View Post
        -6
        Utah?
        Cornell University
        National Champion 1967, 1970
        ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
        Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

        Comment

        • #5
          Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

          308-230

          ME all blue
          NH blue
          NC red
          OH red
          GA red
          FL blue
          MI blue
          IA red
          NE all red
          AZ red
          NV blue

          Florida isn't called until 6am Wednesday, NC around midnight.
          "I went over the facts in my head, and admired how much uglier the situation had just become. Over the years I've learned that ignorance is more than just bliss. It's freaking orgasmic ecstasy".- Harry Dresden, Blood Rites


          Western Michigan Bronco Hockey- 2012 Mason Cup Champions

          Comment

          • #6
            Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

            Originally posted by Kepler View Post
            Utah?
            mccallum wins utah
            a legend and an out of work bum look a lot alike, daddy.

            Comment

            • #7
              Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

              50-43-6-1 for Hillary/Orange Clown/Stoner/Loon. Trump loses about 10% of GOP vote from Romney's levels, most of which go and get baked with Gary Johnson on election night.

              EV 341-197. Only states that flip from last time are IA goes Trump and NC goes Hillary. She holds Ohio as Trump needs a good GOTV on election day to overtime Hillary EV advantage, but he has no campaign in place to do so and the state GOP (Kasich, etc) hates him.

              Senate 52-46 Dems. Dems win IL-WI-NH-PA-NC and at least one of IN-MO-FL (little Marco isn't out of the woods yet especially if Trump loses by more than a couple of %).

              House about 20 seat gain primarily from states that Trump is going to get killed in, like IL/CA/NY as well as a giveback of some of the 25 or so GOP reps sitting in Dem districts.
              Legally drunk???? If its "legal", what's the ------- problem?!? - George Carlin

              Ever notice how everybody who drives slower than you is an idiot, and everybody who drives faster is a maniac? - George Carlin

              "I've never seen so much reason and bullsh*t contained in ONE MAN."

              Comment

              • #8
                Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

                I predict much higher turnout compared to past several national elections; I'll take the over at 65%. What that means, who knows?

                Someone needs to take the other side, with appropriate odds, I suppose.

                Trump 279, Clinton 259. Just to be a contrarian.
                "Hope is a good thing; maybe the best of things."

                "Beer is a sign that God loves us and wants us to be happy." -- Benjamin Franklin

                "Being Irish, he had an abiding sense of tragedy, which sustained him through temporary periods of joy." -- W. B. Yeats

                "People generally are most impatient with those flaws in others about which they are most ashamed of in themselves." - folk wisdom

                Comment

                • #9
                  Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

                  341-197 Clinton

                  ME split
                  NH blue
                  NC blue
                  OH blue
                  GA red
                  FL blue
                  MI blue
                  IA red
                  NE split
                  AZ red
                  NV blue

                  That is my "If the FBI BS never really mattered" because that was my prediction after debate 3. When I did my more realistic one I had Florida and OH flipped and Clinton won 294-244.
                  "It's as if the Drumpf Administration is made up of the worst and unfunny parts of the Cleveland Browns, Washington Generals, and the alien Mon-Stars from Space Jam."
                  -aparch

                  "Scenes in "Empire Strikes Back" that take place on the tundra planet Hoth were shot on the present-day site of Ralph Engelstad Arena."
                  -INCH

                  Of course I'm a fan of the Vikings. A sick and demented Masochist of a fan, but a fan none the less.
                  -ScoobyDoo 12/17/2007

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

                    Originally posted by FreshFish View Post
                    I predict much higher turnout compared to past several national elections; I'll take the over at 65%. What that means, who knows?

                    Someone needs to take the other side, with appropriate odds, I suppose.

                    Trump 279, Clinton 259. Just to be a contrarian.
                    If he wins I see it this way.

                    270-268

                    ME split
                    NH red
                    NC red
                    OH red
                    GA red
                    FL red
                    MI blue
                    IA red
                    NE all red
                    AZ red
                    NV red
                    **NOTE: The misleading post above was brought to you by Reynold's Wrap and American Steeples, makers of Crosses.

                    Originally Posted by dropthatpuck-Scooby's a lost cause.
                    Originally Posted by First Time, Long Time-Always knew you were nothing but a troll.

                    Comment

                    • #11
                      Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

                      Originally posted by FreshFish View Post
                      Trump 279, Clinton 259. Just to be a contrarian.
                      Can you post your states? I'm curious.
                      Cornell University
                      National Champion 1967, 1970
                      ECAC Champion 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1973, 1980, 1986, 1996, 1997, 2003, 2005, 2010
                      Ivy League Champion 1966, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1977, 1978, 1983, 1984, 1985, 1996, 1997, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005, 2012, 2014, 2018, 2019, 2020

                      Comment

                      • #12
                        Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

                        I ain't predicting ****. Don't want to jinx anything.

                        Cornell '04, Stanford '06

                        KDR

                        Rover Frenchy, Classic! Great post.
                        iwh30 I wish I could be as smart as you. I really do you are the man
                        gregg729 I just saw your sig, you do love having people revel in your "intelligence."
                        Ritt18 you are the perfect representation of your alma mater.
                        Miss Thundercat That's it, you win.
                        TBA#2 I want to kill you and dance in your blood.
                        DisplacedCornellian Hahaha. Thread over. Frenchy wins.

                        Test to see if I can add this.

                        Comment

                        • #13
                          Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

                          349-189 Clinton
                          That community is already in the process of dissolution where each man begins to eye his neighbor as a possible enemy, where non-conformity with the accepted creed, political as well as religious, is a mark of disaffection; where denunciation, without specification or backing, takes the place of evidence; where orthodoxy chokes freedom of dissent; where faith in the eventual supremacy of reason has become so timid that we dare not enter our convictions in the open lists, to win or lose.

                          Comment

                          • #14
                            Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

                            I'm not sure what the final outcome will be but I think Trump will do significantly better than people expect in ME, NH, CO, PA, MI, WI, and MN. It seems to me LePage (ME governor) did much better in the actual voting than the polls leading up to the election and in a lot of ways those elections were similar to this years presidential election. He is similar to Trump and ran against very flawed democrats. They were flawed in different ways than Clinton but flawed nonetheless.
                            Originally posted by BobbyBrady
                            Crosby probably wouldn't even be on BC's top two lines next year

                            Comment

                            • #15
                              Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

                              Originally posted by Kepler View Post
                              Can you post your states? I'm curious.
                              Hey, we're "playing" with the map, no? I thought I'd flip a few states both ways that would be unexpected.

                              I gave Clinton GA, NV, NC.

                              I gave Trump AZ, IA, WI, MI, IN, OH, PA, NH, FL, 1 in ME, 4 in NE.

                              If you want to be more conventional, flip NC and WI back the other way.

                              and I ignored that "rogue" elector in WA or wherever it is...
                              "Hope is a good thing; maybe the best of things."

                              "Beer is a sign that God loves us and wants us to be happy." -- Benjamin Franklin

                              "Being Irish, he had an abiding sense of tragedy, which sustained him through temporary periods of joy." -- W. B. Yeats

                              "People generally are most impatient with those flaws in others about which they are most ashamed of in themselves." - folk wisdom

                              Comment

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