Presidential Election Prediction Thread

[The Sicatoka]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

It's easy to just give up. No thinking, action, or any effort at all required.

My Presidential prediction:
Kepler wakes up tomorrow morning somewhere between disinterested and melancholy at the thought of Clinton 45. (Bernie Ex Machina will have been consumed.)

[Kepler]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

It's easy to just give up. No thinking, action, or any effort at all required.

[Handyman]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

I don't even have to read the paper to find out who won. All I have to see is who complains about a hangover from partying too hard, and who goes all emo and tries to slit their wrists. All while the Stein supporters, the Johnson supporters, and I sit in the corner and facepalm at the stupidity.

If you think it is stupid then it is obviously right. Scooby is right more often than you Wal-Mart Death Camp Boy

[The Sicatoka]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Watch just 3 things:

- The ME 2 district
- PA
- NC

If those all go to Clinton the night's done early.
If two of those three go Trump, suddenly you're watching FL and OH. <-- If those go Trump, you then look at VA and MI (believe it or not).

[walrus]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

I dunno. From what I've heard about The County, we probably can't expect sentience there.

Its not just the county, its the coast also. If it were just the county it would go Trump. I think its close but goes to Hilary. At this point Hilary wins easily, the question remains how senate races go and how Congressional races turnout.

Never seen so much money spent on 2nd district congressional race here in Maine. The amount of TV ads is staggering(averaging 335 a day according to some reports). As many as 4 in row during local news. Its a tossup at this point. Cain is way to liberal for me and Poliquin is way to slimy.

EDIT: Clinton 538, Trump 0

[FlagDUDE08]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

I don't even have to read the paper to find out who won. All I have to see is who complains about a hangover from partying too hard, and who goes all emo and tries to slit their wrists. All while the Stein supporters, the Johnson supporters, and I sit in the corner and facepalm at the stupidity.

[ticapnews]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Clinton 278, Sniffles 260

Clinton: MI, NV, NH
Sniffles: FL, OH, GA, NC, AZ, IA, ME CD2, NE

[Kepler]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

I gave Clinton GA, NV, NC.

I gave Trump AZ, IA, WI, MI, IN, OH, PA, NH, FL, 1 in ME, 4 in NE.

That's an interesting angle. You could even push it further, like this:

Rust Belt Rebellion: Trump + PA, OH, MI, WI and IL.

The Unbroken Coast: Clinton + NC, SC, GA, FL, NH, solid ME

The Solid Prairie: Trump + IA, solid NE, MN, CO

Montezuma's Revenge: Hillary + NV, AZ, TX

Brave New Map: Clinton 312 Trump 226.

[Kepler]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

I spit-balled and gave ME-2 to Trump. I suspect you're probably correct, though.

I dunno. From what I've heard about The County, we probably can't expect sentience there.

[FadeToBlack&Gold]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Go to 270towin.

If not there already go to the President tab.

Start from their default view (2016 Competitive). This appears to be the only way to include ME or NE splits. Go ahead and update your map so there are no beige undecideds.

List your EV totals here. Include the chain of changes you made from the default map if you want.

Here is my entry as an example:

(Changes right to left)

ME all blue
NH blue
NC blue
OH red
GA red
FL blue
MI blue
IA red
NE all red
AZ red
NV blue

Clinton 323 Trump 215

322-216 Clinton

You and I are identical, except I spit-balled and gave ME-2 to Trump. I suspect you're probably correct, though.

Seriously, fck Ohio.

[FreshFish]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Can you post your states? I'm curious.

Hey, we're "playing" with the map, no? I thought I'd flip a few states both ways that would be unexpected.

I gave Clinton GA, NV, NC.

I gave Trump AZ, IA, WI, MI, IN, OH, PA, NH, FL, 1 in ME, 4 in NE.

If you want to be more conventional, flip NC and WI back the other way.

and I ignored that "rogue" elector in WA or wherever it is...

[Drew S.]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

I'm not sure what the final outcome will be but I think Trump will do significantly better than people expect in ME, NH, CO, PA, MI, WI, and MN. It seems to me LePage (ME governor) did much better in the actual voting than the polls leading up to the election and in a lot of ways those elections were similar to this years presidential election. He is similar to Trump and ran against very flawed democrats. They were flawed in different ways than Clinton but flawed nonetheless.

[SJHovey]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

349-189 Clinton

[French Rage]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

I ain't predicting ****. Don't want to jinx anything.

[Kepler]

Re: Presidential Election Prediction Thread

Trump 279, Clinton 259. Just to be a contrarian.

Can you post your states? I'm curious.