Re: statistics question
Right - that's why I said you should really consider all 9 possible panels that could result in zero As on the jury.
Yes - lots of self-selection involved in juries.
1 in 180000 for the panel to contain 4 or fewer As, but it would still be considerably less likely than that (by orders of magnitude) for the actual jury to contain zero As.
I think only about 40% of Americans have 4-year or 2-year college degrees, so it's more likely that 70% = people without a 4-year degree.
Originally posted by Patman
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That being said, i would think the eye-ball situation seems about right... but you also have to remember that people actually show up for jury duty and they don't always hunt you down if you don't show. Also you have to consider that odd situations do occur in the stream of reality... while your wife is a one-shot deal if this is over months and years something weird has a higher chance than you think. Like for example, the chance of 3 perfect games in a single month is not nearly as remote as one may want to believe.
edit: ok, its more like 1 in 180,000 for a single instance... and over the course of a work year the chance of it happening is still small 1 in 721... I'd still wonder about self-selection... no shows.
I think only about 40% of Americans have 4-year or 2-year college degrees, so it's more likely that 70% = people without a 4-year degree.
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