BU had a less than successful head coach the past four seasons and after his first two seasons I compiled the coaching records of every DI head coach since WWII. When comparing said coaching records almost every successful coach had some level of success in his first four seasons, with Coach Berenson being the outlier, with a barely winning record his fourth season. Times have changed but overall I think four seasons is enough time to determine if a coach will be truly successful.
Coach Sandelin was able to take UMD to the WCHA semifinals in his third season (2002--03; 0.583%) and to both the WCHA semifinals and Frozen Flour in his fourth season (2003-04; 0.667%). He then suffered four losing seasons before winning the WCHA tournament and making the NCAAs in 2008-09 and he won the NCAAs in 2011, both several seasons before the formation of the Big Ten hockey conference. His postseason success did improve after the split, although a regular season title is still missing from his resume.
Here are the cumulative records for Coaches Johnson, York (at Clarkson, BC and BG), Sandelin, Granato and Berenson after four seasons:
As can be seen, Coach Johnson had already shown he could coach, while Coach York did his best with Bowling Green his first four seasons. Meanwhile Coach Berenson with only one barely winning season and a losing record overall still had a lot to prove. Here are each coaches records after six full seasons:
Coach Johnson has maintained his overall record and has made another NCAA tournament, while Coach York has improved his records at all thee schools and won his NCAA title at BG. Meanwhile, Coach Berenson has continued to improve his overall record, while Coach Sandelin, in the middle of his four straight losing seasons has backslide to the bottom and Coach Granato has remained flat. In reality Coach Granato improved his cumulative record before having it drop again last season. The season-to-season changes can be seen in the following graph:
As can be seen, Coach Granato's cumulative record has decreased every season except for the 2020-21, when it went up slightly. In comparison, Coach Berenson's record has slowly improved and is about to rapidly improve, while Coach York's records at BG and BC have strongly improved, while his record at Clarkson dipped, but then improved. It's possible that with more time Coach Granato could have better results like Coach Sandelin did, but of 82 coaches with a losing cumulative record after 6 seasons who coached for at least another season just 14 ended with a winning record or currently have a winning record:
Of course, beyond just the wins and losses is how a team plays for a coach. It was only one game, but the difference in the way BU played Saturday night compared to every game last season was encouraging. I'm looking forward to seeing how the team plays over the next several months, unlike last season. I hope that soon you will likewise be looking forward to watching Wisconsin play.
Sean
Originally posted by xuw
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Originally posted by Timothy A
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Here are the cumulative records for Coaches Johnson, York (at Clarkson, BC and BG), Sandelin, Granato and Berenson after four seasons:
First 4 Seasons | GC | W | L | T | Pct. | ||
Bob Johnson | WI | 125 | 82 | 41 | 2 | 0.664 | Ŧ† |
Jerry York | BG | 159 | 84 | 65 | 10 | 0.560 | !!*!†*≠ |
Jerry York | CLA | 120 | 61 | 56 | 3 | 0.521 | ! |
Jerry York | BC | 151 | 70 | 67 | 14 | 0.510 | !^? |
Scott Sandelin | UMD | 166 | 70 | 80 | 16 | 0.470 | !!‡ |
Tony Granato | WI | 146 | 62 | 72 | 12 | 0.466 | ≠ |
Red Berenson | MI | 159 | 61 | 96 | 2 | 0.390 |
* League Regular Season Champion |
! League Tournament Semifinals |
≠ League Tournament Runner-Up |
^ League Tournament Champion |
‼ League Playoff Series/2nd Round/Regional Runner-up/2020 Semifinalist |
Ŧ League Playoff Series/2nd Round Winner/Regional Champion |
# National Invitational Hockey Tournament |
₸ NIHT Runner-up |
₹ NIHT Champion |
† NCAA Tournament |
(†) Probable 2020 NCAA Tournament/2021 Tournament (unable to participate due to COVID) |
‡ NCAA Frozen Four |
? NCAA Runner-up |
ǂ NCAA Champion |
As can be seen, Coach Johnson had already shown he could coach, while Coach York did his best with Bowling Green his first four seasons. Meanwhile Coach Berenson with only one barely winning season and a losing record overall still had a lot to prove. Here are each coaches records after six full seasons:
First 6 Seasons | GC | W | L | T | Pct. | ||
Bob Johnson | WI | 197 | 129 | 64 | 4 | 0.665 | Ŧ†Ŧ† |
Jerry York | BG | 245 | 139 | 94 | 12 | 0.592 | !!*!†*≠*!ǂ! |
Jerry York | CLA | 184 | 106 | 75 | 3 | 0.584 | !*! |
Jerry York | BC | 236 | 126 | 91 | 19 | 0.574 | !^?^‡≠? |
Tony Granato | WI | 214 | 92 | 106 | 16 | 0.467 | ≠*≠† |
Red Berenson | MI | 242 | 107 | 123 | 12 | 0.467 | ! |
Scott Sandelin | UMD | 244 | 96 | 122 | 26 | 0.447 | !!‡ |
Coach Johnson has maintained his overall record and has made another NCAA tournament, while Coach York has improved his records at all thee schools and won his NCAA title at BG. Meanwhile, Coach Berenson has continued to improve his overall record, while Coach Sandelin, in the middle of his four straight losing seasons has backslide to the bottom and Coach Granato has remained flat. In reality Coach Granato improved his cumulative record before having it drop again last season. The season-to-season changes can be seen in the following graph:
As can be seen, Coach Granato's cumulative record has decreased every season except for the 2020-21, when it went up slightly. In comparison, Coach Berenson's record has slowly improved and is about to rapidly improve, while Coach York's records at BG and BC have strongly improved, while his record at Clarkson dipped, but then improved. It's possible that with more time Coach Granato could have better results like Coach Sandelin did, but of 82 coaches with a losing cumulative record after 6 seasons who coached for at least another season just 14 ended with a winning record or currently have a winning record:
Career | GC | W | L | T | Pct. | ||
Red Berenson | MI | 1366 | 848 | 426 | 92 | 0.654 | !!†*≠‡!‡*^†*!‡*^ǂ*^‡!ǂ^†*!†≠‡*^‡^‡*≠†*^†!†≠†*^‡ ≠†^ †*!?≠†≠≠^† |
Jack Riley | USMA | 905 | 542 | 343 | 20 | 0.610 | !! |
Doug Ross | UAH | 673 | 376 | 255 | 42 | 0.590 | ?D2ǂD2?D2ǂD2**^† |
Casey Jones | CLA | 403 | 200 | 152 | 51 | 0.560 | ≠†^†(†) |
Enrico Blasi | MIA | 785 | 398 | 311 | 76 | 0.555 | !†*≠††≠†?*!‡^†!†*!†≠^† |
Scott Sandelin | UMD | 870 | 428 | 348 | 94 | 0.546 | !!‡^†ǂ!††≠†^?!ǂ^ǂ(†)!‡^† |
Chris Bergeron | BG | 369 | 171 | 154 | 44 | 0.523 | !!!!≠!≠† |
Frank Serratore | AFA | 926 | 436 | 394 | 96 | 0.523 | !!!!^†^†*^†!^†*^†!^†^† |
Craig Dahl | SCSU | 699 | 338 | 309 | 52 | 0.521 | †≠!!!†^†!†† |
Nate Leaman | UC | 300 | 138 | 127 | 35 | 0.518 | ≠*† |
James Fullerton | BRN | 353 | 176 | 168 | 9 | 0.511 | ?≠‡! |
Dan Farrell | MI | 270 | 135 | 129 | 6 | 0.511 | ‼‼≠? |
John Markell | OSU | 603 | 280 | 267 | 56 | 0.511 | ≠‡!†!!†^†≠†† |
Paul Pearl | HC | 659 | 296 | 294 | 69 | 0.502 | ^!*^†!*^† |
Of course, beyond just the wins and losses is how a team plays for a coach. It was only one game, but the difference in the way BU played Saturday night compared to every game last season was encouraging. I'm looking forward to seeing how the team plays over the next several months, unlike last season. I hope that soon you will likewise be looking forward to watching Wisconsin play.
Sean
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