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It all starts with the goaltending. -
I put this all together late on Saturday night and then just forgot to post it. Whoops!Originally posted by sshablak View Post
Heading into the final weekend*, three teams are guaranteed a bye, two more are guaranteed a home series, but beyond that, it's a whole cluster of indecision. The line for hosting in the first round is surrounded by four teams separated by less than a point and a half. It's at this time that I will remind you that my simulation does not robustly handle ties in the standings; ties of more than three teams or going beyond the total wins tiebreaker are not handled correctly, which can lead to some inaccurate predictions at the margins.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 1010.1 possibilities; n=1,000,000):- Quinnipiac
- Clarkson
- Harvard
- Cornell
––––– - Colgate
- RPI
- Princeton
- SLU
————— - Brown
- Union
- Dartmouth
- Yale
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.
Rank and Points breakdown:Playoffs:Code:| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Qu | 390.6 | 94.9 5.1 | 1.05 | 55.58 Ck | 185.2 | 5.1 94.1 0.8 | 1.96 | 51.83 Ha | 147.6 | x 0.8 99.2 | 2.99 | 46.56 Cr | 111.7 | 86.3 13.4 0.3 | 4.14 | 35.92 Cg | 70.0 | 13.1 77.6 8.7 0.6 | 4.97 | 32.50 RP | 55.8 | 0.6 7.4 80.2 10.2 1.5 0.1 x | 6.05 | 29.74 Pr | 37.7 | 1.6 5.5 30.0 21.5 22.1 14.5 4.7 0.2 | 8.20 | 25.74 SL | 38.9 | 2.9 24.9 21.7 20.3 15.2 6.8 8.3 | 8.73 | 25.35 Br | 29.7 | 1.3 18.1 22.2 18.2 31.8 7.6 0.7 | 8.87 | 24.92 Un | 38.9 | 1.1 13.4 23.4 24.7 10.5 19.1 7.8 | 9.19 | 24.36 Da | 33.4 | 2.3 8.2 12.1 18.6 40.3 18.5 | 10.42 | 22.59 Ya | 28.9 | 0.5 1.6 2.5 9.4 21.5 64.5 | 11.43 | 20.89 | KRACH | 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 |AvgPts --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Qu | 390.6 | 2.2 1.9 4.3 21.6 10.1 16.9 43.0 | 55.58 Ck | 185.2 | 1.2 1.3 3.3 17.0 10.0 18.6 48.6 | 51.83 Ha | 147.6 | 0.6 0.7 1.5 7.3 5.7 9.8 25.0 10.9 14.3 24.2 | 46.56 Cr | 111.7 | 12.8 7.0 9.9 43.6 9.6 6.2 10.8 | 35.92 Cg | 70.0 | 19.3 9.2 10.4 41.4 8.6 4.6 6.5 | 32.50 RP | 55.8 | 17.7 8.5 9.6 38.2 8.6 6.1 11.2 | 29.74 Pr | 37.7 | 20.5 12.4 10.1 26.4 10.6 6.7 9.4 2.0 1.0 0.9 | 25.74 SL | 38.9 | 12.0 6.2 8.0 33.8 9.3 9.5 21.2 | 25.35 Br | 29.7 | 31.9 13.2 10.3 31.3 6.3 3.1 3.9 | 24.92 Un | 38.9 | 23.9 10.7 10.0 36.0 7.6 4.6 7.3 | 24.36 Da | 33.4 | 21.9 9.7 9.3 33.9 7.9 5.9 11.3 | 22.59 Ya | 28.9 | 32.3 13.4 10.3 30.9 6.3 3.0 3.7 | 20.89 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred. Blank outcomes are impossible
Code:| RP Pr SL Br Un Da Ya | BYE ------------------------------------------------------ Qu | | BYE Ck | | BYE Ha | | BYE Cr | x 0.0 1.1 0.1 1.1 2.6 8.7 | 86.3 Cg | x 0.2 7.4 1.2 7.7 17.8 52.6 | 13.1 RP | x 5.2 8.1 9.7 17.4 36.1 22.8 | 0.6 Pr | 0.0 x 11.5 16.5 13.1 11.2 6.2 | NO SL | 0.0 10.0 x 19.9 9.6 9.1 0.9 | NO Br | 0.0 8.7 8.7 x 10.8 9.2 4.2 | NO Un | 0.0 12.4 10.9 9.3 x 3.4 1.9 | NO Da | x 4.6 2.2 1.4 1.6 x 0.5 | NO Ya | x 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.8 0.2 x | NO Hosts on the left, visitors across the top. KRACH | 1st QF SF F ------------------------------------- Qu | 390.6 | --- 98.1 80.2 56.8 Ck | 185.2 | --- 92.7 53.9 21.0 Ha | 147.6 | --- 85.2 38.4 13.2 Cr | 111.7 | 98.3 68.4 18.5 6.7 Cg | 70.0 | 80.1 26.6 5.1 1.4 RP | 55.8 | 68.5 14.0 2.2 0.5 Pr | 37.7 | 52.2 4.0 0.4 0.1 SL | 38.9 | 50.9 3.8 0.4 0.1 Br | 29.7 | 39.9 1.9 0.2 0.0 Un | 38.9 | 48.7 3.3 0.4 0.1 Da | 33.4 | 36.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 Ya | 28.9 | 24.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred.RPI Pep Band
GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!
2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last PlaceComment
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Mid weekend update!
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 105.4 possibilities; n=1,000,000):- Quinnipiac
- Clarkson
- Harvard
- Cornell
––––– - Colgate
- RPI
- Union
- Brown
————— - SLU
- Princeton
- Yale
- Dartmouth
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.
Rank and Points breakdown:Playoffs:Code:| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Qu | 334.9 | 90.0 10.0 | 1.10 | 53.31 Ck | 173.3 | 10.0 90.0 | 1.90 | 50.39 Ha | 128.8 | 100.0 | 3.00 | 44.19 Cr | 126.5 | 97.4 2.6 | 4.03 | 38.21 Cg | 73.3 | 2.6 97.4 | 4.97 | 33.69 RP | 58.3 | 100.0 | 6.00 | 31.02 Un | 43.5 | 69.0 20.4 8.9 1.6 | 7.43 | 26.70 Br | 30.3 | 9.9 32.5 40.0 17.6 | 8.65 | 25.61 SL | 38.6 | 8.2 25.7 21.1 8.9 32.3 3.7 | 9.42 | 24.64 Pr | 35.8 | 12.8 21.3 15.7 36.7 8.7 4.8 | 9.21 | 24.58 Ya | 31.1 | 14.3 21.7 32.8 31.2 | 10.81 | 22.36 Da | 31.5 | x 13.5 26.2 60.3 | 11.47 | 21.30 | KRACH | 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 |AvgPts --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Qu | 334.9 | 14.5 6.4 12.9 66.2 | 53.31 Ck | 173.3 | 12.1 6.0 13.1 68.7 | 50.39 Ha | 128.8 | 4.4 3.0 5.7 27.5 10.0 14.2 35.1 | 44.19 Cr | 126.5 | 17.8 6.7 12.5 63.0 | 38.21 Cg | 73.3 | 66.2 12.9 6.4 14.5 | 33.69 RP | 58.3 | 55.6 11.5 7.7 25.2 | 31.02 Un | 43.5 | 33.8 8.8 10.5 46.9 | 26.70 Br | 30.3 | 68.7 13.1 6.0 12.1 | 25.61 SL | 38.6 | 36.0 9.0 10.1 44.8 | 24.64 Pr | 35.8 | 39.8 15.8 10.1 24.0 4.8 2.4 3.2 | 24.58 Ya | 31.1 | 44.8 10.1 9.0 36.0 | 22.36 Da | 31.5 | 46.9 10.5 8.8 33.8 | 21.30 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred. Blank outcomes are impossible
Code:| Un Br SL Pr Ya Da | BYE ------------------------------------------------ Cr | x x 0.2 x 0.8 1.6 | 97.4 Cg | x x 3.5 4.8 30.4 58.7 | 2.6 RP | x x 32.3 8.7 32.8 26.2 | NO Un | x 22.2 10.3 35.0 16.9 5.1 | NO Br | 3.3 x 8.9 12.3 14.5 3.4 | NO SL | 5.3 18.6 x 5.0 x 5.0 | NO Pr | 1.9 16.8 10.8 x 4.7 x | NO Hosts on the left, visitors across the top. KRACH | 1st QF SF F ------------------------------------- Qu | 334.9 | BYE 97.5 76.1 52.8 Ck | 173.3 | BYE 91.8 54.6 22.4 Ha | 128.8 | BYE 81.4 34.7 12.2 Cr | 126.5 | 99.7 71.4 23.8 9.6 Cg | 73.3 | 78.6 24.1 5.6 1.6 RP | 58.3 | 69.4 16.1 3.0 0.8 Un | 43.5 | 59.5 6.9 0.9 0.2 Br | 30.3 | 42.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 SL | 38.6 | 47.0 3.3 0.4 0.1 Pr | 35.8 | 46.1 3.0 0.4 0.1 Ya | 31.1 | 31.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 Da | 31.5 | 26.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred.RPI Pep Band
GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!
2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last PlaceComment
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Thank you Lugnut, I find these stats very interesting !
It all starts with the goaltending.Comment
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Well Princeton and Harvard are keeping this from being a true end of season post, but you get the gist. Even the probabilities here are a little skewed because of how I handle overtime and shootouts, but broad strokes, SLU should feel decently confident that they'll be staying in the North Country next weekend.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 100.78 possibilities; n=1,000,000):- Quinnipiac
- Clarkson
- Harvard
- Cornell
––––– - Colgate
- RPI
- Union
- SLU
————— - Brown
- Princeton
- Dartmouth
- Yale
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.
Rank and Points breakdown:Playoffs:Code:| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Qu | 347.4 | 100.0 | 1.00 | 54.00 Ck | 175.5 | 100.0 | 2.00 | 51.00 Ha | 134.5 | 100.0 | 3.00 | 45.25 Cr | 131.0 | 100.0 | 4.00 | 39.00 Cg | 70.6 | 100.0 | 5.00 | 33.00 RP | 55.9 | 100.0 | 6.00 | 30.00 Un | 43.2 | 100.0 | 7.00 | 27.00 SL | 41.0 | 83.6 16.4 | 8.16 | 26.00 Br | 29.3 | 77.0 23.0 | 9.23 | 25.00 Pr | 34.2 | 16.4 6.6 77.0 | 9.61 | 23.75 Da | 31.2 | 100.0 | 11.00 | 21.00 Ya | 28.6 | 100.0 | 12.00 | 21.00 | KRACH | 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 |AvgPts --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Qu | 347.4 | 100.0 | 54.00 Ck | 175.5 | 100.0 | 51.00 Ha | 134.5 | 16.4 6.6 12.6 64.4 | 45.25 Cr | 131.0 | 100.0 | 39.00 Cg | 70.6 | 100.0 | 33.00 RP | 55.9 | 100.0 | 30.00 Un | 43.2 | 100.0 | 27.00 SL | 41.0 | 100.0 | 26.00 Br | 29.3 | 100.0 | 25.00 Pr | 34.2 | 64.4 12.6 6.6 16.4 | 23.75 Da | 31.2 | 100.0 | 21.00 Ya | 28.6 | 100.0 | 21.00 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred. Blank outcomes are impossible
Code:| SL Br Pr Da Ya ----------------------------------- Cg | 100.0 RP | 100.0 Un | 23.0 77.0 SL | 77.0 6.6 Pr | 16.4 Hosts on the left, visitors across the top. KRACH | 1st QF SF F ------------------------------------- Qu | 347.4 | --- 97.8 76.9 53.5 Ck | 175.5 | --- 91.5 53.1 21.5 Ha | 134.5 | --- 82.4 36.7 12.7 Cr | 131.0 | --- 73.6 23.9 9.9 Cg | 70.6 | 79.9 22.5 4.8 1.4 RP | 55.9 | 70.7 14.8 2.5 0.6 Un | 43.2 | 59.9 7.3 0.9 0.2 SL | 41.0 | 61.0 5.0 0.6 0.2 Pr | 34.2 | 41.8 2.1 0.2 0.1 Br | 29.3 | 37.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 Da | 31.2 | 29.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 Ya | 28.6 | 20.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred.RPI Pep Band
GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!
2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last PlaceComment
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Playoffs! As the sim has said for a while, Quinnipiac is the odds-on favorite to win the ECAC tournament, with only the other bye teams having any significant likelihood of knocking them off. There are no expected upsets in the first round, though Princeton is decently likely to knock off Union.
Simulated Whitelaw Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo simulation of 1011.3 possibilities; n=1,000,000):Future Round Matchups:Code:KRACH | 1st QF SF F Qu | 348.1 | --- 97.9 76.9 53.3 Ck | 176.5 | --- 91.6 52.5 21.2 Ha | 139.2 | --- 83.1 37.6 13.2 Cr | 131.2 | --- 73.3 23.7 9.8 Cg | 71.4 | 79.9 22.8 4.9 1.4 RP | 56.4 | 70.6 14.4 2.4 0.6 Un | 43.4 | 59.9 7.2 0.9 0.2 SL | 41.2 | 62.3 5.1 0.6 0.2 Br | 29.5 | 37.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 Pr | 33.3 | 40.1 1.7 0.2 0.0 Da | 31.6 | 29.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 Ya | 28.9 | 20.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred.
Code:QF| Cg RP Un SL Br Pr Da Ya Qu | 21.0 12.8 22.6 23.5 20.1 Ck | 33.8 28.1 17.0 15.1 5.9 Ha | 56.4 22.6 11.6 7.1 2.4 Cr | 79.9 14.2 3.6 1.5 0.9 SF| Ha Cr Cg RP Un SL Br Pr Da Ya Qu | 54.7 16.7 12.5 6.7 4.2 1.5 1.2 0.4 Ck | 74.5 11.0 3.7 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 Ha | 6.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cr | 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cg | 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 RP | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Un | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SL | 0.0 0.0 x Br | 0.0 0.0 x Pr | 0.0 F| Ck Ha Cr Cg RP Un SL Br Pr Da Ya Qu | 39.5 28.2 6.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ck | 0.8 9.0 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Ha | 6.7 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Cr | 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Cg | 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 RP | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Un | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SL | 0.0 0.0 0.0 Br | 0.0 0.0 0.0 Pr | 0.0 0.0 Da | 0.0 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred. Blank outcomes are impossible
RPI Pep Band
GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!
2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last PlaceComment
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After game one, nothing really changed for the overall odds because we mostly went chalk (*grumble grumble*).
Simulated Whitelaw Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo simulation of 1010.1 possibilities; n=1,000,000):Future Round Matchups:Code:KRACH | 1st QF SF F Qu | 351.3 | --- 97.5 76.7 53.1 Ck | 178.2 | --- 90.6 51.9 21.0 Ha | 141.3 | --- 84.1 38.3 13.6 Cr | 132.7 | --- 72.9 23.6 9.7 Cg | 71.1 | 91.1 25.6 5.4 1.5 RP | 53.9 | 36.5 6.8 1.1 0.3 Un | 45.8 | 83.4 11.4 1.5 0.4 SL | 44.0 | 84.9 7.6 1.0 0.3 Br | 28.0 | 15.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 Pr | 31.6 | 16.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 Da | 35.4 | 63.5 1.8 0.3 0.1 Ya | 30.2 | 8.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred.
Code:QF| Cg RP Un SL Br Pr Da Ya Qu | 23.6 4.2 5.5 57.9 8.9 Ck | 27.7 47.9 8.5 10.2 5.6 Ha | 33.3 50.9 12.7 2.3 0.9 Cr | 91.1 3.2 4.7 0.8 0.1 SF| Ha Cr Cg RP Un SL Br Pr Da Ya Qu | 54.3 18.9 5.9 10.3 6.5 0.6 0.7 0.4 Ck | 74.4 10.2 3.7 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.1 1.2 0.1 Ha | 6.9 2.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 Cr | 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cg | 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 RP | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Un | 0.0 0.0 0.0 x SL | 0.0 0.0 x Br | 0.0 0.0 x Pr | 0.0 F| Ck Ha Cr Cg RP Un SL Br Pr Da Ya Qu | 38.9 28.7 6.9 1.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Ck | 0.9 9.0 2.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Ha | 6.6 1.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 Cr | 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 Cg | 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 RP | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Un | 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 SL | 0.0 0.0 0.0 Br | 0.0 0.0 x Pr | 0.0 0.0 Da | 0.0 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred. Blank outcomes are impossible
RPI Pep Band
GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!
2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last PlaceComment
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Lugnut92, exactly how old are you? You don’t hear kids at the neighborhood gin mill use the term ‘chalk’ much anymore.Comment
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Look at the number at the end of my screen name and have a guess.Originally posted by iowabasedtraveler View Post
Game two brings two series to a close with the expected winner and forces games three in two other series. Both home teams will be expected to win tomorrow, but neither is more than about a 60/40 favorite.
Simulated Whitelaw Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo simulation of 104.62 possibilities; n=1,000,000):Future Round Matchups:Code:KRACH | 1st QF SF F Qu | 353.6 | --- 97.6 77.1 53.9 Ck | 173.9 | --- 89.4 50.8 20.3 Ha | 141.5 | --- 81.8 37.9 13.4 Cr | 130.4 | --- 70.9 23.2 9.4 Cg | 72.5 | 100 29.1 6.3 1.8 RP | 55.7 | 62.6 12.1 2.0 0.5 Un | 48.3 | 100 13.6 1.8 0.5 SL | 43.1 | 60.1 3.5 0.5 0.1 Br | 28.6 | 39.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 Da | 33.2 | 37.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 Pr | 30.1 | x Ya | 28.6 | x 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred.
Code:QF| Cg RP Un SL Br Da Qu | 37.5 25.0 37.4 Ck | 62.6 22.5 14.9 Ha | 62.6 37.4 Cr | 100 SF| Ha Cr Cg RP Un SL Br Da Qu | 50.7 20.8 10.4 12.8 2.2 0.8 x Ck | 71.4 11.2 4.6 x x 1.1 0.4 0.7 Ha | 7.2 3.0 x x 0.1 0.0 0.1 Cr | 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 Cg | 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 RP | 0.0 x x Un | 0.0 0.0 F| Ck Ha Cr Cg RP Un SL Br Da Qu | 38.3 28.5 7.6 2.2 0.4 0.1 x x Ck | 0.8 8.2 2.1 0.9 0.4 x x Ha | 6.2 1.6 x 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 Cr | 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Cg | 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 RP | 0.1 0.0 0.0 Un | 0.0 0.0 0.0 SL | 0.0 Br | 0.0 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred. Blank outcomes are impossible
RPI Pep Band
GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!
2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last PlaceComment
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It took an extra day, but all of the teams that were "supposed" to win did win. All four teams that had byes are heavy favorites, but there's a pretty big difference between a 70% favorite (Cornell) and a 97% favorite (Quinnipiac). In the end, we'll just have to wait and see!
Simulated Whitelaw Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo simulation of 10,368 possibilities; n=1,000,000):Future Round Matchups:Code:KRACH | QF SF F Qu | 353.2 | 96.8 76.6 53.5 Ck | 174.8 | 88.1 50.4 20.4 Ha | 141.3 | 79.7 36.9 13.1 Cr | 130.7 | 71.0 23.9 9.7 Cg | 72.4 | 29.0 6.5 1.8 RP | 57.7 | 20.3 3.5 0.9 Un | 48.1 | 11.9 1.5 0.4 SL | 42.7 | 3.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred.Code:SF| Ha Cr Cg RP Un SL Qu | 48.2 19.7 17.3 11.6 Ck | 67.9 12.3 5.0 2.8 Ha | 8.1 3.3 0.3 Cr | 2.1 0.2 0.1 Cg | 0.8 0.1 0.0 RP | 0.1 F| Ck Ha Cr Cg RP Un SL Qu | 37.6 27.5 8.4 2.4 0.7 Ck | 1.0 8.1 2.1 1.6 Ha | 5.9 1.5 0.7 0.3 Cr | 0.8 0.5 0.2 Cg | 0.2 0.2 0.1 RP | 0.1 0.1 Un | 0.0 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred. Blank outcomes are impossible
RPI Pep Band
GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!
2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last PlaceComment
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Sorry I missed last night, I think you all understand why I wasn't really feeling it.
Simulated Whitelaw Cup probabilities (Monte Carlo simulation of 32 possibilities; n=100,000):Future Round Matchups:Code:KRACH | QF SF F Qu | 341.1 | 100 79.1 55.4 Ck | 163.1 | 100 57.1 21.9 Ha | 132.2 | 68.8 30.7 10.6 Cr | 125.5 | 62.8 20.2 8.2 Cg | 74.6 | 37.2 8.2 2.5 RP | 59.5 | 31.2 4.7 1.4 Un | 50.4 | x SL | 43.9 | x 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 50 times. x means the outcome never occurred.Code:SF| Ha Cr Cg RP Qu | 43.1 25.7 31.2 Ck | 68.8 19.7 11.5 F| Ck Ha Cr Cg RP Qu | 45.4 23.3 7.2 3.1 Ck | 6.3 2.5 2.8 Ha | 5.3 2.0 Cr | 1.3 Cg | 0.5 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 50 times. x means the outcome never occurred. Blank outcomes are impossible
RPI Pep Band
GO GO GO YOU RED RED RED!!! and I guess Yale?
🎶🎺🎺🎺 LET'S GO BLUES!
2017-2018 RPI Pick to Click – Champion
2013-2016 RPI Pick to Click – Back-to-Back-to-Back Runner-Up
2014-15, 2018-19 ECAC Pick the Standings – Last PlaceComment
Comment