ECAC Pick the Standings 2021-2022

[lugnut92]

As we move into the final third of the season, sezenack is holding on to a lead over fellow RPI partisans Ralph Baer and JennyRN, but with the turmoil in the middle of the standings, who knows what may happen?

Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
 1    10           sezenack   22
 2     5         Ralph Baer   34
 3    32            JennyRN   42
 4    30   Earl_Leatherland   44
 5     7            drshoen   48
       9         slumulva88   48
 7    33    The Fan Average   52
 8    13            Rainman   56
 9    31            bothman   58
10     2        The Coaches   60
      17         Go Puckman   60
12     3          CLKHockey   64
      26              BobNY   64
14    12           Dutchman   66
      14         GoldenBear   66
      15             cudmud   66
17    19          DrDemento   68
18     2          The Media   74
19    25            Rjm7272   76
20    18           sshablak   80
21     4  iowabasedtraveler   86
22    16           TchrBill   86
23    24               Turk   92
24    22            apple2k   98
      29        Mike Hutter   98
26    23           lugnut92  102
27     2  Dr. Two Years Ago  116
28    27          red133883  202
29     2  The Random Number  420

[lugnut92]

Sorry about missing an update last week, but all in all not much changed. sezenack just barely remains on top with the Random Number in super last (and red133883 last amongst humans).

Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
 1    10           sezenack   50
 2     5         Ralph Baer   52
 3     7            drshoen   58
      26              BobNY   58
 5    31            bothman   60
 6    15             cudmud   62
 7    12           Dutchman   66
      25            Rjm7272   66
      33    The Fan Average   66
10    13            Rainman   70
      18           sshablak   70
12    24               Turk   72
13     2          The Media   74
      30   Earl_Leatherland   74
15     4  iowabasedtraveler   76
       9         slumulva88   76
      32            JennyRN   76
18    19          DrDemento   78
      22            apple2k   78
20     2        The Coaches   82
21     3          CLKHockey   92
      17         Go Puckman   92
23    29        Mike Hutter   94
24    14         GoldenBear   98
25     2  Dr. Two Years Ago  102
26    16           TchrBill  104
27    23           lugnut92  134
28    27          red133883  176
29     2  The Random Number  358

[Earl_Leatherland]

Middle of the pack...that's about right.

[sshablak]

bump ?

[sshablak]

Who won ?

[lugnut92]

Congratulations to sezenack for holding on to win this year's Pick the Standings contest! Rounding out the podium were Ralph Baer with his second straight second-place finish and bothman, who leapfrogged a few others to snag bronze. Sez was just off the mark to match last year's winning score, though it's still the second best ever winning score. In the back, the Random Number did especially poorly, putting up a total only exceeded by previous editions of itself and the infamous RPI Standings Board of 17-18. The worst human poster, red133883, did perfectly respectably and even could have won previous years with that score, but the ECAC has become a bit more stratified, putting even low triple digit scores at the back of the pack.

Rk Post#         Contestant  Raw
 1    10           sezenack   18
 2     5         Ralph Baer   26
 3    31            bothman   28
 4    13            Rainman   32
      33    The Fan Average   32
 6    25            Rjm7272   36
 7     7            drshoen   40
      30   Earl_Leatherland   40
 9    32            JennyRN   42
10    26              BobNY   44
11    24               Turk   46
12     2        The Coaches   48
13     2          The Media   50
      12           Dutchman   50
      15             cudmud   50
16     9         slumulva88   52
17    14         GoldenBear   56
      22            apple2k   56
19     3          CLKHockey   58
      18           sshablak   58
21    17         Go Puckman   60
      19          DrDemento   60
23     4  iowabasedtraveler   66
24    16           TchrBill   78
25    29        Mike Hutter   82
26     2  Dr. Two Years Ago  106
27    23           lugnut92  120
28    27          red133883  146
29     2  The Random Number  410

[lugnut92]

Congratulations again to sezenack, who missed SLU by 3 and Colgate by 2, but had everyone else either dead on or off by one. By contrast, the RNG missed three teams by 7, one by 9, and had Yale exactly wrong. Not a great year for the machines. Our worst human, red133883, had half the league off by exactly 4, which is pretty funny.

Dartmouth hurt us far more than any other team, accounting for over a fifth of the total points earned by humans and more people missing by four or more than had them within 2 spots of 11th. Conversely, we basically nailed Quinnipiac, with only The Media and Rjm7272 committing the sin of placing them as low as third.

Some graphs:

(left: Violin plot of scores, right: Heat map of our deviations from reality)

(This year compared to previous editions of the contest)

[Ralph Baer]

Thanks for doing this again, Lugnut92.

[Rainman]

the ECAC has become a bit more stratified

I will agree with you there lugnut. Even the weekly Pick'em contest has entrants picking the same winners, and some weeks earning (hypothetically) 10 out of a possible 13 points.

3 of the 4 teams that made it to Lake Placid this season were teams that didn't sit out last season. It shows how playing last season really helped Colgate (and Cornell sitting out really hurt them).

[sshablak]

Another great job Lug, I enjoy your work so much !

[Dutchman]

Thanks, Lugnut92. It was a lot of fun.