2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

[ticapnews]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

Given that at large selections and seeding are very reliably predicted (since the NCAA has not veered from the formula in as long as I’ve been paying attention), bracketology seems more appropriate here than it would be on some bouncyball forum.

At this point in the process the Pairwise is about 85% accurate on who will make the field. After this weekend it will be down to a handful of teams that still have a chance. Bracketology is a good indication of who will end up where and it is useful to have discussions like the UMass to Manchester or Providence discussion now so we've already hashed out the question ahead of time. Plus, it increases the chatter about college hockey which is kinda the point of this forum.

[MagnessMan]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

Sioux with a 19% chance of getting in. Going to be a tough run especially if the bubble shrinks. Clearest path is winning out and I don't see that happening.

[JimDahl]

Jim Dahl's forecast has them moving up as high as #10 with a sweep this weekend but they could be as low as #16 as well. But if they were to win out, definitely thinking they'd be at #12 or better. SCSU still goes to Fargo to play the Sioux essentially at home.

But centered around #14. A subsequent loss, even after a sweep, would push them back down from there. 3 wins and a loss and we might be talking about UND as a bubble team.

[jjmc85]

Has to do with Quinnipiac and Providence. Amherst to Providence and Manchester is basically the same. But if you can get QU and PC to Providence, great. Just a way of maximizing attendance.

I get that too an extent when QU and UMass were both 1 seeds. Minimize travel for both schools. Sure. I also get wanting PC in providence and that UMass and PC can’t play in the first round, and I also appreciate trying to protect UMass as the 2 overall and not risking the same fate Miami and Denver had in 2015. But even when PC was struggling earlier this season on the wrong side of the bubble and QU fell to a 2 seed, UMass was still in Manchester. The USCHO bracketology kept saying “This was done by distance and nothing else.” Do they have a map?

[MagnessMan]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

I like the potential CC/NewMass match up in the first round. Before it's a reality the kitties have some more work to do.

[John J. MacInnes]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

Here's an interesting note. Since WMU has been essentially eliminated, that means that there will be no teams from the state of Michigan in the field of 16. This will only be the second time that has occurred since 1979, two years before the field was increased to 8 teams. The only other time this happened in that span was the 2013 tournament.

[sshablak]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

If Brown wins Lake Placid, the ECAC gets five teams in the NCAA's.

[chickod]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

The argument is that UND will be a 3 seed

The seed just got plowed under...

[ticapnews]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

If Brown wins Lake Placid, the ECAC gets five teams in the NCAA's.

Only if other results bear it out. For example the ECAC only gets three teams (Quinnipiac, Clarkson, Brown) in this scenario.

[sshablak]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

Only if other results bear it out. For example the ECAC only gets three teams (Quinnipiac, Clarkson, Brown) in this scenario.

Wrong, five ECAC with a Bruno win.

[ticapnews]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

Wrong, five ECAC with a Bruno win.

Simple math.

1t St. Cloud State NCHC
1t Massachusetts HEA
3 Minnesota Duluth NCHC
4t Minnesota State WCHA
4t Quinnipiac ECAC
6 Denver NCHC
7 Ohio State B1G
8 Clarkson ECAC
9 Arizona State Ind
10t Northeastern HEA
10t Bowling Green WCHA
12 Penn State B1G
13 Harvard ECAC
22 Brown ECAC
23 Boston University HEA
31t American Internationa AHA

Are you counting Boston University as an ECAC team?

[joecct]

Simple math.

1t St. Cloud State NCHC
1t Massachusetts HEA
3 Minnesota Duluth NCHC
4t Minnesota State WCHA
4t Quinnipiac ECAC
6 Denver NCHC
7 Ohio State B1G
8 Clarkson ECAC
9 Arizona State Ind
10t Northeastern HEA
10t Bowling Green WCHA
12 Penn State B1G
13 Harvard ECAC
22 Brown ECAC
23 Boston University HEA
31t American Internationa AHA

Are you counting Boston University as an ECAC team?

Cornell?? Where is Cornell?

Ok - to get 5 ECAC
Harvard and Brown win SF, Brown gets AQ.
UMass beats Northeastern
All other results stay as you entered.

[ticapnews]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

Cornell?? Where is Cornell?

Ok - to get 5 ECAC
Harvard and Brown win SF, Brown gets AQ.
UMass beats Northeastern
All other results stay as you entered.

It CAN happen but the ECAC can also drop to three teams in, even including Brown (CC would have to win the NCHC).

[Numbers]

Re: 2019 NCAA Tournament Bracketology

Simple math.

1t St. Cloud State NCHC
1t Massachusetts HEA
3 Minnesota Duluth NCHC
4t Minnesota State WCHA
4t Quinnipiac ECAC
6 Denver NCHC
7 Ohio State B1G
8 Clarkson ECAC
9 Arizona State Ind
10t Northeastern HEA
10t Bowling Green WCHA
12 Penn State B1G
13 Harvard ECAC
22 Brown ECAC
23 Boston University HEA
31t American Internationa AHA

Are you counting Boston University as an ECAC team?

What scenario are you using?
Here is one with Brown winning ECAC which leaves Cornell out.
http://pwp.uscho.com/rankings/pairwi..._5c9304646728c
Replace Notre Dame with Penn State and the result is similar

Key features:
Bowling Green
BU
Big 10 Champ
AHA Champ
These upsets leave the cut line at 12th in the PWR, and leave Cornell out.

[ticapnews]

What scenario are you using?
Here is one with Brown winning ECAC which leaves Cornell out.
http://pwp.uscho.com/rankings/pairwi..._5c9304646728c
Replace Notre Dame with Penn State and the result is similar

Key features:
Bowling Green
BU
Big 10 Champ
AHA Champ
These upsets leave the cut line at 12th in the PWR, and leave Cornell out.

I know. The original post claimed that if Brown won the ECAC then the conference would get five teams. That CAN happen but the conference could also end up with as few as three. That's all I'm saying.