Quinnipiac is running away with this thing right now. Brown and SLU are also running away with something, but they're probably less happy about it. There's a bit of a skirmish developing at the bye line, as less than a point separates third from fifth right now. A lot of hockey left to play.
Simulated Final Standings (Monte Carlo simulation of 10^42.85 possibilites; n=1,000,000):
- Quinnipiac
- Union
- Cornell
- Yale
————— - Dartmouth
- Clarkson
- Princeton
- Harvard
————— - RPI
- Colgate
- Brown
- SLU
Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.
Rank and Points breakdown:
Code:
| KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Qu | 576.2 | 85.2 11.0 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x | 1.20 | 34.51 Un | 283.4 | 7.0 32.4 21.1 14.5 10.1 6.9 4.4 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 x | 3.46 | 28.11 Cr | 142.9 | 2.3 17.5 19.0 17.4 14.7 11.7 8.4 5.5 2.9 0.6 0.0 0.0 | 4.43 | 26.43 Ya | 175.8 | 2.4 13.8 17.3 17.4 15.7 12.9 9.8 6.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 | 4.66 | 26.11 Da | 132.1 | 1.7 12.0 15.8 16.5 15.7 13.8 11.2 8.0 4.6 0.8 0.0 0.0 | 4.92 | 25.57 Ck | 149.0 | 1.2 7.4 11.5 13.2 14.4 14.9 14.2 12.4 8.4 2.3 0.1 0.0 | 5.63 | 24.42 Pr | 108.2 | 0.1 2.5 5.4 8.4 11.6 15.0 18.2 19.5 15.0 4.2 0.2 0.0 | 6.65 | 22.66 Ha | 132.2 | 0.1 2.3 4.9 7.7 11.0 14.6 18.0 19.6 17.3 4.3 0.1 0.0 | 6.76 | 22.58 RP | 74.9 | 0.0 1.0 2.3 3.9 6.1 9.1 13.4 20.0 30.4 12.9 0.9 0.0 | 7.76 | 20.67 Cg | 50.1 | 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.4 5.9 16.1 62.9 9.5 1.4 | 9.69 | 15.82 Br | 18.8 | x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 9.0 66.4 23.8 | 11.13 | 10.02 SL | 13.8 | x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.3 22.8 74.8 | 11.72 | 7.11 | KRACH | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 |AvgPts --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Qu | 576.2 | x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.4 5.7 8.7 11.9 14.4 15.2 14.4 11.0 7.3 3.3 1.3 | 34.51 Un | 283.4 | x x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.5 5.3 7.4 9.6 11.2 12.2 12.0 10.9 8.7 6.5 4.1 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 x x | 28.11 Cr | 142.9 | x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.3 5.1 6.9 9.0 10.5 11.6 11.5 10.7 8.9 7.0 4.8 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 26.43 Ya | 175.8 | x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.7 5.5 7.7 9.6 11.3 11.8 11.7 10.3 8.5 6.1 4.2 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 x | 26.11 Da | 132.1 | x x x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.9 4.7 6.7 9.0 10.6 11.9 11.8 11.1 9.2 7.2 5.0 3.3 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 x | 25.57 Ck | 149.0 | x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.3 3.6 5.2 7.0 8.7 10.0 10.9 10.8 10.1 8.6 6.9 5.1 3.4 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 24.42 Pr | 108.2 | x x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.6 4.3 6.6 8.7 11.0 12.0 12.5 11.3 9.8 7.3 5.2 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x x | 22.66 Ha | 132.2 | x x x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.9 4.7 6.7 9.0 10.6 11.9 11.9 11.1 9.3 7.3 4.9 3.2 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x | 22.58 RP | 74.9 | x x x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.0 4.8 6.7 8.8 10.4 11.4 11.3 10.7 9.0 7.2 5.2 3.5 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x | 20.67 Cg | 50.1 | x x x 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.5 4.2 6.6 8.8 10.9 11.9 12.2 11.1 9.5 7.3 5.2 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x x x x x x | 15.82 Br | 18.8 | x x x 0.7 2.1 5.3 8.8 12.7 14.7 15.0 13.2 10.4 7.3 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 10.02 SL | 13.8 | 0.7 2.2 5.2 8.8 12.3 14.3 14.6 13.1 10.4 7.5 4.9 3.0 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x x | 7.11 Bold is each team's most likely outcome. 0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times. x means the outcome never occurred.
Code:
| Qu Un Cr Ya Da Ck Pr Ha RP Cg Br SL | BYE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Qu | x x x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 | 99.7 Un | 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.5 4.0 7.4 9.2 | 75.0 Cr | x 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.4 1.5 2.9 7.6 12.0 13.9 | 56.2 Ya | x 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.6 3.6 8.9 13.2 14.9 | 51.0 Da | x 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.2 4.1 10.0 13.9 15.2 | 45.9 Ck | x 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 2.4 2.7 7.3 12.9 14.7 14.5 | 33.3 Pr | 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.1 2.0 4.6 11.4 16.6 14.6 12.5 | 16.3 Ha | 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 2.2 4.6 10.8 16.7 14.1 12.0 | 15.1 RP | 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.6 3.0 5.6 7.0 13.2 8.8 6.9 | 7.2 Cg | x 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.1 2.0 1.5 2.5 1.0 0.6 | 0.3 Br | x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 SL | x 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | NO Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.
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