Re: Wisconsin Hockey G2O - Making UW Hockey Great Again
Let's take a quick look at the numbers. Early in the season they don't count for too much, but let's have some fun...
UW - 5-2-0 (1-1-0-0) 1T BIG
USCHO Poll - #5
PWR - #5
RPI - #5
Team O - 3.57 - 6T
Team D - 2.14 - 11
PP - 5/27 18.52 - 26T
PK - 27/32 84.4 - 19
St Lawrence - 0-6-0 (0-0-0) ECAC season not started
USCHO Poll - not receiving votes
PWR - #53
RPI - #53
Team O - 1.5 - 54
Team D - 4.33 - 51
PP - 4/27 14.81 - 38T
PK - 25/33 75.8 - 37
On paper it looks like a no-brainer...One team has been playing well, the other hasn't.
Of teams that have played (the 6 Ivy teams have not started yet), only St Lawrence has lost all of their games. Other teams are without wins, but they have managed to get some ties.
Looking slightly deeper than just the records, you can see that St Lawrence has played a ridiculous opening slate and has been close in a lot of the games.
Michigan - 3-1
(10) Penn State - 4-1
@(8) NoDak - 2-1
@(8) NoDak - 6-1
(10) Providence - 6-5 (OT)
(19) UML - 5-0
They seem to play close on Fridays and then get lit up on Saturdays. Maybe the emotional toll of the close games wears them down. Two game were blowouts, both on Saturdays after close losses on a Friday (Tied after 2 with UND, down 4-5 after 2 vs Providence).
They have also been playing a typical "east coast" schedule with 5 opponents in the first 6 games, so they haven't had a chance to play a team and then make adjustments for a second game.
I think the key is going to be a fast start on Friday night. Set the tone early and stay ahead of them. St Lawrence has shown that they can come back against teams, just not quite all of the way to get the W.
If UW gets to the 3rd period and is up 1 or 2 and goes back into the MM "prevent" mode, things could get messy.
And you also have to consider the extra emotion involved with coming to Madison, to play in one of the largest buildings in NCAA Ice Hockey, and seeing your former teammate in the opposite crease.
I think Friday will be way closer than it should be. UW up 2-0 after 1, UW up 4-1 after 2, UW wins 5-3 with an empty net goal after St Lawrence scores 2 late goals to make it close.
Saturday should be a different story, UW wins 6-1.
Let's take a quick look at the numbers. Early in the season they don't count for too much, but let's have some fun...
UW - 5-2-0 (1-1-0-0) 1T BIG
USCHO Poll - #5
PWR - #5
RPI - #5
Team O - 3.57 - 6T
Team D - 2.14 - 11
PP - 5/27 18.52 - 26T
PK - 27/32 84.4 - 19
St Lawrence - 0-6-0 (0-0-0) ECAC season not started
USCHO Poll - not receiving votes
PWR - #53
RPI - #53
Team O - 1.5 - 54
Team D - 4.33 - 51
PP - 4/27 14.81 - 38T
PK - 25/33 75.8 - 37
On paper it looks like a no-brainer...One team has been playing well, the other hasn't.
Of teams that have played (the 6 Ivy teams have not started yet), only St Lawrence has lost all of their games. Other teams are without wins, but they have managed to get some ties.
Looking slightly deeper than just the records, you can see that St Lawrence has played a ridiculous opening slate and has been close in a lot of the games.
Michigan - 3-1
(10) Penn State - 4-1
@(8) NoDak - 2-1
@(8) NoDak - 6-1
(10) Providence - 6-5 (OT)
(19) UML - 5-0
They seem to play close on Fridays and then get lit up on Saturdays. Maybe the emotional toll of the close games wears them down. Two game were blowouts, both on Saturdays after close losses on a Friday (Tied after 2 with UND, down 4-5 after 2 vs Providence).
They have also been playing a typical "east coast" schedule with 5 opponents in the first 6 games, so they haven't had a chance to play a team and then make adjustments for a second game.
I think the key is going to be a fast start on Friday night. Set the tone early and stay ahead of them. St Lawrence has shown that they can come back against teams, just not quite all of the way to get the W.
If UW gets to the 3rd period and is up 1 or 2 and goes back into the MM "prevent" mode, things could get messy.
And you also have to consider the extra emotion involved with coming to Madison, to play in one of the largest buildings in NCAA Ice Hockey, and seeing your former teammate in the opposite crease.
I think Friday will be way closer than it should be. UW up 2-0 after 1, UW up 4-1 after 2, UW wins 5-3 with an empty net goal after St Lawrence scores 2 late goals to make it close.
Saturday should be a different story, UW wins 6-1.
Comment