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  • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    In:
    North Dakota
    St Cloud
    Denver
    Boston College
    Providence
    Boston University
    Quinnipiac

    Everyone else can still be eliminated and has more work to do.
    CHN's simulations apparently have found ways for BU to fall out.
    ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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    • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

      Originally posted by brassbonanza View Post
      CHN's simulations apparently have found ways for BU to fall out.
      maybe because its.... wrong?
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      • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

        Originally posted by Patman View Post
        maybe because its.... wrong?
        hence my use of the word "apparently"
        ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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        • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

          Originally posted by brassbonanza View Post
          CHN's simulations apparently have found ways for BU to fall out.
          Not after yesterday's results...
          They now have the top 9 as locks, and 10-12 above 98.9% with Harvard and UML winning, that makes it nearly impossible for MTU or below to catch them without winning their own conference.
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          • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

            Eliminated with loss tonight:
            Alaska
            Bowling Green
            Canisius
            Clarkson
            Colorado College
            Cornell
            Holy Cross
            Lake Superior
            Mercyhurst
            Merrimack
            Miami
            Nebraska-Omaha
            Northern Michigan
            Rensselaer
            Robert Morris
            Vermont
            Western Michigan

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            • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

              Originally posted by Shirtless Guy View Post
              Not after yesterday's results...
              They now have the top 9 as locks, and 10-12 above 98.9% with Harvard and UML winning, that makes it nearly impossible for MTU or below to catch them without winning their own conference.
              Not vouching for their credibility, but according to their updates today, they claim there's a non-zero chance BU ends up at 23. http://www.collegehockeynews.com/rat...lityMatrix.php
              ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

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              • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

                Originally posted by ThePowerConference View Post
                Minnesota State (Mankato) is #20 and Miami is #25. Is it possible that they could win every game except the championship of their conference tournament and still get an at-large bid? For example, if Mankato beats Lake Superior, beats Bowling Green/Northern Michigan, and then loses to Michigan Tech, that may be enough to get them in. Same for Miami if they win 2 at UMD, beat North Dakota, and then lose to Denver or St Cloud if those scenarios play out.
                That is the scenario I use to determine if teams need the AQ or not. I then tweak teams around them as needed. I only need to get them into the tournament in one scenario (however unlikely) before I assign them to a list. I have not been able to find a scenario to get either team into the tournament.

                The BU question was raised to me on Facebook, however tiebreakers (H2H) give the advantage to BU in those scenarios meaning BU gets in and Harvard (etc) miss. I tried like the dickens to get BU out but could not find a scenario that gets them below 10th.

                Just because I can't find a scenario doesn't mean one doesn't exist. There are several million permutations and I'm not a computer.

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                • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

                  Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
                  There are several million permutations and I'm not a computer.
                  do you at least have a USB port?
                  BS UML '04, PhD UConn '09

                  Jerseys I would like to have:
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                  AIC Yellowjacket Jersey w/ Yellowjacket logo on front
                  UAF Jersey w/ Polar Bear on Front
                  Army Black Knight logo jersey


                  NCAA Men's Division 1 Simulation Primer

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                  • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

                    In the race for the overall #1 position the teams still alive are
                    North Dakota
                    Quinnipiac
                    St Cloud
                    Boston College
                    Providence

                    Denver loses a comparison because of an earlier tie with Wisconsin so I can find no way to get them to #1, even with a superior RPI.

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                    • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

                      Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
                      The BU question was raised to me on Facebook, however tiebreakers (H2H) give the advantage to BU in those scenarios meaning BU gets in and Harvard (etc) miss. I tried like the dickens to get BU out but could not find a scenario that gets them below 10th.
                      you deserve some pudding for all this work
                      a legend and an out of work bum look a lot alike, daddy.

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                      • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

                        I wouldn't call BU a lock yet, a loss tonight could push them to 11.

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                        • Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

                          Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
                          In the race for the overall #1 position the teams still alive are
                          North Dakota
                          Quinnipiac
                          St Cloud
                          Boston College
                          Providence

                          Denver loses a comparison because of an earlier tie with Wisconsin so I can find no way to get them to #1, even with a superior RPI.
                          What if they end up winning the NCHC tournament?
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                          • Originally posted by dubbie31 View Post
                            What if they end up winning the NCHC tournament?
                            Even if UND SCSU QU PC & BC all lose in the conference quarters and DU wins. They lose the comparison with (I think) BU because of the common opponent category which they cannot change. If not for the tie vs Wisconsin they would split COp and win the comparison.

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                            • Originally posted by JimDahl View Post
                              I wouldn't call BU a lock yet, a loss tonight could push them to 11.
                              When all is said and done they move back into the top 10 though. The wonders of PairWise.

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                              • Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
                                The wonders of PairWise.
                                Greatest ranking of teams ever seen by mankind
                                a legend and an out of work bum look a lot alike, daddy.

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