pairwise -- post jan 8th

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

Jayson Moy's bracketology

I differ on the B1G champion. Since I deal only with PairWise I assume Michigan will win and put the cut line at 15. Since Minnesota is hosting it makes a huge difference for North Dakota.

[Shirtless Guy]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

As I mentioned a few posts ago ticapnews, THG is proud to announce our very own pairwise predictor. More features to come, but for now, you can predict results for everything this weekend and it will auto fill the rest as you go, including 3rd games in series if necessary and semifinal, third place, championship matchups for all conference tournaments!

Check it out:
http://techhockeyguide.com/news/2016/3/10/introducing

[ticapnews]

As I mentioned a few posts ago ticapnews, THG is proud to announce our very own pairwise predictors. More features to come, but for new, you can predict results for everything this weekend and it will auto fill the rest as you go, including 3rd games in series if necessary and semifinal, third place, championship matchups for all conference tournaments!

Check it out:
http://techhockeyguide.com/news/2016/3/10/introducing

Sweet! I'll check it out in the morning!

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

http://www.uscho.com/bracketology/20...as-no-1-seeds/

Bracketology Blog

[Patman]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

As I mentioned a few posts ago ticapnews, THG is proud to announce our very own pairwise predictor. More features to come, but for now, you can predict results for everything this weekend and it will auto fill the rest as you go, including 3rd games in series if necessary and semifinal, third place, championship matchups for all conference tournaments!

Check it out:
http://techhockeyguide.com/news/2016/3/10/introducing

So far, I would take from this that the CHN simulation still has bugs in it... or this has bugs in it... or both... I'm leaning tothe idea CHN has bugs... Mankato to a 3rd place in PWR would require a lot of ground to cover in terms of RPI.

[Shirtless Guy]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

So far, I would take from this that the CHN simulation still has bugs in it... or this has bugs in it... or both... I'm leaning tothe idea CHN has bugs... Mankato to a 3rd place in PWR would require a lot of ground to cover in terms of RPI.

yeah, that 0% there doesn't make any sense, no way Minnesota State gets to 3rd but can't get to 4-12...not sure about that one.

[Patman]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

yeah, that 0% there doesn't make any sense, no way Minnesota State gets to 3rd but can't get to 4-12...not sure about that one.

in theory one could just get a long tail pull... as I said before... but not enough can actually happen for it to occur once you get in the weeds.

Let's put it this way, I'd check it if I were them even without pushing from others.

[Shirtless Guy]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

in theory would could just get a long tail pull... as I said before... but not enough can actually happen for it to occur once you get in the weeds.

Let's put it this way, I'd check it if I were them even without pushing from others.

yeah, its one thing to have the 0% by MTU for getting to 10th, even though I can't seem to get there.

[Patman]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

yeah, its one thing to have the 0% by MTU for getting to 10th, even though I can't seem to get there.

trust and programming are two things that don't belong together

[Shirtless Guy]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

trust and programming are two things that don't belong together

it doesn't mean it isn't possible...it takes just the right outcomes to maximize MTU's RPI while hurting the right teams. I tried to calculate who MTU wants to win every game based on their schedule, but that's tough too...haven't quite gotten it right yet.

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

I was just playing with the new PairWise Predictor and the first scenario I put in yielded an interesting result. All 6 conference autobids went to teams in the top 16, meaning no cut line for the first time in history. To do this I had all #1 seeds except Minnesota win the conference playoffs. It also works if Minnesota wins the B1G and Omaha and Cornell both get swept in the first round.

ETA: Also if Penn State wins the B1G. Basically, if RMU wins the AHA autobid and Michigan Tech the WCHA autobid then if any of the high seeds in the other four conferences win then there will be no cut line.

[Patman]

it doesn't mean it isn't possible...it takes just the right outcomes to maximize MTU's RPI while hurting the right teams. I tried to calculate who MTU wants to win every game based on their schedule, but that's tough too...haven't quite gotten it right yet.

And I'm saying once one tests for bugs they should test again

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

In:
North Dakota
St Cloud
Denver
Boston College
Providence
Boston University
Quinnipiac

Everyone else can still be eliminated and has more work to do.

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

Eliminated:
Alabama-Huntsville
Alaska-Anchorage
American International
Arizona State
Brown
Colgate
Connecticut
Maine
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
Niagara
Princeton
Sacred Heart
Union

Need AQ:
Air Force
Alaska
Army
Bemidji State
Bentley
Bowling Green
Canisius
Colorado College
Dartmouth
Ferris State
Holy Cross
Lake Superior
Mercyhurst
Merrimack
Miami
Michigan State
Minnesota
Minnesota State
Northern Michigan
Ohio State
Rensselaer
RIT
Robert Morris
St. Lawrence
Vermont
Western Michigan
Wisconsin

[ThePowerConference]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

Minnesota State (Mankato) is #20 and Miami is #25. Is it possible that they could win every game except the championship of their conference tournament and still get an at-large bid? For example, if Mankato beats Lake Superior, beats Bowling Green/Northern Michigan, and then loses to Michigan Tech, that may be enough to get them in. Same for Miami if they win 2 at UMD, beat North Dakota, and then lose to Denver or St Cloud if those scenarios play out.