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pairwise -- post jan 8th

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  • mookie1995
    replied
    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    The wonders of PairWise.
    Greatest ranking of teams ever seen by mankind

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Originally posted by JimDahl View Post
    I wouldn't call BU a lock yet, a loss tonight could push them to 11.
    When all is said and done they move back into the top 10 though. The wonders of PairWise.

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Originally posted by dubbie31 View Post
    What if they end up winning the NCHC tournament?
    Even if UND SCSU QU PC & BC all lose in the conference quarters and DU wins. They lose the comparison with (I think) BU because of the common opponent category which they cannot change. If not for the tie vs Wisconsin they would split COp and win the comparison.

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  • dubbie31
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    In the race for the overall #1 position the teams still alive are
    North Dakota
    Quinnipiac
    St Cloud
    Boston College
    Providence

    Denver loses a comparison because of an earlier tie with Wisconsin so I can find no way to get them to #1, even with a superior RPI.
    What if they end up winning the NCHC tournament?

    Leave a comment:


  • JimDahl
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    I wouldn't call BU a lock yet, a loss tonight could push them to 11.

    Leave a comment:


  • mookie1995
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    The BU question was raised to me on Facebook, however tiebreakers (H2H) give the advantage to BU in those scenarios meaning BU gets in and Harvard (etc) miss. I tried like the dickens to get BU out but could not find a scenario that gets them below 10th.
    you deserve some pudding for all this work

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    In the race for the overall #1 position the teams still alive are
    North Dakota
    Quinnipiac
    St Cloud
    Boston College
    Providence

    Denver loses a comparison because of an earlier tie with Wisconsin so I can find no way to get them to #1, even with a superior RPI.

    Leave a comment:


  • Patman
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    There are several million permutations and I'm not a computer.
    do you at least have a USB port?

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by ThePowerConference View Post
    Minnesota State (Mankato) is #20 and Miami is #25. Is it possible that they could win every game except the championship of their conference tournament and still get an at-large bid? For example, if Mankato beats Lake Superior, beats Bowling Green/Northern Michigan, and then loses to Michigan Tech, that may be enough to get them in. Same for Miami if they win 2 at UMD, beat North Dakota, and then lose to Denver or St Cloud if those scenarios play out.
    That is the scenario I use to determine if teams need the AQ or not. I then tweak teams around them as needed. I only need to get them into the tournament in one scenario (however unlikely) before I assign them to a list. I have not been able to find a scenario to get either team into the tournament.

    The BU question was raised to me on Facebook, however tiebreakers (H2H) give the advantage to BU in those scenarios meaning BU gets in and Harvard (etc) miss. I tried like the dickens to get BU out but could not find a scenario that gets them below 10th.

    Just because I can't find a scenario doesn't mean one doesn't exist. There are several million permutations and I'm not a computer.

    Leave a comment:


  • brassbonanza
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by Shirtless Guy View Post
    Not after yesterday's results...
    They now have the top 9 as locks, and 10-12 above 98.9% with Harvard and UML winning, that makes it nearly impossible for MTU or below to catch them without winning their own conference.
    Not vouching for their credibility, but according to their updates today, they claim there's a non-zero chance BU ends up at 23. http://www.collegehockeynews.com/rat...lityMatrix.php

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Eliminated with loss tonight:
    Alaska
    Bowling Green
    Canisius
    Clarkson
    Colorado College
    Cornell
    Holy Cross
    Lake Superior
    Mercyhurst
    Merrimack
    Miami
    Nebraska-Omaha
    Northern Michigan
    Rensselaer
    Robert Morris
    Vermont
    Western Michigan

    Leave a comment:


  • Shirtless Guy
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by brassbonanza View Post
    CHN's simulations apparently have found ways for BU to fall out.
    Not after yesterday's results...
    They now have the top 9 as locks, and 10-12 above 98.9% with Harvard and UML winning, that makes it nearly impossible for MTU or below to catch them without winning their own conference.

    Leave a comment:


  • brassbonanza
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by Patman View Post
    maybe because its.... wrong?
    hence my use of the word "apparently"

    Leave a comment:


  • Patman
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by brassbonanza View Post
    CHN's simulations apparently have found ways for BU to fall out.
    maybe because its.... wrong?

    Leave a comment:


  • brassbonanza
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    In:
    North Dakota
    St Cloud
    Denver
    Boston College
    Providence
    Boston University
    Quinnipiac

    Everyone else can still be eliminated and has more work to do.
    CHN's simulations apparently have found ways for BU to fall out.

    Leave a comment:

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