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pairwise -- post jan 8th

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  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by JimDahl View Post
    In my first exhaustive pass at all the scenarios, here's what I got:

    UND 1-4 (100% in)
    QU 1-6 (100% in)
    SCSU 1-6 (100% in)
    Providence 1-6 (100% in)
    BC 1-6 (100% in)
    Denver 3-8 (100% in)
    Michigan 6-10 (100% in)
    UML 7-11 (100% in)
    BU 6-9 (100% in)
    Yale 9-13 (99% in)
    Harvard 8-14 (86% in)
    Notre Dame 8-14 (86% in)
    Duluth 10-19 (51% in)
    Northeastern 11-17 (40% in)
    Michigan Tech 13-19 (29% in)
    Cornell 13-19 (1% in)

    The rest only get in on AQ.

    Anyone find anything outside that range?
    That looks right. I think realistically Harvard and ND are closer to "in" and can only be knocked out by the parley.
    I am shocked BC can still land #1 overall. Will endeavor to find that scenario tomorrow!

    Originally posted by Siouxfaninseattle View Post
    If North Dakota remains the #1 overall seed, they will go to St. Paul.
    North Dakota vs Minnesota in the first round...that would be something.
    If that happens, I'd only switch UND and SCSU; no need to change the other pairing. Michigan/ND is the only chance they have to sell tickets in Cincy.

    Leave a comment:


  • Siouxfaninseattle
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    If Minnesota does win:

    Cincinnati: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Michigan v Notre Dame
    Albany: 4 Boston College v Michigan Tech, Providence v Harvard
    St Paul: 3 St Cloud v Minnesota, Denver v Lowell
    Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Boston University v Yale

    Better?
    If North Dakota remains the #1 overall seed, they will go to St. Paul.

    Leave a comment:


  • JimDahl
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    In my first exhaustive pass at all the scenarios, here's what I got:

    UND 1-4 (100% in)
    QU 1-6 (100% in)
    SCSU 1-6 (100% in)
    Providence 1-6 (100% in)
    BC 1-6 (100% in)
    Denver 3-8 (100% in)
    Michigan 6-10 (100% in)
    UML 7-11 (100% in)
    BU 6-9 (100% in)
    Yale 9-13 (99% in)
    Harvard 8-14 (86% in)
    Notre Dame 8-14 (86% in)
    Duluth 10-19 (51% in)
    Northeastern 11-17 (40% in)
    Michigan Tech 13-19 (29% in)
    Cornell 13-19 (1% in)

    The rest only get in on AQ.

    Anyone find anything outside that range?

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by UML Puck Hawk View Post
    Don't mean to make more work for you, but with Bu, Lowell, and ND all in the three range, and PC and BC both being borderline 1 seeds, might we see conference first round matchups thrown out?
    In the rare scenario when Denver jumps over both Providence and Boston College it would be unavoidable as you'd have BC, PC and UML as 2 seeds and BU and ND as 3 seeds. In order for that to happen
    1) Both PC and BC must lose Friday
    2) Denver must win the NCHC
    3) St Cloud must lose 3rd place game

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    I guess Yale isn't safe.

    http://pwp.uscho.com/rankings/pairwi..._56e630ec5a692

    The "parley" includes UMD from the NCHC and Northeastern from HEA. That's more like it.

    Leave a comment:


  • riverchief1
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    I'm actually hoping for UML in Worcester although I know that won't happen despite showing at past regionals there and in Manchester that UML fans will show up in droves buying tickets. If attendance is important to the NCAA, they'd keep UML there based upon past numbers.

    Albany is drivable but with Easter Sunday, I'd be prevented from getting to the second game if they were to advance. Again, Worcester with Friday/Saturday games is preferable!

    Leave a comment:


  • UML Puck Hawk
    replied
    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    Can't please everyone.
    Don't mean to make more work for you, but with Bu, Lowell, and ND all in the three range, and PC and BC both being borderline 1 seeds, might we see conference first round matchups thrown out?

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by UML Puck Hawk View Post
    No.
    Can't please everyone.

    Leave a comment:


  • mookie1995
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    If Minnesota does win:

    Cincinnati: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Michigan v Notre Dame
    Albany: 4 Boston College v Michigan Tech, Providence v Harvard
    St Paul: 3 St Cloud v Minnesota, Denver v Lowell
    Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Boston University v Yale

    Better?
    hugs and kisses for priceless!!!!!

    Leave a comment:


  • UML Puck Hawk
    replied
    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    If Minnesota does win:

    Cincinnati: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Michigan v Notre Dame
    Albany: 4 Boston College v Michigan Tech, Providence v Harvard
    St Paul: 3 St Cloud v Minnesota, Denver v Lowell
    Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Boston University v Yale

    Better?
    No.

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by mookie1995 View Post
    get bu into another site, please!!!! mookie ain't driving to mn
    If Minnesota does win:

    Cincinnati: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Michigan v Notre Dame
    Albany: 4 Boston College v Michigan Tech, Providence v Harvard
    St Paul: 3 St Cloud v Minnesota, Denver v Lowell
    Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Boston University v Yale

    Better?

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    That's a weak "parley" this season. 2 ECAC teams, 3 WCHA teams and 5 B1G teams. BORING!

    Leave a comment:


  • mookie1995
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    Originally posted by ticapnews View Post
    If: All higher seeds except Minnesota win every game

    St Paul: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Boston U vs Yale
    Albany: 4 Boston College v Cornell, Denver v Lowell
    Cincinnati: 3 St Cloud v Michigan Tech, Michigan v Notre Dame
    Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Providence v Harvard
    get bu into another site, please!!!! mookie ain't driving to mn

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    If: All higher seeds except Minnesota win every game

    St Paul: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Boston U vs Yale
    Albany: 4 Boston College v Cornell, Denver v Lowell
    Cincinnati: 3 St Cloud v Michigan Tech, Michigan v Notre Dame
    Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Providence v Harvard

    Leave a comment:


  • ticapnews
    replied
    Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

    In the tournament:
    Boston College
    Boston University
    Denver
    Massachusetts-Lowell
    Michigan
    North Dakota
    Providence
    Quinnipiac
    St Cloud
    Yale

    Harvard and Notre Dame are 99%+
    AHA will get AQ.

    Realistically that leaves 3 spots.

    Michigan Tech
    Northeastern
    Minnesota-Duluth
    Cornell

    vs

    B1G AQ
    WCHA AQ
    ECAC AQ

    Any AQ winners below the cut line will hurt teams still alive for at-large berth.

    Leave a comment:

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