pairwise -- post jan 8th

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

In the tournament:
Boston College
Boston University
Denver
Massachusetts-Lowell
Michigan
North Dakota
Providence
Quinnipiac
St Cloud
Yale

Harvard and Notre Dame are 99%+
AHA will get AQ.

Realistically that leaves 3 spots.

Michigan Tech
Northeastern
Minnesota-Duluth
Cornell

vs

B1G AQ
WCHA AQ
ECAC AQ

Any AQ winners below the cut line will hurt teams still alive for at-large berth.

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

If: All higher seeds except Minnesota win every game

St Paul: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Boston U vs Yale
Albany: 4 Boston College v Cornell, Denver v Lowell
Cincinnati: 3 St Cloud v Michigan Tech, Michigan v Notre Dame
Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Providence v Harvard

[mookie1995]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

If: All higher seeds except Minnesota win every game

St Paul: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Boston U vs Yale
Albany: 4 Boston College v Cornell, Denver v Lowell
Cincinnati: 3 St Cloud v Michigan Tech, Michigan v Notre Dame
Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Providence v Harvard

get bu into another site, please!!!! mookie ain't driving to mn

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

That's a weak "parley" this season. 2 ECAC teams, 3 WCHA teams and 5 B1G teams. BORING!

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

get bu into another site, please!!!! mookie ain't driving to mn

If Minnesota does win:

Cincinnati: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Michigan v Notre Dame
Albany: 4 Boston College v Michigan Tech, Providence v Harvard
St Paul: 3 St Cloud v Minnesota, Denver v Lowell
Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Boston University v Yale

Better?

[UML Puck Hawk]

If Minnesota does win:

Cincinnati: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Michigan v Notre Dame
Albany: 4 Boston College v Michigan Tech, Providence v Harvard
St Paul: 3 St Cloud v Minnesota, Denver v Lowell
Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Boston University v Yale

Better?

No.

[mookie1995]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

If Minnesota does win:

Cincinnati: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Michigan v Notre Dame
Albany: 4 Boston College v Michigan Tech, Providence v Harvard
St Paul: 3 St Cloud v Minnesota, Denver v Lowell
Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Boston University v Yale

Better?

hugs and kisses for priceless!!!!!

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

No.

Can't please everyone.

[UML Puck Hawk]

Can't please everyone.

Don't mean to make more work for you, but with Bu, Lowell, and ND all in the three range, and PC and BC both being borderline 1 seeds, might we see conference first round matchups thrown out?

[riverchief1]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

I'm actually hoping for UML in Worcester although I know that won't happen despite showing at past regionals there and in Manchester that UML fans will show up in droves buying tickets. If attendance is important to the NCAA, they'd keep UML there based upon past numbers.

Albany is drivable but with Easter Sunday, I'd be prevented from getting to the second game if they were to advance. Again, Worcester with Friday/Saturday games is preferable!

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

I guess Yale isn't safe.

http://pwp.uscho.com/rankings/pairwi..._56e630ec5a692

The "parley" includes UMD from the NCHC and Northeastern from HEA. That's more like it.

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

Don't mean to make more work for you, but with Bu, Lowell, and ND all in the three range, and PC and BC both being borderline 1 seeds, might we see conference first round matchups thrown out?

In the rare scenario when Denver jumps over both Providence and Boston College it would be unavoidable as you'd have BC, PC and UML as 2 seeds and BU and ND as 3 seeds. In order for that to happen
1) Both PC and BC must lose Friday
2) Denver must win the NCHC
3) St Cloud must lose 3rd place game

[JimDahl]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

In my first exhaustive pass at all the scenarios, here's what I got:

UND 1-4 (100% in)
QU 1-6 (100% in)
SCSU 1-6 (100% in)
Providence 1-6 (100% in)
BC 1-6 (100% in)
Denver 3-8 (100% in)
Michigan 6-10 (100% in)
UML 7-11 (100% in)
BU 6-9 (100% in)
Yale 9-13 (99% in)
Harvard 8-14 (86% in)
Notre Dame 8-14 (86% in)
Duluth 10-19 (51% in)
Northeastern 11-17 (40% in)
Michigan Tech 13-19 (29% in)
Cornell 13-19 (1% in)

The rest only get in on AQ.

Anyone find anything outside that range?

[Siouxfaninseattle]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

If Minnesota does win:

Cincinnati: 1 North Dakota v Robert Morris, Michigan v Notre Dame
Albany: 4 Boston College v Michigan Tech, Providence v Harvard
St Paul: 3 St Cloud v Minnesota, Denver v Lowell
Worcester: 2 Quinnipiac v Northeastern, Boston University v Yale

Better?

If North Dakota remains the #1 overall seed, they will go to St. Paul.

[ticapnews]

Re: pairwise -- post jan 8th

In my first exhaustive pass at all the scenarios, here's what I got:

UND 1-4 (100% in)
QU 1-6 (100% in)
SCSU 1-6 (100% in)
Providence 1-6 (100% in)
BC 1-6 (100% in)
Denver 3-8 (100% in)
Michigan 6-10 (100% in)
UML 7-11 (100% in)
BU 6-9 (100% in)
Yale 9-13 (99% in)
Harvard 8-14 (86% in)
Notre Dame 8-14 (86% in)
Duluth 10-19 (51% in)
Northeastern 11-17 (40% in)
Michigan Tech 13-19 (29% in)
Cornell 13-19 (1% in)

The rest only get in on AQ.

Anyone find anything outside that range?

That looks right. I think realistically Harvard and ND are closer to "in" and can only be knocked out by the parley.
I am shocked BC can still land #1 overall. Will endeavor to find that scenario tomorrow!

If North Dakota remains the #1 overall seed, they will go to St. Paul.

North Dakota vs Minnesota in the first round...that would be something.
If that happens, I'd only switch UND and SCSU; no need to change the other pairing. Michigan/ND is the only chance they have to sell tickets in Cincy.