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There are just five weekends left in the ECAC Regular Season. And everybody knows what that means! It's time to take an ill-advised, extraordinarily ridiculous approach to determining the final standings.
Come and join me as we walk down this path towards the Cleary Cup together. Along the way, I will show you the wonders of TBRW's ECAC Page (currently down), Sioux Sports' What-If Calculator (which doesn't use tiebreakers), and the ECAC Tiebreakers page (which you will come to know and love). And, if you want to use Playoff Status, then I get to punch you in the face. For those that are curious, I've also included links to last year's and the year before's threads, too.
Current Standings (by Points %):
--- Bye Lock - 31+
--- Home Lock - 25+
Quinnipiac 23-43 [1-11]
Yale 17-35 [1-12]
Dartmouth 15-33 [1-12]
Union 15-33 [1-12]
Princeton 13-33 [1-12]
St. Lawrence 11-31 [1-12]
Colgate 11-31 [1-12]
Cornell 10-30 [1-12]
Clarkson 10-30 [1-12]
Brown 10-28 [1-12]
Rensselaer 9-29 [1-12]
Harvard 6-22 [2-12]
--- Bye Eligible - 18+
--- Home Eligible - 13+
Dartmouth defeated Union in Hanover in November and holds third place on a head-to-head tiebreaker. They play tomorrow night to finalize this tiebreaker.
St. Lawrence went on the road to Hamilton in November and took home the win, so they also lead their tiebreaker for 6th place. The Saints and Raiders are also playing this weekend to finalize that tiebreaker.
Cornell beat Clarkson at home that same night in November and holds the 10th place tiebreaker because of it. That tiebreaker will be finalized this Saturday in Potsdam.
Brown is not tied with either Clarkson or Cornell because the Bears have played an extra game.
Remaining League Schedules:
Individual Team Limits:
Teams Losing Out (Floors)
Holy crap, I don't know how I did it, but I did. I found a way to put Quinnipiac all the way back to 11th place. The end result is three teams (Brown, RPI, and Union) each getting a share of the Cleary Cup at 24 points, Harvard finishing in 12th at 8 points, and everybody else finishing in a tie for 4th place at 23 points. Clarkson, Colgate, Cornell, Princeton, and St. Lawrence all get 15 points against the 7 other teams tied for 4th, leaving just Dartmouth, Yale, and Quinnipiac tied for 9th place after the first round of tiebreakers. The tiebreaking process starts over, with Yale winning the head-to-head having taken 6 points against the Big Green and the Bobcats. Then, it's down to just DC and QU fighting for 10th having (hypothetically) split the season series. I also had it so that Dartmouth only won or lost to get to 23 points, meaning that both teams have 11 wins still. And, with Brown, RPI, and Union all locked into the Top 4, Dartmouth can't lose the Points vs Top 4 tiebreaker, so Quinnipiac falls all the way to 11th place.
Game-by-game results (if anyone's curious):
PS I'm not saying that this is the only way to get Quinnipiac to fall to 11th. I'm sure there at least one or two other game combinations, haha.
Teams Winning Out (Ceilings)
Raising Harvard to 2nd wasn't nearly as difficult as I imagined. With the Crimson still capable of cresting 22 points and Quinnipiac getting to 41 at the same time (they couldn't hit 43, because that would require beating Harvard in Boston on the final weekend), the other ten teams have to finish a net 19 points below 0.500 (which is, coincidentally, 22 points). With only ten teams and nineteen points to spread around, you don't even need to start going into tiebreakers.
"Other"
Getting the other schools to the limits isn't all that difficult. Have them win out, then let teams that can't catch them win out, and as more and more games get played, the picture of how to boost them up becomes clearer and clearer.
Come and join me as we walk down this path towards the Cleary Cup together. Along the way, I will show you the wonders of TBRW's ECAC Page (currently down), Sioux Sports' What-If Calculator (which doesn't use tiebreakers), and the ECAC Tiebreakers page (which you will come to know and love). And, if you want to use Playoff Status, then I get to punch you in the face. For those that are curious, I've also included links to last year's and the year before's threads, too.
Current Standings (by Points %):
--- Bye Lock - 31+
--- Home Lock - 25+
Quinnipiac 23-43 [1-11]
Yale 17-35 [1-12]
Dartmouth 15-33 [1-12]
Union 15-33 [1-12]
Princeton 13-33 [1-12]
St. Lawrence 11-31 [1-12]
Colgate 11-31 [1-12]
Cornell 10-30 [1-12]
Clarkson 10-30 [1-12]
Brown 10-28 [1-12]
Rensselaer 9-29 [1-12]
Harvard 6-22 [2-12]
--- Bye Eligible - 18+
--- Home Eligible - 13+
Dartmouth defeated Union in Hanover in November and holds third place on a head-to-head tiebreaker. They play tomorrow night to finalize this tiebreaker.
St. Lawrence went on the road to Hamilton in November and took home the win, so they also lead their tiebreaker for 6th place. The Saints and Raiders are also playing this weekend to finalize that tiebreaker.
Cornell beat Clarkson at home that same night in November and holds the 10th place tiebreaker because of it. That tiebreaker will be finalized this Saturday in Potsdam.
Brown is not tied with either Clarkson or Cornell because the Bears have played an extra game.
Remaining League Schedules:
Code:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | | ||F2/01|S2/02|F2/08|S2/09|F2/15|S2/16|F2/22|S2/23|F3/01|S3/02| ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- | Quinnipiac | QN || @BN | @YA | @CR | @CG | SL | CK | YA | BN | @HA | @DA | | Yale | YA || PN | QN | | @BN | @UC | @RP | @QN | @PN | CG | CR | | Dartmouth | DA || @UC | @RP | | @HA | CR | CG | @CK | @SL | PN | QN | | Union | UC || DA | | @CK | @SL | YA | BN | @CG | @CR | SL | CK | | Princeton | PN || @YA | @BN | @CG | @CR | CK | SL | BN | YA | @DA | @HA | | St. Lawrence | SL || CR | CG | RP | UC | @QN | @PN | HA | DA | @UC | @RP | | Colgate | CG || @CK | @SL | PN | QN | @HA | @DA | UC | RP | @YA | @BN | | Cornell | CR || @SL | @CK | QN | PN | @DA | @HA | RP | UC | @BN | @YA | | Clarkson | CK || CG | CR | UC | RP | @PN | @QN | DA | HA | @RP | @UC | | Brown | BN || QN | PN | | YA | @RP | @UC | @PN | @QN | CR | CG | | Rensselaer | RP || HA | DA | @SL | @CK | BN | YA | @CR | @CG | CK | SL | | Harvard | HA || @RP | | | DA | CG | CR | @SL | @CK | QN | PN | ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Teams Losing Out (Floors)
Holy crap, I don't know how I did it, but I did. I found a way to put Quinnipiac all the way back to 11th place. The end result is three teams (Brown, RPI, and Union) each getting a share of the Cleary Cup at 24 points, Harvard finishing in 12th at 8 points, and everybody else finishing in a tie for 4th place at 23 points. Clarkson, Colgate, Cornell, Princeton, and St. Lawrence all get 15 points against the 7 other teams tied for 4th, leaving just Dartmouth, Yale, and Quinnipiac tied for 9th place after the first round of tiebreakers. The tiebreaking process starts over, with Yale winning the head-to-head having taken 6 points against the Big Green and the Bobcats. Then, it's down to just DC and QU fighting for 10th having (hypothetically) split the season series. I also had it so that Dartmouth only won or lost to get to 23 points, meaning that both teams have 11 wins still. And, with Brown, RPI, and Union all locked into the Top 4, Dartmouth can't lose the Points vs Top 4 tiebreaker, so Quinnipiac falls all the way to 11th place.
Game-by-game results (if anyone's curious):
Code:
02/01 CG < CK | CR < SL | DA > UN | HA < RP | PN > YA | QN < BN 02/02 CG < SL | CR > CK | DA < RP | PN < BN | QN < YA 02/08 PN < CG | QN < CR | RP > SL | UN > CK 02/09 DA > HA | PN = CR | QN < CG | RP > CK | UN > SL | YA < BN 02/15 BN < RP | CK > PN | CG > HA | CR < DA | SL > QN | YA < UN 02/16 BN > UN | CK > QN | CG > DA | CN > HA | SL = PN | YA > RP 02/22 BN > PN | DA < CK | HA < SL | RP < CR | UN > CG | YA > QN 02/23 BN > QN | DA < SL | HA < CK | RP > CG | UN < CR | YA < PN 03/01 CK = RP | CG > YA | CR < BN | PN > DA | QN < HA | SL = UN 03/02 CK > UN | CG > BN | CR > YA | PN > HA | QN < DA | SL < RP Notes: XX > YY indicates that XX wins XX = YY indicates a tie XX < YY indicates that YY wins XX is away; YY is home Games are listed in alphabetical order of the away teams that night
Teams Winning Out (Ceilings)
Raising Harvard to 2nd wasn't nearly as difficult as I imagined. With the Crimson still capable of cresting 22 points and Quinnipiac getting to 41 at the same time (they couldn't hit 43, because that would require beating Harvard in Boston on the final weekend), the other ten teams have to finish a net 19 points below 0.500 (which is, coincidentally, 22 points). With only ten teams and nineteen points to spread around, you don't even need to start going into tiebreakers.
"Other"
Getting the other schools to the limits isn't all that difficult. Have them win out, then let teams that can't catch them win out, and as more and more games get played, the picture of how to boost them up becomes clearer and clearer.
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