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  • Atlantic Hockey playoffs

    Speculation on first round matches?

    Air Force practically(don't know tie breakers for them) has a bye locked up.

    2nd through 7th is tight, though Robert Morris has a tough road to jump up.

    If Bentley and Holy Cross split their series, there is still a chance that all four west teams get a bye, but Mercyhurst would have to sweep Canisius and then win a tiebreaker vs Bentley(do they own it???)

    Connecticut and Canisius seem to have a first round matchup locked up. The only thing that could change is who gets home ice. Again, Canisius has slim chances already down by 3 points.

    AIC needs 1(or no Army sweep) point next weekend to lock up 10th place. But they had a similar situation last year playing vs Connecticut, so nothing is sure there.

    Sacred Heart would have to sweep Army next weekend to move up, thus winning the tie-breaker.

  • #2
    Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

    Mercyhurst makes it a little more interesting by beating Air Force tonight 2-1, although being outshot 51-19.

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    • #3
      Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

      If I have the tiebreakers correct I believe the following to be the case:
      AFA could possibly end up in a 4 way tie for second but in any scenario they do not fall to 5th. So AFA 1-4.
      RIT 1-6.
      NU,MC,Bentley and Holy Cross 1-7. Holy Cross can only get 1st involving a multiple tie for 1st at 35pts that must include AFA.
      RMU 4-7.

      RIT and Niagara cannot finish involved in a tie. Neither can Bentley and Holy Cross.
      Any tiebreaker involving multiple teams will have more Western than Eastern teams so the Eastern team will end up no worse than 2nd in that tiebreaker position be it involving 3 or 4 teams.
      Niagara has an advantage in any tiebreaker that does not involve AFA.

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      • #4
        Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

        Originally posted by BC/HE View Post
        If I have the tiebreakers correct I believe the following to be the case:
        AFA could possibly end up in a 4 way tie for second but in any scenario they do not fall to 5th. So AFA 1-4.
        RIT 1-6.
        NU,MC,Bentley and Holy Cross 1-7. Holy Cross can only get 1st involving a multiple tie for 1st at 35pts that must include AFA.
        RMU 4-7.

        RIT and Niagara cannot finish involved in a tie. Neither can Bentley and Holy Cross.
        Any tiebreaker involving multiple teams will have more Western than Eastern teams so the Eastern team will end up no worse than 2nd in that tiebreaker position be it involving 3 or 4 teams.
        Niagara has an advantage in any tiebreaker that does not involve AFA.

        This is a nice little tool Mar posted last week that makes it easier to see. Not updated yet with yesterday's wins\losses\ties.

        http://www.playoffstatus.com/atlanti...icnumbers.html
        RIT Tigers

        Got one foot in the crease

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        • #5
          Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

          The only difference I can see is that I believe Holy Cross still has a shot at #1 with a multiple tie at first involving AFA at 35 points. AFA would win a tiebreaker over most other Western pod schools and then be paired off against Holy Cross because of the unbalanced schedule which would divide the tiebreaker into mini groups. Holy Cross would then take the tiebreaker over AFA. Correct me if I have this wrong.

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          • #6
            Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

            It is amazing how many teams have a shot at first place and/or first round byes going into the last weekend of the season. This should make the playoffs very enjoyable as there really is no one who has established any dominance or even consistency over a multi week period.

            I thought UConn might be the dark horse to go deep into the playoffs again this year but they seems to be falling back a bit lately. If there are to be any surprises I could see Holy Cross being a team from the east that gets to Rochester, but even that is not a huge shock.

            My gut tells me RIT get through and wins it all while AIC advances through the first round - CornwallAce has earned the chance to root for AIC beyond the first playoff weekend.

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            • #7
              Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

              Originally posted by UNHHurstFan View Post
              My gut tells me RIT get through and wins it all while AIC advances through the first round - CornwallAce has earned the chance to root for AIC beyond the first playoff weekend.
              AIC made it to the second round last year and then got swept by RIT in the quarters.
              RIT Tigers
              Boston Bruins

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              • #8
                Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

                This will be the most interesting AHA tournament in history. For a change, there are multiple teams that have a good chance to win it all.

                Air Force won't have it easy going out to Robert Morris.
                RIT has never beaten Niagara since they have been DI - mustering a couple ties.
                Mercyhurst has a home and home with Canisius, so you would think they have the "schedule advantage"
                Bentley and Holy Cross will battle for a bye - I don't think both will get there.
                2006-07 Atlantic Hockey Champions!
                2008-09 Atlantic Hockey Co-Champions!
                2009-10 Atlantic Hockey Champions!
                2010 Frozen Four participant
                2010-11 Atlantic Hockey Champions!

                Member of the infamous Corner Crew

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                • #9
                  Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

                  Originally posted by komey1 View Post

                  Air Force won't have it easy going out to Robert Morris.
                  RIT has never beaten Niagara since they have been DI - mustering a couple ties.
                  If anyone can handle the travel, it's Air Force.

                  And I would have never guessed that RIT has never beaten Niagara since D1. But how many games have they played against them so far? Is it only 2?

                  ---
                  AIC has had moderate luck in the first round. They beat Canisius a few years ago and beat Army last year.

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                  • #10
                    Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

                    Originally posted by OrangeBruin View Post
                    AIC made it to the second round last year and then got swept by RIT in the quarters.
                    Good catch. My mistake.

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                    • #11
                      Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

                      Originally posted by CornwallAce View Post
                      If anyone can handle the travel, it's Air Force.

                      And I would have never guessed that RIT has never beaten Niagara since D1. But how many games have they played against them so far? Is it only 2?

                      ---
                      AIC has had moderate luck in the first round. They beat Canisius a few years ago and beat Army last year.
                      Looking up scores from previous years looks like 9 times since RITs first D1/D3 split season in 05-06. Niagara's head coach (Burkholder) was the goaltender for RIT back in the 80s for one of the national championships so there was probably enough connection to schedule games every year. The geography works out well too

                      2011-2012
                      0-0 - T
                      2010-2011
                      1-4 - L
                      2-5 - L
                      3-3 - T
                      2009-2010
                      2-3 - L
                      2008-2009
                      2-6 - L
                      2007-2008
                      3-3 - T
                      2006-2007
                      3-5 - L
                      2005-2006
                      2-3 - L
                      RIT Tigers
                      Atlantic Hockey Regular Season Champions: 2007, 2009, 2010, 2011
                      Atlantic Hockey Tournament Champions: 2010, 2015, 2016
                      Frozen Four Appearances: 2010

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                      • #12
                        Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

                        Not much settled, only AIC has their spot secured, I think. A few upsets have turned things into a big logjam.

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                        • #13
                          Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

                          So far it looks like:
                          1) Air Force
                          2) Niagara
                          3) RIT
                          4) Mercyhurst
                          5) Holy Cross
                          6) Bentley
                          7) Robert Morris
                          8) UConn
                          9) Canisius
                          10) AIC
                          11) Sacre Coeur
                          12) Army

                          First round would be:
                          Army @ HC
                          SH @ Bentley
                          AIC @ RM
                          Can @ UConn
                          Last edited by AFHockeyFan; 02-25-2012, 09:05 PM.
                          2010-2011 Atlantic Hockey Pick 'Em Champion!
                          2013 Atlantic Hockey Postseason Pick 'Em Champion!
                          Air Force Falcons
                          2007 Atlantic Hockey Champions, NCAA West Regional
                          2008 Atlantic Hockey Champions, NCAA Northeast Regional
                          2009 Atlantic Hockey Champions, NCAA East Regional Final
                          2011 Atlantic Hockey Champions, NCAA East Regional
                          2012 Atlantic Hockey Champions, NCAA Northeast Regional

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                          • #14
                            Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

                            The way Sacred Heart is playing of late, they could give Bentley a run for their money.


                            AIC has finished strong, so they have a shot. I think they'll need some breaks, but they're also playing smart enough lately that those chances can go their way now.


                            I have no clue on Canisius and Connecticut. I'll relegate my opinions to either other people or coin tosses.


                            You would think Holy Cross would have an easy time with Army.

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                            • #15
                              Re: Atlantic Hockey playoffs

                              UCONN swept Canisius in the regular season. Good luck to UCONN in the post season!
                              YALE HOCKEY
                              2013 National Champions

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