Re: Hockey East - Who's in, who's out, who's home: by the numbers - 2011-12 edition
--- Home Lock - 38 (BU/BC/ME+UML/MC) ---
--- In - 28 (Field) ---
BU 27 - 41 [1-9]
UML 26 - 42 [1-9]
MC 25 - 41 [1-9]
BC 25 - 39 [1-9]
ME 24 - 38 [1-9]
UNH 17 - 31 [1-10]
PC 17 - 33 [1-10]
NU 16 - 30 [1-10]
UMA 14 - 30 [1-10]
--- Home Eligible - 25 (MC/BC) ---
UVM 5 - 19 [7-10]
--- Out - 16 (NU) ---
Remaining LEAGUE schedules:
BU - UMA, @UML/UML, @UVMx2, NU/@NU
UML - MC, ME, BU/@BU, @MC/MC, @PC/PC
MC - @UML, UNH, @BC/BC, UML/@UML, @UMA/UMA
BC - @UVM, MC/@MC, @PC/PC, UVMx2
ME - @PC, @UML, UMAx2, @NUx2, UNH
UNH - NU, @MC, UVMx2, @UMAx2, @ME
PC - ME, @UMA, @NU/NU, BC/@BC, UML/@UML
NU - @UNH, PC/@PC, MEx2, @BU/BU
UMA - @BU, PC, @MEx2, UNHx2, MC/@MC
UVM - BC, @UNHx2, BUx2, @BCx2
Since UML and MC both won and the other three at the top were idle, the Home Lock line stays the same.
BU could still lose out for 9th with a tie at 27 and be out on tbs, so they have yet to clinch and the In line will stay at 28.
With the UML and MC wins, current 4th seed would have at least 25 points. Either MC or BC (but not both) could lose out and still be 4th at 25, so that's where Home Eligible rests tonight. If you can reach 25, you still have a shot at Home Ice.
UNH jumps up two more spots by passing idle NU and having the tb on PC. They're currently a 6 seed, which is a good weekend for a team that was 9th and Out just over 24 hrs ago.
On the national front, UNH's win tonight brought their RPI over .5000, made them a TUC and - however briefly - makes BU and UML the top two teams in the PWR.
That win also leaves NU, at 16, the benchmark for 8th for the moment.
After this weekend's results, with the remaining schedule, UVM's best chances just dropped by a notch to a possible high of 7th. They could catch any of the four in front of them, but they can't catch all of those four.
Even if they get no points from anywhere else, the interlocking schedule and current point totals of BU/UML/MC mean that at least one of them has to reach 30. In that scenario, BC sweeping MC means BC at 29, but they could stay there. For teams still thinking of the top seed, 30 with a tb against at least one of those first three leaves you in the running.
To hit their max of 30, UMA would sweep a weekend from MC, so could be top seed with MC at 30 and BU/UML/BC at 29. Likewise, for NU to hit 30, they would take a pair from BU, so swap BU at 30 and MC at 29 in the UMA scenario and NU could make it. Everyone else besides UVM could win out and pass 30 for an uncontested top seed.
That leaves the group out of UVM's reach still at 1-9 and those that could be caught by UVM at 1-10.
--- Home Lock - 38 (BU/BC/ME+UML/MC) ---
--- In - 28 (Field) ---
BU 27 - 41 [1-9]
UML 26 - 42 [1-9]
MC 25 - 41 [1-9]
BC 25 - 39 [1-9]
ME 24 - 38 [1-9]
UNH 17 - 31 [1-10]
PC 17 - 33 [1-10]
NU 16 - 30 [1-10]
UMA 14 - 30 [1-10]
--- Home Eligible - 25 (MC/BC) ---
UVM 5 - 19 [7-10]
--- Out - 16 (NU) ---
Remaining LEAGUE schedules:
BU - UMA, @UML/UML, @UVMx2, NU/@NU
UML - MC, ME, BU/@BU, @MC/MC, @PC/PC
MC - @UML, UNH, @BC/BC, UML/@UML, @UMA/UMA
BC - @UVM, MC/@MC, @PC/PC, UVMx2
ME - @PC, @UML, UMAx2, @NUx2, UNH
UNH - NU, @MC, UVMx2, @UMAx2, @ME
PC - ME, @UMA, @NU/NU, BC/@BC, UML/@UML
NU - @UNH, PC/@PC, MEx2, @BU/BU
UMA - @BU, PC, @MEx2, UNHx2, MC/@MC
UVM - BC, @UNHx2, BUx2, @BCx2
Since UML and MC both won and the other three at the top were idle, the Home Lock line stays the same.
BU could still lose out for 9th with a tie at 27 and be out on tbs, so they have yet to clinch and the In line will stay at 28.
With the UML and MC wins, current 4th seed would have at least 25 points. Either MC or BC (but not both) could lose out and still be 4th at 25, so that's where Home Eligible rests tonight. If you can reach 25, you still have a shot at Home Ice.
UNH jumps up two more spots by passing idle NU and having the tb on PC. They're currently a 6 seed, which is a good weekend for a team that was 9th and Out just over 24 hrs ago.
On the national front, UNH's win tonight brought their RPI over .5000, made them a TUC and - however briefly - makes BU and UML the top two teams in the PWR.
That win also leaves NU, at 16, the benchmark for 8th for the moment.
After this weekend's results, with the remaining schedule, UVM's best chances just dropped by a notch to a possible high of 7th. They could catch any of the four in front of them, but they can't catch all of those four.
Even if they get no points from anywhere else, the interlocking schedule and current point totals of BU/UML/MC mean that at least one of them has to reach 30. In that scenario, BC sweeping MC means BC at 29, but they could stay there. For teams still thinking of the top seed, 30 with a tb against at least one of those first three leaves you in the running.
To hit their max of 30, UMA would sweep a weekend from MC, so could be top seed with MC at 30 and BU/UML/BC at 29. Likewise, for NU to hit 30, they would take a pair from BU, so swap BU at 30 and MC at 29 in the UMA scenario and NU could make it. Everyone else besides UVM could win out and pass 30 for an uncontested top seed.
That leaves the group out of UVM's reach still at 1-9 and those that could be caught by UVM at 1-10.
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