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2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

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  • #76
    Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

    Wow, the east is getting pounded this season with only 3 HE and 1 ECAC teams in the rankings today and in the predicted post-season, along with AFA predicted for the AHA auto-seed.

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    • #77
      Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

      Originally posted by Snively65 View Post
      Wow, the east is getting pounded this season with only 3 HE and 1 ECAC teams in the rankings today and in the predicted post-season, along with AFA predicted for the AHA auto-seed.
      BU, Lowell, Merrihack, Boston College...I think that's four...

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      • #78
        Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

        Originally posted by ItalianSioux View Post
        5 WCHA teams making it?!?!?


        I was a little surprised, although I know one guy who still thinks the Sioux will get a #2 seed, which I keep telling him is extremely unrealistic. Oh well...

        FWIW, Here was my ballot (one of 8 that gets tallied up, 4 points for #1 seed, 3 for #2 seed...etc.)

        #1 Seeds: Minnesota Duluth, Michigan, Boston University Notre Dame
        #2 Seeds: Ohio State, Lowell, Boston College, Minnesota
        #3 Seeds: Miami, Cornell, Ferris State, Denver
        #4 Seeds: Western Michigan, Union, Colorado College, Air Force (AHA Champ)
        North Dakota
        National Champions: 1959, 1963, 1980, 1982, 1987, 1997, 2000, 2016

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        • #79
          Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

          Originally posted by Priceless View Post
          BU, Lowell, Merrihack, Boston College...I think that's four...
          I think they are referring to CHW's Tourney Forecast. Merrimack is not slated to make the tournament in their forecast.
          North Dakota
          National Champions: 1959, 1963, 1980, 1982, 1987, 1997, 2000, 2016

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          • #80
            Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

            Originally posted by Fighting Sioux 23 View Post
            College Hockey Weekly has their Bracketology up...

            http://www.collegehockeyweekly.com/C..._Pairwise.html

            Also, here is their forecast of what the tournament will look like...

            http://www.collegehockeyweekly.com/T...-Forecast.html
            first week they did this, they had bu falling from #5 to OUT!
            now they have bu staying in and retaining their #1 seed in worcester.

            what changed?!?!?!?!
            a legend and an out of work bum look a lot alike, daddy.

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            • #81
              Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

              Originally posted by Fighting Sioux 23 View Post
              I think they are referring to CHW's Tourney Forecast. Merrimack is not slated to make the tournament in their forecast.
              They said "in the rankings today"

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              • #82
                Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

                Originally posted by mookie1995 View Post
                first week they did this, they had bu falling from #5 to OUT!
                now they have bu staying in and retaining their #1 seed in worcester.

                what changed?!?!?!?!
                I think a lot of people thought BU would drop some due to the difficulties over the holidays. I had BU as a Frozen Four team when the season began (along with CHW as a collective whole), and it seems as though the Terriers are playing up to that hype. FWIW, I think I placed BU as a #3 seed after the Holidays (in the first forecast), but a lot of the others didn't have them in the tourney at all.
                North Dakota
                National Champions: 1959, 1963, 1980, 1982, 1987, 1997, 2000, 2016

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                • #83
                  Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

                  Originally posted by Priceless View Post
                  They said "in the rankings today"
                  Which the CHW Tourney Forecast obviously is.
                  North Dakota
                  National Champions: 1959, 1963, 1980, 1982, 1987, 1997, 2000, 2016

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                  • #84
                    Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

                    Originally posted by Snively65 View Post
                    Wow, the east is getting pounded this season with only 3 HE and 1 ECAC teams in the rankings today and in the predicted post-season, along with AFA predicted for the AHA auto-seed.
                    ??? i read five HEA teams in the top 9. not too shabby
                    a legend and an out of work bum look a lot alike, daddy.

                    Comment


                    • #85
                      Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

                      Originally posted by Snively65 View Post
                      Wow, the east is getting pounded this season with only 3 HE and 1 ECAC teams in the rankings today and in the predicted post-season, along with AFA predicted for the AHA auto-seed.
                      They are predicting the 4th place team in the AHA will win the auto-bid? I know they have done well in the AHA tournament, but that may be a little bit of a stretch. I wouldn't be surprised if they are in the first round and should they win that, be on the road in the quarterfinals.

                      That said, until they are eliminated, I won't count them out either.
                      2006-07 Atlantic Hockey Champions!
                      2008-09 Atlantic Hockey Co-Champions!
                      2009-10 Atlantic Hockey Champions!
                      2010 Frozen Four participant
                      2010-11 Atlantic Hockey Champions!

                      Member of the infamous Corner Crew

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                      • #86
                        Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

                        Originally posted by mookie1995 View Post
                        ??? i read five HEA teams in the top 9. not too shabby
                        Not quite as good as the 7 WCHA teams...
                        North Dakota
                        National Champions: 1959, 1963, 1980, 1982, 1987, 1997, 2000, 2016

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                        • #87
                          Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

                          Originally posted by komey1 View Post
                          They are predicting the 4th place team in the AHA will win the auto-bid? I know they have done well in the AHA tournament, but that may be a little bit of a stretch. I wouldn't be surprised if they are in the first round and should they win that, be on the road in the quarterfinals.

                          That said, until they are eliminated, I won't count them out either.
                          That was my thought process (along with some of the other guys as well, obviously). Until someone knocks off Air Force, they will likely be the pick, unless they just tank the rest of the season. FWIW, I have only seen a few AHA teams play, so I am surely not an expert. Plus, the AHA fan rep that is part of our group is from the Air Force. Personally, I hope Robert Morris pulls it off, as I like seeing new teams make the NCAA Tournament.
                          North Dakota
                          National Champions: 1959, 1963, 1980, 1982, 1987, 1997, 2000, 2016

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                          • #88
                            Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

                            I think there are a bunch of teams that could win the AHA. It may be the most competitive conference tournament from top to bottom. We are going to find out a lot about Mercyhurst, with only 3 home dates left. RIT will be a favorite with one of the top goaltenders in the league. Robert Morris isn't going anywhere. I could see Niagara, Bentley, UConn, or Holy Cross winning this as well - but a little less likely. It depends on the matchups.
                            2006-07 Atlantic Hockey Champions!
                            2008-09 Atlantic Hockey Co-Champions!
                            2009-10 Atlantic Hockey Champions!
                            2010 Frozen Four participant
                            2010-11 Atlantic Hockey Champions!

                            Member of the infamous Corner Crew

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                            • #89
                              Re: 2012 NCAA Tournament: Bracketology

                              Originally posted by Fighting Sioux 23 View Post
                              Not quite as good as the 7 WCHA teams...
                              but only 2 in the top 9!
                              a legend and an out of work bum look a lot alike, daddy.

                              Comment


                              • #90
                                Originally posted by Priceless View Post
                                I have the pairwise data since 2003, taken at key points throughout the season, and mid-January teams in the Pairwise end up in the field 79.4% of the time. The top 8 seeds have made the tournament 64 of 72 times (88.9%) and no #1 or #2 in the mid-January rankings has ever failed to make the field. Of the top 4 overall seeds, only 2010 UMD (#3) and 2004 St Cloud (#4) have failed to make the field.
                                I had forgotten how high that UMD team was in the pairwise. Struggled down the stretch and played themselves out of the tournament. Great factoid
                                tUMD Hockey

                                "And there is a banana running around the DECC." "Well you don't see that every day..."

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