Denver, Union and Maine can be eliminated but it would take tremendous upsets to do it, including SCSU or Tech running the table in the WCHA, Colgate or Harvard winning the ECAC, Providence winning HEA and Bowling Green winning the CCHA.
For brevity's sake, can we agree to just call it "the parlay"?
And from the looks of it, if North Dakota wins the WCHA and the rest of the top seeds win in the other conferences, the Sioux will be a #1 seed.
i'm obviously looking at it from a maine viewpoint, but in my first pass on the predictor, i was able to get them up to a #1 seed (fourth overall)
Rk Team PWR RPI Comparisons Won
1 Minnesota-Duluth (MD) 29 .5590*
2 Boston College (BC) 28 .5693
3 Michigan (Mi) 27 .5600
4t Maine (Me) 25 .5510*
4t Miami (Mm) 25 .5494*
4t Ferris State (FS) 25 .5493
7 Union (Un) 23 .5483*
8 North Dakota (ND) 21 .5476
9t Minnesota (Mn) 20 .5482*
9t Massachusetts-Lowell (ML) 20 .5434
11 Boston University (BU) 19 .5458
12t Western Michigan (WM) 18 .5420
12t Cornell (Cr) 18 .5376
14 Denver (DU) 17 .5412
18t Colgate (Cg) 12 .5187
23 Air Force (AF) 7 .5136
Your Picks
Atlantic Hockey
Semifinal #2: Niagara defeats RIT
Semifinal #1: Air Force defeats Mercyhurst
Championship game: Air Force defeats Niagara
CCHA
Semifinal #2: Western Michigan defeats Miami
Semifinal #1: Michigan defeats Bowling Green
Championship game: Western Michigan defeats Michigan
Consolation game: Miami defeats Bowling Green
ECAC
Semifinal #2: Cornell defeats Harvard
Semifinal #1: Colgate defeats Union
Championship game: Colgate defeats Cornell
Consolation game: Union defeats Harvard
Hockey East
Semifinal #2: Maine defeats Boston University
Semifinal #1: Providence defeats Boston College
Championship game: Maine defeats Providence
WCHA
Play-in #2: Denver defeats Michigan Tech
Play-in #1: North Dakota defeats St. Cloud State
Semifinal #2: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Denver
Semifinal #1: North Dakota defeats Minnesota
Championship game: Minnesota-Duluth defeats North Dakota
North Dakota is not perfectly safe either yet:
WCHA Play-in #2: Denver defeats Michigan Tech.
WCHA Play-in #1: St. Cloud State defeats North Dakota.
WCHA Semifinal #2: Denver defeats Minnesota-Duluth.
WCHA Semifinal #1: St. Cloud State defeats Minnesota.
WCHA Championship game: St. Cloud State defeats Denver.
Hockey East Semifinal #2: Maine defeats Boston University.
Hockey East Semifinal #1: Providence defeats Boston College.
Hockey East Championship game: Providence defeats Maine.
ECAC Semifinal #2: Harvard defeats Cornell.
ECAC Semifinal #1: Union defeats Colgate.
ECAC Championship game: Harvard defeats Union.
ECAC Consolation game: Cornell defeats Colgate.
CCHA Semifinal #2: Western Michigan defeats Miami.
CCHA Semifinal #1: Michigan defeats Bowling Green.
CCHA Championship game: Western Michigan defeats Michigan.
CCHA Consolation game: Miami defeats Bowling Green.
Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: RIT defeats Niagara.
Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Air Force defeats Mercyhurst.
Atlantic Hockey Championship game: Air Force defeats RIT
Results in No Dakota being the last team out.
To summarize the above:
AHA - AF over RIT
CCHA - WM over Mich (Champ); Miami over BG (conso)
ECAC - Harvard over Union (Champ); Cornell over Colgate (conso)
HE - Providence over Maine
WCHA - SCSU over Denver (which I think resolves all 5 games)
Denver, Union and Maine can be eliminated but it would take tremendous upsets to do it, including SCSU or Tech running the table in the WCHA, Colgate or Harvard winning the ECAC, Providence winning HEA and Bowling Green winning the CCHA.
For brevity's sake, can we agree to just call it "the parlay"?
I can get Lowell out but it requires BGSU, PC, Harvard, and North Dakota all winning out.
BS UML '04, PhD UConn '09
Jerseys I would like to have:
Skating Friar Jersey
AIC Yellowjacket Jersey w/ Yellowjacket logo on front
UAF Jersey w/ Polar Bear on Front
Army Black Knight logo jersey
i'm obviously looking at it from a maine viewpoint, but in my first pass on the predictor, i was able to get them up to a #1 seed (fourth overall)
Wishful thinking. You've got some crazy *** picks in HE and ECAC. BBears playing the Friars in the Championship? BC the hottest team in the country tanking vs PC? Colgate beating Union?
And from the looks of it, if North Dakota wins the WCHA and the rest of the top seeds win in the other conferences, the Sioux will be a #1 seed.
WCHA Play-in #2: Denver defeats Michigan Tech.
WCHA Play-in #1: North Dakota defeats St. Cloud State.
WCHA Semifinal #2: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Denver.
WCHA Semifinal #1: North Dakota defeats Minnesota.
WCHA Championship game: North Dakota defeats Minnesota-Duluth.
Hockey East Semifinal #2: Boston University defeats Maine.
Hockey East Semifinal #1: Boston College defeats Providence.
Hockey East Championship game: Boston College defeats Boston University.
ECAC Semifinal #2: Cornell defeats Harvard.
ECAC Semifinal #1: Union defeats Colgate.
ECAC Championship game: Union defeats Cornell.
ECAC Consolation game: Harvard defeats Colgate.
CCHA Semifinal #2: Western Michigan defeats Miami.
CCHA Semifinal #1: Michigan defeats Bowling Green.
CCHA Championship game: Michigan defeats Western Michigan.
CCHA Consolation game: Miami defeats Bowling Green.
Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: Niagara defeats RIT.
Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Air Force defeats Mercyhurst.
Atlantic Hockey Championship game: Air Force defeats Niagara.
Which results in...
1. BC
2. Michigan
3. North Dakota
3. Minnesota Duluth
3. BU
6. Union
6. Ferris State
8. Miami
9. Lowell
10. Minnesota
10. Maine
10. Cornell
13. Denver
14. Michigan State
14. Western Michigan
23. Air Force
Wishful thinking. You've got some crazy *** picks in HE and ECAC. BBears playing the Friars in the Championship? BC the hottest team in the country tanking vs PC? Colgate beating Union?
didn't say it was going to happen, but given priceless is a maine fan and he's calculated what it would take for maine to be on the outside looking in, i was looking to see how high i could get them.... clearly some of those picks are out there...
Merrimack is NOT out. WMU/Cornell lose twice, Maine over BU, chalk everywhere else and MC is the last team in.
hmm... I've been trying to figure that one out... didn't think to have Cornell drop.
edit: Merrimack AND NMU get in under that situation... or at least the one I have in front of me.
WCHA Play-in #2: Denver defeats Michigan Tech.
WCHA Play-in #1: North Dakota defeats St. Cloud State.
WCHA Semifinal #2: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Denver.
WCHA Semifinal #1: Minnesota defeats North Dakota.
WCHA Championship game: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Minnesota.
Hockey East Semifinal #2: Maine defeats Boston University.
Hockey East Semifinal #1: Boston College defeats Providence.
Hockey East Championship game: Maine defeats Boston College.
ECAC Semifinal #2: Harvard defeats Cornell.
ECAC Semifinal #1: Union defeats Colgate.
ECAC Championship game: Union defeats Harvard.
ECAC Consolation game: Colgate defeats Cornell.
CCHA Semifinal #2: Miami defeats Western Michigan.
CCHA Semifinal #1: Michigan defeats Bowling Green.
CCHA Championship game: Miami defeats Michigan.
CCHA Consolation game: Bowling Green defeats Western Michigan.
Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: RIT defeats Niagara.
Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Air Force defeats Mercyhurst.
Atlantic Hockey Championship game: Air Force defeats RIT.
I had Maine at the AQ because it was an attempt to boost Merrimack's RPI.
BS UML '04, PhD UConn '09
Jerseys I would like to have:
Skating Friar Jersey
AIC Yellowjacket Jersey w/ Yellowjacket logo on front
UAF Jersey w/ Polar Bear on Front
Army Black Knight logo jersey
hmm... I've been trying to figure that one out... didn't think to have Cornell drop.
edit: Merrimack AND NMU get in under that situation... or at least the one I have in front of me.
WCHA Play-in #2: Denver defeats Michigan Tech.
WCHA Play-in #1: North Dakota defeats St. Cloud State.
WCHA Semifinal #2: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Denver.
WCHA Semifinal #1: Minnesota defeats North Dakota.
WCHA Championship game: Minnesota-Duluth defeats Minnesota.
Hockey East Semifinal #2: Maine defeats Boston University.
Hockey East Semifinal #1: Boston College defeats Providence.
Hockey East Championship game: Maine defeats Boston College.
ECAC Semifinal #2: Harvard defeats Cornell.
ECAC Semifinal #1: Union defeats Colgate.
ECAC Championship game: Union defeats Harvard.
ECAC Consolation game: Colgate defeats Cornell.
CCHA Semifinal #2: Miami defeats Western Michigan.
CCHA Semifinal #1: Michigan defeats Bowling Green.
CCHA Championship game: Miami defeats Michigan.
CCHA Consolation game: Bowling Green defeats Western Michigan.
Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #2: RIT defeats Niagara.
Atlantic Hockey Semifinal #1: Air Force defeats Mercyhurst.
Atlantic Hockey Championship game: Air Force defeats RIT.
I had Maine at the AQ because it was an attempt to boost Merrimack's RPI.
MC fans should be rooting hard for Union, they HAVE to win two, and Cornell/WMU need to lose two. Other than that Maine-BC title game winner is irrelevant, WCHA/CCHA winners are not relevant so long as its one of the top seeds.
Originally posted by HoosierBBall_GopherHockeyView Post
Numbers, there are still quite a few plausible* scenarios where Minnesota can win the Broadmoor and still finish #5 or lower in the PWR.
* not crazy
I'm looking at one right now. See if this matches your results. BU over BC in HE, Miami over Mich in CCHA. That preserves all 4 of those teams above Minnesota. I'll try it with Maine in place of BU also.
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