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Re: Fanboys and Superfrauds, 251st and 252nd Edition (12/3, 12/4)
As much as it pains me to write, I predict BC to take 3 points this weekend. A 3-3 tie Friday and a 4-1 win for BC at Conte seems reasonable.
Here's my breakdown of BU and why I think they're vulnerable to a team with so many skilled forwards:
BU has some very skilled forwards but they often get caught in deep (3 man cycle) which leads to a lot of odd man rushes. Not something you want to do with Kredier and Atkinson on the opposition.
What's more concerning is that BU's defense has a tendency to give up the blue line almost immediately allowing the other team's forwards to "walk-in" the zone which leads to lots of shots. I think BU gives up, on average, 44 shots per game. Many of these are lower percentage shots as it seems BU is content to play the angles. That approach might be OK against UML and Providence, but not BC. BC forwards will make the extra pass and take the higher percentage shot. This teams sags even more on the PK. It's almost shocking how quickly they give up entry into their zone.
BU's defense also seems to take a lot of unecessary risks IMO. It looks like the team is eager to run a transition game and skate the puck out to center ice every time. They never seem content to bank the puck out off the boards when in trouble. Rather they often make the extra pass or skate the puck out up the middle of the crease without support. Since they are young, this leads to a lot of turnovers. Fortunately, Millan and Rollheiser have been able to bail them out, but again...a much riskier proposition against a team as skilled as BC.
BU's powerplay is awful. Once they get set-up in the zone. Nobody seems to move an inch. What ensues is a pass-a-thon with poor angle shots.
Finally, BU has some significant injuries. They need Connolly and Escobedo back. MacGregor will be OK but I don't think he's ready yet. (Anyone know the status of these guys and Clendening for that matter?)
That being said...BU is 7-1-5 and has some quality wins, is getting great goaltending, and has three very solid front lines. If BU doesn't fall too far behind early, Millan/Rollheiser continue to show up, and the D is a bit more conservative anything could happen.
The Powerplay needs real help though. TRY TO MOVE AROUND A LITTLE GUYS!!!!
What's the scouting report on BC? I didn't think they'd lose 5 games all year, but this is likely just York getting the 3rd and 4th lines equal time. You may be exposed a little now and lose a few, but the minutes the lower lines get makes BC better as the year goes on. It also keeps the top lines fresher. We all saw how this tactic played out for BC last year...Who wouldn't rather lose in the begininng than the end of the season?
In any regard...I always prepare for the worst and hope for the best in these games.
As much as it pains me to write, I predict BC to take 3 points this weekend. A 3-3 tie Friday and a 4-1 win for BC at Conte seems reasonable.
Here's my breakdown of BU and why I think they're vulnerable to a team with so many skilled forwards:
BU has some very skilled forwards but they often get caught in deep (3 man cycle) which leads to a lot of odd man rushes. Not something you want to do with Kredier and Atkinson on the opposition.
What's more concerning is that BU's defense has a tendency to give up the blue line almost immediately allowing the other team's forwards to "walk-in" the zone which leads to lots of shots. I think BU gives up, on average, 44 shots per game. Many of these are lower percentage shots as it seems BU is content to play the angles. That approach might be OK against UML and Providence, but not BC. BC forwards will make the extra pass and take the higher percentage shot. This teams sags even more on the PK. It's almost shocking how quickly they give up entry into their zone.
BU's defense also seems to take a lot of unecessary risks IMO. It looks like the team is eager to run a transition game and skate the puck out to center ice every time. They never seem content to bank the puck out off the boards when in trouble. Rather they often make the extra pass or skate the puck out up the middle of the crease without support. Since they are young, this leads to a lot of turnovers. Fortunately, Millan and Rollheiser have been able to bail them out, but again...a much riskier proposition against a team as skilled as BC.
BU's powerplay is awful. Once they get set-up in the zone. Nobody seems to move an inch. What ensues is a pass-a-thon with poor angle shots.
Finally, BU has some significant injuries. They need Connolly and Escobedo back. MacGregor will be OK but I don't think he's ready yet. (Anyone know the status of these guys and Clendening for that matter?)
That being said...BU is 7-1-5 and has some quality wins, is getting great goaltending, and has three very solid front lines. If BU doesn't fall too far behind early, Millan/Rollheiser continue to show up, and the D is a bit more conservative anything could happen.
The Powerplay needs real help though. TRY TO MOVE AROUND A LITTLE GUYS!!!!
What's the scouting report on BC? I didn't think they'd lose 5 games all year, but this is likely just York getting the 3rd and 4th lines equal time. You may be exposed a little now and lose a few, but the minutes the lower lines get makes BC better as the year goes on. It also keeps the top lines fresher. We all saw how this tactic played out for BC last year...Who wouldn't rather lose in the begininng than the end of the season?
In any regard...I always prepare for the worst and hope for the best in these games.
ok, look at it this way, there have been how many NCAA championships awarded 1948- 2010 or 63? BU won 3 in 8 years in the 70's so that leaves 55 years and you won 2 out of those 55 years, we won 1 out of 53, not so much of a difference....... well, i guess the difference is 1 no matter how you slice it......question is, who gets their next one first?
just sayin
................do HE Championships count? i believe the score is 9-7 or shouldn't that be brought up??
"same will happen to BC too" um, we were talking about past history and facts, not what your prognosis of what BC may be doing in years to come, that's just conjecture
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