View these as a bit of a prediction of the NCAA rankings - they use some of the components - Despite the loss, Oswego holds on to the top spot.
Just from my numbers, a good run by Williams or Amherst in the NESCACs, and an STS loss in the semis would make an 8-3 split a possibility.
Because of SOS, the split between ELM and MAN helps both. If one had swept, the winner's rating would have climbed considerably. Prior to beating ELM, MAN had a very poor SOS and defeated team's winning percent.
Feel free to comment - I want these rankings to have as much credibility as possible. One other note - remember, a difference of less than 10 points is not statistically significant. Statistics students know what that means. Those that aren't statistics students can think of as a photo finish with a blurry lens.
Just from my numbers, a good run by Williams or Amherst in the NESCACs, and an STS loss in the semis would make an 8-3 split a possibility.
Because of SOS, the split between ELM and MAN helps both. If one had swept, the winner's rating would have climbed considerably. Prior to beating ELM, MAN had a very poor SOS and defeated team's winning percent.
Feel free to comment - I want these rankings to have as much credibility as possible. One other note - remember, a difference of less than 10 points is not statistically significant. Statistics students know what that means. Those that aren't statistics students can think of as a photo finish with a blurry lens.
Code:
G W L Rating Lst Last Rank 1 OSW 25 23 2 712 717 1 2 NRW 25 22 3 698 694 2 3 SNB 25 20.5 4.5 670 667 3 4 PLT 25 19 6 666 662 4 5 MID 24 18 6 654 650 5 6 BOW 23 17.5 5.5 647 639 7 7 STS 27 20 7 642 648 6 8 WIL 24 16.5 7.5 628 622 10 9 AMH 24 18 6 625 620 11 10 ELM 25 17.5 7.5 622 618 12 11 GAC 25 19 6 620 632 8 12 HML 25 18 7 619 626 9 13 WEN 23 18.5 4.5 603 596 14 14 TRN 24 15 9 597 614 13 15 MAN 25 18.5 6.5 595 587 16 16 ADR 25 22 3 593 576 19 17 FIT 23 18.5 4.5 592 584 17 18 WRF 27 18 9 591 589 15 19 HAM 24 15 9 587 574 21 20 CLB 23 13 10 576 575 20 21 CUR 25 16.5 8.5 573 577 18 22 STA 24 13.5 10.5 571 571 22 23 WSR 27 12.5 14.5 571 562 29 24 WST 27 12 15 569 571 22 25 TUF 24 13.5 10.5 568 570 24 26 FRE 25 18 7 567 564 28 27 HOB 25 14.5 10.5 564 561 31 28 NEU 25 15.5 9.5 561 569 26 29 SAL 24 13 11 558 570 24 30 WEC 27 10 17 556 565 27 31 BAB 25 13 12 554 562 29 32 WSP 27 12.5 14.5 544 547 32 33 GEN 25 14 11 540 516 42 34 CST 25 11.5 13.5 538 546 33 35 AUG 25 15.5 9.5 537 539 34 36 PLY 23 15.5 7.5 535 535 35 37 NEC 25 11 14 534 526 40 38 STO 25 14 11 533 534 36 39 MAR 25 19 6 530 531 37 40 POT 24 10 14 524 530 38 41 STT 25 13 12 524 527 39 42 UMB 24 11 13 523 518 41 43 SOM 25 10.5 14.5 519 509 47 44 WFS 23 12.5 10.5 509 511 43 45 CTC 24 8.5 15.5 505 510 46 46 MOR 24 8 16 503 511 43 47 BEC 22 11.5 10.5 499 511 43 48 BRC 25 13.5 11.5 495 494 49 49 SKD 25 9 16 494 504 48 50 SUF 25 12.5 12.5 489 483 51 51 WES 22 8 14 486 492 50 52 STJ 25 11 14 483 477 54 53 BET 25 10 15 481 472 55 54 UTC 25 10 15 479 482 52 55 NIC 24 14.5 9.5 477 481 53 56 CNC 25 7.5 17.5 467 462 57 57 MSE 25 14 11 465 466 56 58 J&W 24 10.5 13.5 453 425 65 59 AMP 23 11.5 11.5 452 460 58 60 CRT 25 7 18 448 456 59 61 WOR 22 7 15 442 452 60 62 STM 24 6.5 17.5 441 451 61 63 BFS 25 6.5 18.5 435 439 62 64 UMD 23 8.5 14.5 434 431 63 65 STN 23 10.5 12.5 425 430 64 66 FPU 24 8 16 411 398 68 67 LKF 24 9 15 406 416 66 68 UNE 24 3 21 402 397 69 69 SNH 22 6.5 15.5 399 385 70 70 LAW 25 9 16 397 409 67 71 FRA 23 3 20 369 379 71 72 NLD 25 5.5 19.5 344 343 73 73 STR 25 1.5 23.5 342 346 72 74 FNL 25 6.5 18.5 340 319 76 75 CNW 25 2.5 22.5 333 330 75 76 WNE 23 3.5 19.5 327 339 74 77 SLV 25 1.5 23.5 302 300 77 78 LVC 25 0 25 254 263 78