Herewith, a KRACH-based set of probabilities for the ECAC playoffs
This last table represents autobid probabilities
Probabilities of Winning Round 2 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quinnipiac | 0.883 | ||||
Yale | 0.830 | ||||
Harvard | 0.690 | ||||
St. Lawrence | 0.509 | ||||
Clarkson | 0.491 | ||||
RPI | 0.310 | ||||
Dartmouth | 0.170 | ||||
Cornell | 0.117 | ||||
Semifinal Probabilities | |||||
Quinnipiac-St. Lawrence | 0.258 | ||||
Quinnipiac-Clarkson | 0.248 | ||||
Quinnipiac-RPI | 0.227 | ||||
Quinnipiac-Dartmouth | 0.151 | ||||
Yale-St. Lawrence | 0.116 | ||||
Yale-Clarkson | 0.111 | ||||
Yale-Harvard | 0.505 | ||||
Yale-Cornell | 0.097 | ||||
Harvard-St. Lawrence | 0.087 | ||||
Harvard-Clarkson | 0.084 | ||||
Harvard-Cornell | 0.014 | ||||
St. Lawrence-RPI | 0.039 | ||||
St. Lawrence-Dartmouth | 0.007 | ||||
St. Lawrence-Cornell | 0.003 | ||||
Clarkson-Cornell | 0.003 | ||||
Clarkson-RPI | 0.038 | ||||
Clarkson-Dartmouth | 0.007 | ||||
RPI-Dartmouth | 0.006 | ||||
Final Probabilities | Probability | High Seed | LowSeed | ||
Quinnipiac-Yale | 0.371 | 0.662 | 0.338 | ||
Quinnipiac-Harvard | 0.228 | 0.731 | 0.269 | ||
Quinnipiac-St. Lawrence | 0.056 | 0.817 | 0.183 | ||
Quinnipiac-Clarkson | 0.053 | 0.820 | 0.180 | ||
Quinnipiac-RPI | 0.019 | 0.822 | 0.178 | ||
Yale-Harvard | 0.027 | 0.582 | 0.418 | ||
Yale-St. Lawrence | 0.041 | 0.694 | 0.306 | ||
Yale-Clarkson | 0.039 | 0.700 | 0.300 | ||
Yale-RPI | 0.038 | 0.702 | 0.298 | ||
Harvard-St. Lawrence | 0.022 | 0.620 | 0.380 | ||
Harvard-Clarkson | 0.021 | 0.626 | 0.374 | ||
Harvard-Dartmouth | 0.014 | 0.669 | 0.331 | ||
Harvard-Cornell | 0.014 | 0.576 | 0.424 | ||
St. Lawrence-RPI | 0.007 | 0.510 | 0.490 | ||
St. Lawrence-Dartmouth | 0.006 | 0.553 | 0.447 | ||
St. Lawrence-Cornell | 0.009 | 0.454 | 0.546 | ||
Clarkson-RPI | 0.007 | 0.503 | 0.497 | ||
Clarkson-Dartmouth | 0.006 | 0.547 | 0.453 | ||
Clarkson-Cornell | 0.008 | 0.447 | 0.553 | ||
RPI-Dartmouth | 0.004 | 0.544 | 0.456 | ||
RPI-Cornell | 0.007 | 0.444 | 0.556 | ||
Dartmouth-Cornell | 0.004 | 0.402 | 0.598 | ||
Quinnipiac | 0.518 | ||||
Yale | 0.223 | ||||
Harvard | 0.117 | ||||
St. Lawrence | 0.042 | ||||
Clarkson | 0.039 | ||||
RPI | 0.027 | ||||
Dartmouth | 0.013 | ||||
Cornell | 0.022 |
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