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**Red Cloud** · 11-23-2015, 11:59 AM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Originally posted by lugnut92 View Post

We're waiting on Colorado College to win a game.

More accurately, not lose a game.

**lugnut92** · 11-23-2015, 12:02 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Originally posted by Ralph Baer View Post

He hasn't done that in at least two years.

Oh. Well okay. I don't have an ELynah account, so I don't actually go over there unless linked in.

Originally posted by Red Cloud View Post

More accurately, not lose a game.

A tie is half a win

**LynahFan** · 11-23-2015, 01:44 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Here's Ken's own explanation: link.

Note that he recommends keeping the fictitious tie, even after it is not numerically necessary.

**lugnut92** · 11-23-2015, 03:38 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Originally posted by LynahFan View Post

Note that he recommends keeping the fictitious tie, even after it is not numerically necessary.

He says that he keeps them to maintain comparisons from week to week. I suppose I could do that, I just don't like to.

**FlagDUDE08** · 11-28-2015, 10:23 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Colorado College finally won a game.

**lugnut92** · 11-30-2015, 12:42 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

One game for points this weekend, a number of games to affect KRACH, including one outside the conference to eliminate the hypothetical tie. That said, all those games led to exactly one flip in the standings, as Dartmouth and Clarkson swapped spots (but are still separated by less than a point).

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^45.80 possibilities):

Quinnipiac
Harvard
Cornell
Yale
—————
SLU
RPI
Dartmouth
Clarkson
—————
Brown
Union
Colgate
Princeton

Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:

Code:

   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 5336.5 |  88.2  11.0   0.7   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.13 | 38.35
Ha | 1643.4 |  10.8  68.2  14.4   4.5   1.5   0.4   0.0     x     x     x     x     x |  2.19 | 34.10
Cr |  580.3 |   0.4   9.3  30.2  24.9  19.2  13.9   1.8   0.3   0.0   0.0     x     x |  4.03 | 28.64
Ya |  539.6 |   0.3   4.9  23.3  26.6  23.7  18.8   2.1   0.3   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  4.35 | 27.90
SL |  439.5 |   0.1   3.8  16.6  21.4  25.3  27.9   4.0   0.7   0.1   0.0   0.0     x |  4.72 | 27.03
RP |  323.2 |   0.1   2.7  14.7  21.8  27.6  27.8   4.5   0.7   0.1   0.0   0.0     x |  4.80 | 26.63
Da |  151.4 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.5   6.0  37.8  27.6  16.3   8.9   1.2   0.2 |  7.82 | 18.09
Ck |  189.5 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.9   4.0  29.5  29.2  20.2  13.3   2.2   0.4 |  8.14 | 17.36
Br |   91.0 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.8   9.9  21.2  31.5  30.0   5.5   0.9 |  9.00 | 14.90
Un |  126.8 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.5  10.2  19.1  27.8  32.5   7.7   2.0 |  9.13 | 14.62
Cg |   30.6 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.7   7.2  45.2  45.5 | 11.34 |  8.26
Pr |   33.8 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.5   2.3   8.0  38.1  51.0 | 11.37 |  8.12

   |  KRACH |     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 5336.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.1   2.4   4.9   8.8  13.6  17.8  19.5  16.8  10.4   4.0 | 38.35
Ha | 1643.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.4   2.6   4.5   7.1  10.0  12.8  14.5  14.6  12.5   9.4   5.6   2.8   0.9   0.3     x | 34.10
Cr |  580.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.8   1.6   2.7   4.3   6.4   8.5  10.6  11.9  12.3  11.5   9.9   7.4   5.3   3.1   1.8   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x | 28.64
Ya |  539.6 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.1   3.6   5.7   8.0  10.4  12.2  13.1  12.4  10.8   8.1   5.6   3.2   1.7   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x | 27.90
SL |  439.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.6   1.3   2.3   3.7   5.7   7.8   9.9  11.4  12.2  11.7  10.4   8.2   6.0   3.9   2.3   1.2   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x | 27.03
RP |  323.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.3   2.4   4.2   6.4   9.0  11.2  12.8  12.8  11.9   9.7   7.3   4.7   2.9   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x | 26.63
Da |  151.4 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.2   3.8   5.9   7.9  10.1  11.5  12.1  11.4  10.1   8.1   6.0   4.0   2.5   1.4   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 18.09
Ck |  189.5 |   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   1.9   3.3   5.1   7.3   9.4  11.2  11.9  11.8  10.6   8.7   6.5   4.5   2.9   1.6   0.8   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.36
Br |   91.0 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.2   0.7   1.6   3.5   5.8   9.1  11.5  13.4  13.5  12.4  10.0   7.5   4.9   3.0   1.6   0.8   0.4   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.90
Un |  126.8 |   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.2   2.3   4.2   6.5   9.3  11.4  13.0  12.9  11.8   9.5   7.0   4.6   2.8   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.62
Cg |   30.6 |     x   1.3   3.6   8.0  12.0  15.2  15.9  14.4  11.3   8.0   5.0   2.7   1.4   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  8.26
Pr |   33.8 |   0.7   2.0   5.0   8.5  12.2  14.5  15.0  13.4  10.7   7.6   4.9   2.8   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  8.12

Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:

Code:

   |    Qu    Ha    Cr    Ya    SL    RP    Da    Ck    Br    Un    Cg    Pr |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Ha |     x           x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.9   1.0 |  97.9
Cr |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   0.6   1.7   2.0  15.2  15.3 |  64.8
Ya |     x     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.5   0.8   2.0   2.8  19.4  19.5 |  55.1
SL |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.0   0.7   1.4   3.1   4.3  24.6  23.8 |  41.9
RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0         0.7   1.4   3.5   4.8  25.3  25.0 |  39.3
Da |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0        12.1  23.6  23.4   6.7   7.1 |   0.5
Ck |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   9.4        23.6  20.5   4.8   5.3 |   0.2
Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   6.7  10.1        12.0   1.8   1.3 |   0.0
Un |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   8.0   9.5  10.2         1.0   1.2 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.1   0.1         0.0 |    NO
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.2   0.1   0.0       |    NO

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.

**lugnut92** · 12-07-2015, 03:29 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Twelve games close out the ECAC schedule for the calendar year. We've got some high quality teams here in the EZAC.

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^40.08 possibilities):

Quinnipiac
Cornell
Harvard
SLU
—————
RPI
Yale
Dartmouth
Union
—————
Princeton
Clarkson
Brown
Colgate

Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:

Code:

   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 4478.9 |  95.3   4.5   0.2   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.05 | 38.91
Cr |  849.9 |   4.0  64.3  24.8   5.3   1.3   0.3   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x |  2.37 | 32.99
Ha |  725.9 |   0.7  26.3  48.4  17.2   5.7   1.6   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x |  3.06 | 30.49
SL |  341.1 |   0.0   3.3  15.7  35.9  25.3  16.0   3.2   0.6   0.1   0.0   0.0     x |  4.47 | 26.48
RP |  219.5 |   0.0   0.9   5.8  21.9  33.7  28.8   7.1   1.4   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  5.13 | 24.54
Ya |  298.0 |   0.0   0.7   5.0  18.7  29.2  35.0   8.4   2.2   0.6   0.2   0.0   0.0 |  5.31 | 24.12
Da |  134.6 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.9   3.6  11.1  36.8  24.0  12.6   6.5   3.1   1.2 |  7.66 | 18.13
Un |  134.0 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   4.0  24.4  28.8  19.1  12.3   7.1   3.5 |  8.44 | 16.49
Pr |   71.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.3   7.6  16.4  22.9  22.6  17.4  11.5 |  9.55 | 14.07
Ck |  116.5 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.3   7.0  12.7  18.8  20.9  20.3  18.8 |  9.87 | 13.63
Br |   70.9 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   4.2  10.4  17.8  23.2  27.0  16.7 | 10.06 | 13.12
Cg |   47.3 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.2   3.5   7.7  14.2  25.0  48.3 | 11.03 | 11.03

   |  KRACH |     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 4478.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.5   1.2   2.9   6.0  10.8  16.4  20.6  20.5  14.7   6.4 | 38.91
Cr |  849.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.8   1.6   3.0   5.0   7.5  10.4  12.7  14.1  13.6  11.9   8.6   5.7   2.8   1.3   0.3   0.1     x | 32.99
Ha |  725.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.2   3.9   6.3   9.0  11.8  13.4  14.2  12.7  10.3   6.9   4.2   1.9   0.8   0.2   0.0     x     x     x | 30.49
SL |  341.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.6   2.9   4.6   6.8   8.9  11.1  12.1  12.5  11.3   9.6   7.0   4.8   2.7   1.5   0.6   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 26.48
RP |  219.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.2   2.4   4.1   6.7   9.2  11.7  12.9  13.4  11.8   9.8   6.9   4.5   2.5   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x | 24.54
Ya |  298.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   1.9   3.3   5.3   7.5  10.0  11.7  12.9  12.3  11.1   8.6   6.3   3.7   2.1   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 24.12
Da |  134.6 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   1.9   3.3   5.5   7.8  10.3  11.8  12.8  11.9  10.7   8.3   6.0   3.8   2.3   1.2   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 18.13
Un |  134.0 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.2   2.5   4.3   7.0   9.4  12.0  12.9  13.2  11.6   9.4   6.7   4.3   2.4   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.49
Pr |   71.2 |     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.4   1.5   3.0   5.7   8.3  11.4  13.0  13.7  12.5  10.5   7.8   5.3   3.3   1.8   0.9   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.07
Ck |  116.5 |   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   1.4   2.8   4.5   6.9   9.0  11.2  12.0  12.3  11.1   9.3   7.0   4.9   3.1   1.8   0.9   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.63
Br |   70.9 |     x     x     x     x   0.4   1.0   2.9   5.1   8.7  11.2  13.7  13.8  13.0  10.5   7.9   5.3   3.3   1.7   0.9   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.12
Cg |   47.3 |     x     x     x   0.9   2.2   5.5   8.7  12.5  14.2  14.8  13.0  10.5   7.4   4.8   2.8   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 11.03

Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Note: I find it very funny that Colgate's average point total and rank are the same. That takes effort. Also, is there any way that Quinnipiac could actually finish the season only dropping three more points? It seems crazy, but they've been crazy good so far.

Playoff Matchups:

Code:

   |    Qu    Cr    Ha    SL    RP    Ya    Da    Un    Pr    Ck    Br    Cg |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Cr |     x           x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.3   0.3   0.8 |  98.4
Ha |     x     x           x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.3   1.0   1.3   1.5   3.1 |  92.6
SL |     x     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.9   2.4   6.7   8.9   9.3  16.7 |  54.9
RP |     x     x     x   0.0         0.0   1.8   4.7  10.6  13.8  15.2  24.8 |  28.6
Ya |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0         2.2   5.0  12.0  14.8  17.0  23.7 |  24.4
Da |     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.2        10.5  18.2  16.8  17.7  12.0 |   1.0
Un |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   6.8        16.4  13.9  13.2   7.4 |   0.1
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   3.8   7.7         5.6   5.8   2.5 |   0.0
Ck |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   4.6   5.2   4.9         4.0   2.2 |   0.0
Br |     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   2.4   5.1   3.3   2.5         1.9 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.9   1.2   1.1   0.9   0.7       |   0.0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.

**lugnut92** · 12-13-2015, 08:54 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

No league games, but some shifts in the projections. There's a sizeable pile-up at the Bye-Home Ice transition, with 4th and 6th separated by less than a point. That said, there's a huge gap between 6th and 7th.

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^40.08 possibilities):

Quinnipiac
Cornell
Harvard
SLU
—————
Yale
RPI
Union
Dartmouth
—————
Clarkson
Princeton
Brown
Colgate

Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:

Code:

   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 2003.2 |  88.8  10.0   1.1   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.12 | 37.81
Cr |  749.5 |   8.9  58.4  24.9   5.8   1.6   0.4   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x |  2.34 | 33.00
Ha |  659.1 |   2.1  26.4  46.7  16.3   6.3   2.1   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x |  3.05 | 30.59
SL |  272.9 |   0.1   2.3  11.6  28.2  27.9  24.7   4.1   0.9   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  4.78 | 25.82
Ya |  332.0 |   0.0   1.4   8.1  24.3  29.5  30.3   4.9   1.2   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  5.00 | 25.18
RP |  219.8 |   0.1   1.4   7.6  24.8  31.8  28.4   4.6   1.0   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  4.97 | 25.15
Un |  146.0 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.0   5.6  36.6  26.2  15.1   8.7   4.6   2.0 |  8.03 | 17.42
Da |   96.8 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.5   5.7  27.3  28.0  17.9  10.6   5.8   2.8 |  8.23 | 16.91
Ck |  116.2 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.4   9.3  15.5  20.2  20.1  17.9  15.3 |  9.63 | 14.15
Pr |   62.4 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.9   7.4  14.0  21.5  23.2  19.0  13.7 |  9.70 | 13.81
Br |   63.7 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.5   4.3   9.5  16.6  22.7  28.0  18.3 | 10.14 | 13.01
Cg |   44.5 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.4   3.8   7.9  14.4  24.6  47.8 | 11.00 | 11.13

   |  KRACH |     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 2003.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   2.1   4.2   7.3  11.3  15.1  17.6  16.9  13.4   7.5   3.1 | 37.81
Cr |  749.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.7   3.1   5.1   7.5  10.4  12.5  13.8  13.3  11.7   8.6   5.8   3.0   1.5   0.4   0.1     x | 33.00
Ha |  659.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.2   3.8   6.2   8.7  11.4  13.1  13.8  12.7  10.6   7.2   4.6   2.2   1.0   0.3   0.1     x     x     x | 30.59
SL |  272.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.4   2.4   4.1   6.0   8.4  10.3  11.9  12.2  11.7   9.9   7.9   5.4   3.5   1.9   1.0   0.4   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x | 25.82
Ya |  332.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.8   3.2   5.0   7.5   9.7  11.9  12.7  12.9  11.0   9.0   6.2   4.0   2.1   1.0   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 25.18
RP |  219.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.6   3.0   5.2   7.6  10.3  12.1  13.4  12.6  11.2   8.5   6.0   3.6   2.0   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x   0.0     x     x     x | 25.15
Un |  146.0 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.4   2.6   4.6   7.0   9.8  11.7  13.3  12.7  11.6   9.1   6.6   4.2   2.4   1.2   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.42
Da |   96.8 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.4   1.1   2.0   3.9   5.9   8.7  10.6  12.5  12.6  11.9   9.9   7.8   5.3   3.4   1.9   1.0   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.91
Ck |  116.2 |   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.5   1.0   2.0   3.5   5.7   7.8  10.2  11.5  12.4  11.7  10.4   8.2   6.0   4.0   2.5   1.3   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.15
Pr |   62.4 |     x     x     x     x   0.2   0.5   1.8   3.5   6.4   9.1  12.1  13.3  13.6  12.1   9.8   7.1   4.7   2.8   1.6   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.81
Br |   63.7 |     x     x     x     x   0.4   1.1   3.1   5.4   9.0  11.6  13.9  13.9  12.8  10.3   7.6   5.0   3.0   1.6   0.8   0.4   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.01
Cg |   44.5 |     x     x     x   0.8   2.1   5.2   8.3  12.1  14.0  14.8  13.2  10.9   7.7   5.1   2.9   1.6   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 11.13

Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:

Code:

   |    Qu    Cr    Ha    SL    Ya    RP    Un    Da    Ck    Pr    Br    Cg |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Cr |     x           x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.3   0.4   0.9 |  98.0
Ha |     x     x           x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.4   1.3   1.3   1.9   3.5 |  91.5
SL |     x     x     x         0.0   0.0   2.1   2.6   9.9   9.8  13.1  20.1 |  42.2
Ya |     x     x     x   0.0         0.0   2.5   3.4  11.1  11.4  15.3  22.1 |  33.8
RP |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0         2.7   3.1  11.1  10.8  15.0  23.1 |  33.9
Un |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.0        10.7  15.9  17.7  15.3   9.7 |   0.2
Da |     x     x     x   0.1   0.1   0.1   7.6        14.9  16.5  14.7   8.6 |   0.3
Ck |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   4.9   7.7         5.9   4.9   2.9 |   0.0
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   5.4   4.9   5.3         4.5   2.2 |   0.0
Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.0   3.8   3.1   2.7   2.8         1.8 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.1   1.3   1.0   1.1   0.7       |   0.0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.

**lugnut92** · 01-11-2016, 01:24 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Welcome back! We've had a few league games played since the break now, and it's time to get back to these lovely projections. While we may be on the back nine of the season at large, we still have about 60% of this season to play, so here we go!

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^37.22 possibilities):

Quinnipiac
Cornell
Harvard
SLU
—————
Yale
RPI
Union
Dartmouth
—————
Clarkson
Princeton
Brown
Colgate

Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:

Code:

   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1553.1 |  96.6   3.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.04 | 38.90
Cr |  563.8 |   3.3  65.6  23.5   5.6   1.5   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x |  2.38 | 32.47
Ha |  482.4 |   0.2  26.1  49.7  16.4   5.7   1.8   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x |  3.08 | 29.81
Ya |  290.9 |   0.0   2.7  13.3  32.9  26.6  16.9   5.5   1.6   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  4.67 | 25.44
RP |  174.1 |   0.0   1.4   7.8  25.5  31.2  22.5   8.7   2.2   0.5   0.1   0.0   0.0 |  5.04 | 24.40
SL |  153.6 |   0.0   0.7   5.2  16.1  23.8  29.8  15.7   6.0   1.9   0.5   0.1   0.0 |  5.62 | 23.16
Da |  132.5 |   0.0   0.0   0.3   3.0   8.4  17.5  31.0  22.5  10.0   4.5   2.0   0.7 |  7.22 | 19.44
Un |  158.3 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.4   2.0   7.9  25.0  31.8  18.0   9.2   4.2   1.5 |  8.07 | 17.72
Br |   78.2 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.5   1.9   6.5  14.9  23.9  23.7  19.2   9.2 |  9.54 | 14.63
Pr |   53.0 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   3.5  11.1  24.0  27.7  21.1  11.7 |  9.84 | 14.04
Ck |   84.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.7   2.9   7.2  14.2  19.4  25.7  29.8 | 10.44 | 12.75
Cg |   42.1 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.8   2.7   7.0  14.7  27.6  47.1 | 11.06 | 11.24

   |  KRACH |     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1553.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.3   3.1   6.3  10.8  16.3  19.6  20.1  13.8   7.8 | 38.90
Cr |  563.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.4   2.6   4.2   6.5   8.9  11.4  12.8  13.4  12.1  10.1   7.0   4.6   2.3   1.1   0.3   0.1     x | 32.47
Ha |  482.4 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.8   3.3   5.4   8.1  10.8  13.3  14.0  13.7  11.1   8.4   4.8   2.7   0.9   0.3     x     x     x     x     x | 29.81
Ya |  290.9 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.8   1.6   2.8   4.5   6.7   9.0  11.3  12.4  12.8  11.5   9.7   6.9   4.7   2.5   1.3   0.5   0.2   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 25.44
RP |  174.1 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.3   2.5   4.6   6.9   9.8  11.9  13.5  12.9  11.8   9.0   6.6   4.0   2.3   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x | 24.40
SL |  153.6 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.2   2.2   3.7   5.7   7.7   9.9  11.1  11.9  11.4  10.3   8.3   6.2   4.2   2.6   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x | 23.16
Da |  132.5 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   1.6   3.1   4.8   7.1   9.2  11.3  12.1  12.3  10.9   9.2   6.7   4.6   2.8   1.6   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.44
Un |  158.3 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   2.0   3.6   6.2   8.7  11.7  13.0  13.9  12.2  10.4   7.2   4.8   2.6   1.3   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.72
Br |   78.2 |     x     x     x     x   0.1   0.3   1.1   2.1   4.4   6.7   9.8  11.7  13.3  12.8  11.6   9.2   6.9   4.5   2.8   1.5   0.8   0.3   0.1   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.63
Pr |   53.0 |     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.8   1.8   5.4   8.0  12.8  14.1  15.8  13.4  11.2   7.4   4.7   2.5   1.3   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.04
Ck |   84.2 |   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.3   2.5   4.5   6.5   9.1  10.8  12.1  12.1  11.2   9.3   7.3   5.1   3.3   1.9   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 12.75
Cg |   42.1 |     x     x     x   0.7   1.9   4.9   7.9  11.8  13.7  14.7  13.3  11.1   8.0   5.4   3.2   1.8   0.9   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 11.24

Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:

Code:

   |    Qu    Cr    Ha    Ya    RP    SL    Da    Un    Br    Pr    Ck    Cg |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Cr |     x           x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.3   0.6   0.9 |  98.0
Ha |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   1.0   1.1   2.1   3.1 |  92.4
Ya |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.1   0.9   1.9   7.4   8.7  13.6  18.1 |  48.9
RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.1   1.0   2.9  10.0  11.3  17.0  22.5 |  34.7
SL |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0         1.6   4.2  13.6  15.2  18.7  21.9 |  22.0
Da |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.5         7.3  18.8  20.2  17.3  15.3 |   3.3
Un |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.6   5.2        17.9  19.5  13.7   9.4 |   0.4
Br |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   3.1   8.0         5.3   3.3   3.1 |   0.1
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.4   2.3   4.8   4.1         2.4   1.2 |   0.0
Ck |     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.2   2.3   2.7   2.4   2.2         1.0 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.7   1.0   0.6   0.8   0.5       |   0.0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.

**lugnut92** · 01-17-2016, 10:29 AM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Well, it looks like we're in another 2013 situation with Quinnipiac running away and everyone else fighting for second place.

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^31.97 possibilities):

Quinnipiac
Cornell
Harvard
Yale
—————
RPI
Dartmouth
SLU
Union
—————
Clarkson
Colgate
Princeton
Brown

Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:

Code:

   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1427.8 |  99.6   0.4   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.00 | 38.88
Cr |  361.2 |   0.3  40.9  26.0  18.1  10.5   3.7   0.5   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.11 | 28.96
Ha |  397.8 |   0.0  33.2  30.2  21.7  11.7   2.6   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.22 | 28.50
Ya |  313.8 |   0.0  16.9  24.5  26.7  21.1   8.2   2.1   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  3.87 | 27.05
RP |  184.6 |   0.0   7.8  15.7  23.8  31.0  16.9   3.9   0.6   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  4.48 | 25.69
Da |  157.6 |   0.0   0.8   3.0   8.0  19.2  41.7  17.4   6.2   2.4   0.9   0.3   0.1 |  5.95 | 22.27
SL |  117.1 |   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.6   5.2  17.8  39.7  18.4   9.0   4.6   2.3   0.9 |  7.29 | 19.25
Un |  133.3 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.4   4.0  13.3  24.0  21.7  16.5  12.1   7.9 |  9.00 | 16.20
Ck |  103.4 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   2.9  10.4  20.4  20.7  17.6  14.8  12.5 |  9.32 | 15.73
Cg |   53.7 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.0   4.1  10.4  16.2  21.0  23.4  23.9 | 10.18 | 14.00
Pr |   51.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.6   3.7  10.0  16.1  21.1  24.0  24.4 | 10.23 | 13.94
Br |   72.7 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.7   4.4   9.4  13.7  18.1  23.2  30.3 | 10.35 | 13.54

   |  KRACH |     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41    42 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1427.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.4   3.2   6.4  10.9  16.2  19.4  19.9  13.7   7.8 | 38.88
Cr |  361.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.4   0.9   1.8   3.3   5.3   8.0  10.3  12.7  13.2  13.3  10.9   8.7   5.4   3.3   1.4   0.6   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x | 28.96
Ha |  397.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   0.4   1.0   2.0   3.6   6.2   8.9  12.2  13.9  15.1  13.0  10.9   6.6   4.1   1.4   0.6     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 28.50
Ya |  313.8 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.6   3.1   5.1   7.7  10.1  12.7  13.3  13.5  11.2   9.0   5.6   3.4   1.5   0.7   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x | 27.05
RP |  184.6 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.8   1.7   3.7   5.8   9.3  11.5  14.2  13.7  13.2   9.9   7.4   4.3   2.4   1.0   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x | 25.69
Da |  157.6 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.6   2.8   5.0   7.2  10.1  11.8  13.4  12.6  11.6   8.8   6.4   3.8   2.2   1.0   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 22.27
SL |  117.1 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.6   1.5   2.8   5.2   7.4  10.5  12.1  13.5  12.5  11.3   8.5   6.2   3.7   2.2   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.25
Un |  133.3 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.0   2.5   4.3   7.9  10.2  13.8  13.9  14.5  11.3   9.0   5.4   3.3   1.4   0.7   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.20
Ck |  103.4 |   0.0   0.1   0.4   0.9   2.2   3.7   6.5   8.9  11.9  12.8  13.5  11.9  10.0   7.0   4.8   2.8   1.5   0.7   0.3   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 15.73
Cg |   53.7 |     x     x   0.9   2.0   5.6   8.4  12.9  14.3  15.3  13.1  10.7   7.3   4.7   2.6   1.3   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 14.00
Pr |   51.2 |     x     x   0.9   2.0   5.8   8.4  13.1  14.3  15.6  13.0  10.8   7.1   4.6   2.4   1.2   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.94
Br |   72.7 |   0.2   0.6   2.1   3.8   7.3   9.7  13.0  13.6  14.0  11.7   9.4   6.3   4.1   2.2   1.1   0.5   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.54

Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:

Code:

   |    Qu    Cr    Ha    Ya    RP    Da    SL    Un    Ck    Cg    Pr    Br |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x | 100.0
Cr |     x           x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.3   2.0   3.7   3.6   4.0 |  85.3
Ha |     x     x           x     x   0.0   0.2   1.3   2.0   3.4   3.7   4.3 |  85.2
Ya |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.0   0.4   3.0   4.1   7.5   7.7   9.1 |  68.1
RP |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.1   0.8   5.6   7.3  12.2  12.6  13.9 |  47.4
Da |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0         2.4  10.7  13.4  19.4  19.3  19.2 |  11.8
SL |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.6        14.3  14.9  17.3  17.6  16.3 |   2.1
Un |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.1   3.8        11.8   8.4   9.1   7.4 |   0.0
Ck |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.7   3.4   9.7         7.1   6.9   6.3 |   0.1
Cg |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.6   1.7   4.5   3.6         2.8   2.2 |   0.0
Pr |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.7   3.7   3.7   2.3         2.6 |   0.0
Br |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.3   2.2   4.0   2.9   3.1   2.2       |   0.0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.

**lugnut92** · 01-24-2016, 06:49 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

The last "light" weekend of the ECAC schedule is done and every weekend from here in will have at least 11 league contests. Quinnipiac still holds a massive lead, but we're set for an exciting run to the finish! We have close fights at both boundaries, with less than a two-point gap at each line.

Simulated Final Standings (1,000,000 simulations of 10^27.67 possibilities):

Quinnipiac

Harvard
Yale
RPI
—————
Cornell
Dartmouth
SLU
Clarkson
—————
Union

Princeton
Colgate

Brown

Teams in italics have non-conference games remaining on their schedule.

Reminder: KRACH doesn't do ties. KRACH doesn't do prediction, it does retrodiction. KRACH cares not about your momentum, injuries, home-ice, etc. KRACH thinks you're exactly as good as your record.

Rank and Points breakdown:

Code:

   |  KRACH |     1     2     3     4     5     6     7     8     9    10    11    12 |Avg Rk |AvgPts
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1010.3 |  99.2   0.8   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x |  1.01 | 37.73
Ha |  471.5 |   0.5  64.9  21.7   8.8   3.2   0.9   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x |  2.52 | 30.39
Ya |  303.5 |   0.1  14.1  26.3  25.0  19.5  12.4   2.2   0.4   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  3.98 | 27.12
RP |  218.2 |   0.2  13.1  24.8  24.4  20.3  14.1   2.6   0.4   0.0   0.0   0.0     x |  4.06 | 27.08
Cr |  250.6 |   0.0   4.1  12.8  19.5  25.7  29.5   6.8   1.3   0.2   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  4.91 | 25.33
Da |  195.2 |   0.0   3.0  14.1  21.0  26.9  27.1   6.3   1.4   0.3   0.0   0.0   0.0 |  4.87 | 25.19
SL |  124.4 |   0.0   0.0   0.3   1.1   3.4  11.2  50.6  22.4   8.0   2.3   0.5   0.1 |  7.25 | 19.82
Ck |  117.5 |     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.7   3.1  18.1  36.1  24.0  11.6   4.7   1.4 |  8.39 | 17.62
Un |  122.2 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.4   9.7  23.1  30.8  19.1  10.5   5.1 |  9.08 | 16.02
Pr |   49.1 |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   2.5   8.9  19.0  30.0  25.2  14.2 | 10.09 | 13.88
Cg |   49.4 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.9   4.5  12.7  24.1  32.0  25.8 | 10.59 | 12.74
Br |   55.8 |     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.2   1.4   5.1  12.8  27.0  53.5 | 11.25 | 11.09

   |  KRACH |     6     7     8     9    10    11    12    13    14    15    16    17    18    19    20    21    22    23    24    25    26    27    28    29    30    31    32    33    34    35    36    37    38    39    40    41 |AvgPts
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu | 1010.3 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.7   1.8   3.7   7.4  11.6  16.9  18.9  19.2  12.0   7.5 | 37.73
Ha |  471.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.2   0.6   1.5   3.0   5.9   9.0  13.5  15.5  17.6  13.8  11.5   5.0   2.7     x     x     x     x     x     x | 30.39
Ya |  303.5 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.2   2.4   4.7   7.1  10.9  12.8  15.1  13.7  12.6   8.4   5.9   2.7   1.4   0.3   0.1     x     x     x     x     x     x | 27.12
RP |  218.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.2   2.7   4.6   8.0  10.4  13.9  14.0  14.5  11.1   8.9   5.0   3.0   1.2   0.5   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x | 27.08
Cr |  250.6 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.4   1.0   2.4   4.0   7.2   9.6  13.1  13.7  14.7  11.8   9.9   5.9   3.8   1.5   0.7   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 25.33
Da |  195.2 |     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   1.1   2.6   4.4   7.6  10.0  13.5  13.8  14.6  11.5   9.3   5.5   3.4   1.3   0.6   0.1   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 25.19
SL |  124.4 |     x     x     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.6   1.3   3.3   5.3   9.3  11.4  14.7  14.0  13.6  10.1   7.6   4.4   2.5   1.1   0.5   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 19.82
Ck |  117.5 |     x     x     x   0.0   0.1   0.7   1.5   3.8   5.9   9.9  12.0  15.0  13.9  13.1   9.5   7.0   3.9   2.2   0.9   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 17.62
Un |  122.2 |     x   0.0   0.1   0.5   1.1   2.9   4.8   8.6  10.8  14.2  13.9  14.1  10.7   8.4   4.9   2.9   1.3   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 16.02
Pr |   49.1 |     x     x   1.0   2.1   5.9   8.6  13.5  14.5  15.7  13.0  10.6   6.9   4.4   2.2   1.1   0.4   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 13.88
Cg |   49.4 |     x     x   2.4   4.4  10.7  13.3  17.6  15.8  14.1   9.5   6.3   3.3   1.6   0.6   0.2   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 12.74
Br |   55.8 |   1.8   3.4   9.0  11.8  16.6  15.7  15.2  10.9   7.7   4.2   2.3   1.0   0.4   0.1   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x     x | 11.09
Bold is each team's most likely outcome.
0.0 means the outcome occurred, but fewer than 500 times.
x means the outcome never occurred.

Playoff Matchups:

Code:

   |    Qu    Ha    Ya    RP    Cr    Da    SL    Ck    Un    Pr    Cg    Br |   BYE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Qu |           x     x     x     x     x     x   0.0     x   0.0   0.0   0.0 | 100.0
Ha |     x           x     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.3   0.7   1.1   2.0 |  95.8
Ya |     x     x         0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   1.2   2.8   6.7   9.6  14.1 |  65.5
RP |     x     x   0.0         0.0   0.0   0.1   1.3   3.5   7.3  10.3  14.9 |  62.5
Cr |     x     x   0.0   0.0         0.0   0.4   2.8   6.1  13.4  17.8  22.8 |  36.4
Da |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0         0.4   2.8   5.8  13.0  17.4  22.4 |  38.1
SL |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0        12.2  19.9  23.0  19.8  12.7 |   1.4
Ck |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   3.9        21.4  15.0  11.5   6.1 |   0.2
Un |     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.1   0.1   3.6  14.5         8.2   5.5   2.5 |   0.0
Pr |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   1.5   4.6   3.4         1.3   0.6 |   0.0
Cg |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.6   1.9   1.7   0.9         0.2 |   0.0
Br |     x     x   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.0   0.2   0.5   0.5   0.2   0.3       |     0

Hosts on the left, visitors across the top.

**Ralph Baer** · 01-24-2016, 08:56 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Interesting that IE puts the teams in italics above their place number instead of on the same line while Chrome does it correctly.

**FlagDUDE08** · 01-25-2016, 04:52 AM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Originally posted by Ralph Baer View Post

Interesting that IE puts the teams in italics above their place number instead of on the same line while Chrome does it correctly.

People still use Internut Exploder?

**lugnut92** · 01-25-2016, 03:09 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Originally posted by Ralph Baer View Post

Interesting that IE puts the teams in italics above their place number instead of on the same line while Chrome does it correctly.

I'm curious as to what you mean. Can you post a screenshot? I run OS X, so I don't have IE to test it. I write and post in Firefox.

**Ralph Baer** · 01-25-2016, 05:07 PM

Re: ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

Originally posted by lugnut92 View Post

I'm curious as to what you mean. Can you post a screenshot? I run OS X, so I don't have IE to test it. I write and post in Firefox.

It starts with

1. Quinnipiac
Harvard
2.
3. Yale

etc.
(Harvard is properly indented, just not on the correct line.)

Announcement

ECAC Projected Standings 2015-16

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