Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodies

[brookyone]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

3. Boston College -- Pretty good game against UNH. A sweep of Cornell would move them up to 2 no matter what Wisconsin does to Bemidji, and #1 if Minny slips at all vs. ND.

Best go on record now I suppose. I'm thinking no. Not if Wisconsin takes care of business @ Bemidji. #2 with a Minnesota stumble vs. NoDak maybe. But hey...I get it. It's not unlike the PWR and it's propensity to grossly over-value wins in outcomes of east vs. east tussles.-- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Concluded per a discussion with grandaddyscout eh!

[TonyTheTiger20]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

So I'm thinking USCHO's math is wrong here... lol

http://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwi...ngs/d-i-women/

Minnesota's KRACH in scientific notation was impressive but BC having an RPI over 1.000 is a new level hahaha

[brookyone]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1) Minnesota
2) Boston College
3) Wisconsin
4) Harvard
5) Quinnipiac
6) North Dakota
7) Cornell
8) Boston University
9) Clarkson
10) Minnesota Duluth

[PuckRush]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1) Minnesota
2) Boston College
3) Wisconsin
4) Harvard
5) Quinnipiac
6) North Dakota
7) Cornell
8) Boston University
9) Clarkson
10) Minnesota Duluth

That top 5 looks spot on. 6-10 is going to require some thought... what a mess!

[TonyTheTiger20]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

That top 5 looks spot on. 6-10 is going to require some thought... what a mess!

Yeah pretty much

[PuckRush]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

Me thinks there is a LOT more chaos to come in 7-10. There should be some repositioning above that when the Ivies begin. The FUN has beGUN.

Little did I know it would be this much chaos!

[TonyTheTiger20]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Minnesota -- That North Dakota game was something else
2. Boston College -- Well that was certainly what I was hoping to see.
3. Wisconsin -- Had a weekend that seemed very similar to BC's against SLU.
4. Harvard -- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
5. Quinnipiac -- Looking pretty darn good. Gonna be fun to watch in the ECAC.
6. Mercyhurst -- Nice sweep.
7. Cornell -- Looked much better on Saturday.
8. Boston University -- Without Poutine they got burned by Maine. Yikes. Would like to know when she's returning.
9. St. Lawrence -- Big game against Clarkson Tuesday night.
10. North Dakota -- Saturday was a very bad game against Minnesota, even by typical-games-against-Minnesota standards. Yikes. I mean really, my goodness.

[PuckRush]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Minnesota -- That North Dakota game was something else
2. Boston College -- Well that was certainly what I was hoping to see.
3. Wisconsin -- Had a weekend that seemed very similar to BC's against SLU.
4. Harvard -- ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
5. Quinnipiac -- Looking pretty darn good. Gonna be fun to watch in the ECAC.
6. Mercyhurst -- Nice sweep.
7. Cornell -- Looked much better on Saturday.
8. Boston University -- Without Poutine they got burned by Maine. Yikes. Would like to know when she's returning.
9. St. Lawrence -- Big game against Clarkson Tuesday night.
10. North Dakota -- Saturday was a very bad game against Minnesota, even by typical-games-against-Minnesota standards. Yikes. I mean really, my goodness.

Tony... Mercyhurst at number 6? A 1 goal win and then tie against Maine and then split with Northeastern. Hmmm... I think they are bubble top 10.

[Eeyore]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1) Minnesota
2) Boston College
3) Wisconsin
4) Harvard
5) Quinnipiac
6) Cornell
7) Boston University
8) Ohio State
9) Yale
10) Clarkson

[PuckRush]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Minnesota - obviously
2. Boston College - ditto
3. Wisconsin
4. Harvard
5. Quinnipiac - too many goals... who is this team?

6-10 is one big guess. I can't find a CHA team I like, and I'm losing confidence in everything out west except for the top 2

6. Cornell - not ready to punish them for losing their first games of the year against the #2 team in the country
7. Boston University - not ready to punish them for losing without their capitaine
8. St Lawrence - they played BC close... they get credit for that on top of blowing out some teams
9. Yale - can't be sure, but opening weekend was dominant
10. Vermont - welcome to the top 10... beat NoDak and some solid wins

[TonyTheTiger20]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

Tony... Mercyhurst at number 6? A 1 goal win and then tie against Maine and then split with Northeastern. Hmmm... I think they are bubble top 10.

That's fair. I just think 6-1-1 is more than a lot of teams can say right now.

[FiveHoleFrenzy]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Minnesota - scraped by Saturday to maintain no. 1.
2. BC - mmm...red velvet cupcakes.
3. WisconSIN - maintained but BC won the cupcake wars.
4. Harvard - Is this team ever going to play a game?
5. Quinnipiac - just win baby.
6. Mercyhurst - they won the coin flip with BU
7. BU - they lost the coin flip with Mercyhurst
8. Yale - don't really know enough about them but what the heck
9. Clarkson - 9 goals against the orange gets them 9th
10. Flickertails - 7 shots against Minnesota Saturday gets them the nickname.

[sheagle008]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1.Minnesota
2.Boston College
3.Wisconsin
4.Harvard
5.Quinnipiac
6.Mercyhurst
7.Cornell
8.Yale
9.Boston University
10.SLU

[wwhyte]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

1. Minnesota
2. Boston College -- but I actually suspect BC has more depth. Field has been quiet this year and perhaps putting Capizzano on the Field-Anastos line when she's better will unlock that, giving us three strong scoring lines (Kent has earned the right to stay with Skarupa and Carpenter for a few more weeks). Minnesota looks like two really strong lines is its ceiling.
3. Wisconsin -- not always convincing against Bemidji

--- BIG GAP ---

4. Mercyhurst -- I have both Northeastern and Maine down as a team that can beat anyone on the day this year, except one of the big three above, so Mercyhurst's non-Ws count less.
5. Quinnipiac -- Undefeated. Penn State tie is baffling but everyone's allowed one.
6. Harvard -- with two weeks practice under their belt they should have sustained better pressure against the Blades.

-- SMALLER GAP


7. Boston University -- they didn't have Poulin for the Maine loss so it counts less, and Maine clearly have flashes of inspiration this year. But it still smells like a surprising lack of depth. Could go back up but if Poulin continues to stay out they could fall further. I reserve the right to come back to this after the Northeastern game on Tuesday.
8. Cornell -- who knows?
9. Clarkson -- they had a lot of inconsistencies last year but came good in the end. Not ready to write them off yet.
10. SLU -- Why not.

Also under consideration:
* Yale -- in my personal RPI wins against Providence are multiplied by a weighting of 0.0000001
* Ohio State -- 5th in the pairwise!
* North Dakota -- kept it close on Friday but what a meltdown on Saturday
* RIT

[wwhyte]

Re: Fun With Numbers '14-'15: USCHO Posters Poll, Pairwise What-Ifs, and Other Goodie

So I'm thinking USCHO's math is wrong here... lol

http://www.uscho.com/rankings/pairwi...ngs/d-i-women/

Minnesota's KRACH in scientific notation was impressive but BC having an RPI over 1.000 is a new level hahaha

And I think BC having an RPI over 1.000 has put Cornell back as a TUC, yes? Because they now have an RPI of .5002. So it has a knockon effect on EVERYTHING.