ECAC playoff predictions

[FlagDUDE08]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions

No one will finish 11th and 12th?

I edited it.

[ARM]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions

No one will finish 11th and 12th?

That way nobody feels bad. You just tell the bottom teams that they are in a tie for 10th and it sounds much better.

[FlagDUDE08]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions

OK, now that I have some time to do this, it's time for some edits.

--- Home Lock - 33 () ---
Har 29 - 41 [1-6]
Cor 28 - 40 [1-6]
CCT 26 - 38 [1-8]
SLU 21 - 33 [1-8]
--- In - 21+ () ---
Qui 20 - 32 [1-10]
Dar 17 - 29 [2-11]
RPI 15 - 27 [3-11]
Pri 10 - 22 [4-12]
Col 9 - 21 [5-12]
--- Home Eligible - 21 () ---
Yal 8 - 20 [5-12]
Bro 6 - 18 [7-12]
Uni 3 - 15 [8-12]
--- Out - 10 () ---[/QUOTE]

REMAINING SCHEDULE:
Har: Yal, Bro, @Cor, @Col, SLU, CCT
Cor: @Qui, @Pri, Har, Dar, @RPI, @Uni
CCT: @RPI, @Uni, Pri, Qui, @Dar, @Har
SLU: @Uni, @RPI, Qui, Pri, @Har, @Dar
Qui: Cor, Col, @SLU, @CCT, @Yal, @Bro
Dar: Bro, Yal, @Col, @Cor, CCT, SLU
RPI: CCT, SLU, @Yal, @Bro, Cor, Col
Pri: Col, Cor, @CCT, @SLU, @Bro, @Yal
Col: @Pri, @Qui, Dar, Har, @Uni, @RPI
Yal: @Har, @Dar, RPI, Uni, Qui, Pri
Bro: @Dar, @Har, Uni, RPI, Pri, Qui
Uni: SLU, CCT, @Bro, @Yal, Col, Cor

TIEBREAKS OWNED:
Har: Qui, Dar, RPI, Pri, Uni
Cor: SLU, Col, Yal, Bro
CCT: Yal, Bro
SLU: Col, Yal, Bro
Qui: RPI, Pri, Uni
Dar: Pri, Uni
RPI: Dar, Uni
Pri: Uni
Col:
Yal: Col
Bro:
Uni:

From this data, with SLU winning the tiebreak over Colgate, they cannot finish in 9th, and are therefore in. Harvard has the tiebreak over Dartmouth, so Dartmouth cannot finish in first. RPI has the tiebreak over Union, so Union cannot finish in 7th, while RPI cannot finish in 12th.

[Skate79]

Re: Strength of remaining schedule

The predictions may need some adjusting due to the weather this weekend. There is a real possibility that we won't play Yale at Bright this year. We rescheduled Brown for the 19th but we have the Beanpot consolation next week, then a road trip to Cornell and Colgate. There isn't any room in the schedule unless they play it after the regular season. That puts Harvard at a disadvantage having to play four Tuesday night games in a row on top of regularly scheduled games. And it bumps into the playoffs because the men close out their season at Bright on the weekend of March 1-2 forcing the women to play in the afternoon. Unless Harvard or Yale need the points for seedings, we should forget about playing that game.

[FlagDUDE08]

Re: Strength of remaining schedule

The predictions may need some adjusting due to the weather this weekend. There is a real possibility that we won't play Yale at Bright this year. We rescheduled Brown for the 19th but we have the Beanpot consolation next week, then a road trip to Cornell and Colgate. There isn't any room in the schedule unless they play it after the regular season. That puts Harvard at a disadvantage having to play four Tuesday night games in a row on top of regularly scheduled games. And it bumps into the playoffs because the men close out their season at Bright on the weekend of March 1-2 forcing the women to play in the afternoon. Unless Harvard or Yale need the points for seedings, we should forget about playing that game.

It's very possible that it could determine the regular season championship.

[OnMAA]

Re: Strength of remaining schedule

NEMO playing havoc with the ECAC.....Cornell loses to Quinnipiac....Did not see that one coming.

[Watson Rink]

Re: Strength of remaining schedule

No, I didn't see that coming either. When I was assigning hypothetical odds for second-tier teams against top-tier teams, I decided to treat all second-tier teams alike but had reservations inasmuch as SLU and Dartmouth had played strong against Harvard at least once whilst Quinnipiac hadn't played up to their overall reputation.

Now I see why Q is where it is in the overall standings.

[FlagDUDE08]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions

We'll update this for last night's games. Harvard and Yale did not play last night.

--- Home Lock - 33 () ---
Har 29 - 41 [1-5]
Cor 28 - 38 [1-6]
CCT 28 - 38 [1-6]
SLU 23 - 33 [1-7]
Qui 22 - 32 [1-7]
--- In - 21+ () ---
Dar 19 - 29 [2-10]
RPI 15 - 25 [4-11]
--- Home Eligible - 23 () ---
Col 11 - 21 [6-12]
Pri 10 - 20 [6-12]
Yal 8 - 20 [6-12]
Bro 6 - 16 [7-12]
Uni 3 - 13 [8-12]
--- Out - 11 () ---

REMAINING SCHEDULE:
Har: (Yal-2/10), @Cor, @Col, (Bro-2/19), SLU, CCT
Cor: @Pri, Har, Dar, @RPI, @Uni
CCT: @Uni, Pri, Qui, @Dar, @Har
SLU: @RPI, Qui, Pri, @Har, @Dar
Qui: (Col-2/10), @SLU, @CCT, @Yal, @Bro
Dar: (Yal-2/11), @Col, @Cor, CCT, SLU
RPI: SLU, @Yal, @Bro, Cor, Col
Col: (@Qui-2/10), Dar, Har, @Uni, @RPI
Pri: Cor, @CCT, @SLU, @Bro, @Yal
Yal: (@Har-2/10), (@Dar-2/11), RPI, Uni, Qui, Pri
Bro: Uni, RPI, (@Har-2/19), Pri, Qui
Uni: CCT, @Bro, @Yal, Col, Cor

TIEBREAKS OWNED:
Har: Qui, Dar, RPI, Pri, Uni
Cor: SLU, Col, Yal, Bro
CCT: Yal, Bro, RPI
SLU: Col, Yal, Bro, Uni
Qui: RPI, Pri, Uni
Dar: Pri, Uni, Bro
RPI: Dar, Uni
Col: Pri
Pri: Uni
Yal: Col
Bro:
Uni:

Harvard has the tiebreak over Dartmouth, therefore Dartmouth cannot catch them. Quinnipiac has now clinched a playoff berth.

[FlagDUDE08]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions

Saturday Update

--- Home Lock - 32 () ---
Cor 30 - 38 [1-5]
CCT 30 - 38 [1-5]
Har 29 - 41 [1-5]
SLU 24 - 32 [1-6]
Qui 22 - 32 [1-7]
--- In - 21+ () ---
Dar 19 - 29 [2-9]
--- Home Eligible - 24 () ---
RPI 16 - 24 [5-11]
Col 11 - 21 [6-12]
Pri 10 - 18 [7-12]
Yal 8 - 20 [6-12]
Bro 6 - 16 [7-12]
Uni 3 - 11 [8-12]
--- Out - 11 () ---

REMAINING SCHEDULE:
Har: (Yal-2/10), @Cor, @Col, (Bro-2/19), SLU, CCT
Cor: Har, Dar, @RPI, @Uni
CCT: Pri, Qui, @Dar, @Har
SLU: Qui, Pri, @Har, @Dar
Qui: (Col-2/10), @SLU, @CCT, @Yal, @Bro
Dar: (Yal-2/11), @Col, @Cor, CCT, SLU
RPI: @Yal, @Bro, Cor, Col
Col: (@Qui-2/10), Dar, Har, @Uni, @RPI
Pri: @CCT, @SLU, @Bro, @Yal
Yal: (@Har-2/10), (@Dar-2/11), RPI, Uni, Qui, Pri
Bro: Uni, RPI, (@Har-2/19), Pri, Qui
Uni: @Bro, @Yal, Col, Cor

TIEBREAKS OWNED:
Har: Qui, Dar, RPI, Pri, Uni
Cor: SLU, Col, Yal, Bro
CCT: Yal, Bro, RPI, Uni
SLU: Col, Yal, Bro, Uni, RPI
Qui: RPI, Pri, Uni
Dar: Pri, Uni, Bro
RPI: Dar, Uni
Col: Pri
Pri: Uni
Yal: Col
Bro:
Uni:

SLU gets the tiebreak over RPI going 1-0-1, meaning RPI can no longer achieve 4th.

[john0128]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions: strength of remaining schedule

harvard vs yale got canceled again, given that harvard has no room in their schedule to play yale due to the beanpot, what happens?

[Watson Rink]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions

yikes! Wonder why they couldn't play today. So we'll see whether the ECAC will let them play on the Mon or Tues after the final weekend, otherwise the night before the Brown game might be best. The outcome is likely to affect the match ups of at least four schools, possibly six. Presumably it's better for Harvard to play on an inconvenient date rather than just forfeit two points. Wonder if the ECAC assesses forfeits based on relative willingness of H and Y to reschedule.

[hkymom12]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions

CT still in State of Emergency with limited road travel allowed.

[pakidnyc]

yikes! Wonder why they couldn't play today. So we'll see whether the ECAC will let them play on the Mon or Tues after the final weekend, otherwise the night before the Brown game might be best. The outcome is likely to affect the match ups of at least four schools, possibly six. Presumably it's better for Harvard to play on an inconvenient date rather than just forfeit two points. Wonder if the ECAC assesses forfeits based on relative willingness of H and Y to reschedule.

I don't foresee the ECAC or Ivy League allowing forfeits seeing that both titles are on the line.

[FlagDUDE08]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions

Only one game, but we can make updates for it, since the "in" line has moved.

--- Home Lock - 32 () ---
Cor 30 - 38 [1-5]
CCT 30 - 38 [1-5]
Har 29 - 41 [1-5]
SLU 24 - 32 [1-6]
Qui 24 - 32 [1-7]
--- In - 20 () ---
Dar 19 - 29 [2-9]
--- Home Eligible - 25 () ---
RPI 16 - 24 [6-11]
Col 11 - 19 [6-12]
Pri 10 - 18 [7-12]
Yal 8 - 20 [6-12]
Bro 6 - 16 [7-12]
Uni 3 - 11 [8-12]
--- Out - 11 () ---

REMAINING SCHEDULE:
Har: (Yal-?), @Cor, @Col, (Bro-2/19), SLU, CCT
Cor: Har, Dar, @RPI, @Uni
CCT: Pri, Qui, @Dar, @Har
SLU: Qui, Pri, @Har, @Dar
Qui: @SLU, @CCT, @Yal, @Bro
Dar: (Yal-2/11), @Col, @Cor, CCT, SLU
RPI: @Yal, @Bro, Cor, Col
Col: Dar, Har, @Uni, @RPI
Pri: @CCT, @SLU, @Bro, @Yal
Yal: (@Har-?), (@Dar-2/11), RPI, Uni, Qui, Pri
Bro: Uni, RPI, (@Har-2/19), Pri, Qui
Uni: @Bro, @Yal, Col, Cor

TIEBREAKS OWNED:
Har: Qui, Dar, RPI, Pri, Uni
Cor: SLU, Col, Yal, Bro
CCT: Yal, Bro, RPI, Uni
SLU: Col, Yal, Bro, Uni, RPI
Qui: RPI, Pri, Uni
Dar: Pri, Uni, Bro
RPI: Dar, Uni
Col: Pri
Pri: Uni
Yal: Col
Bro:
Uni:

Because SLU has to play Quinnipiac, we can move home eligibility up to 25.

[FlagDUDE08]

Re: ECAC playoff predictions

Yale and Dartmouth did play on Tuesday, so why not...

--- Home Lock - 32 () ---
Cor 30 - 38 [1-5]
CCT 30 - 38 [1-5]
Har 29 - 41 [1-5]
SLU 24 - 32 [1-6]
Qui 24 - 32 [1-7]
Dar 21 - 29 [4-7]
--- Home Eligible - 25 () ---
--- In - 19 () ---
RPI 16 - 24 [6-11]
Col 11 - 19 [7-12]
Pri 10 - 18 [7-12]
Yal 8 - 18 [7-12]
Bro 6 - 16 [7-12]
Uni 3 - 11 [8-12]
--- Out - 11 () ---

REMAINING SCHEDULE:
Har: (Yal-?), @Cor, @Col, (Bro-2/19), SLU, CCT
Cor: Har, Dar, @RPI, @Uni
CCT: Pri, Qui, @Dar, @Har
SLU: Qui, Pri, @Har, @Dar
Qui: @SLU, @CCT, @Yal, @Bro
Dar: @Col, @Cor, CCT, SLU
RPI: @Yal, @Bro, Cor, Col
Col: Dar, Har, @Uni, @RPI
Pri: @CCT, @SLU, @Bro, @Yal
Yal: (@Har-?), RPI, Uni, Qui, Pri
Bro: Uni, RPI, (@Har-2/19), Pri, Qui
Uni: @Bro, @Yal, Col, Cor

TIEBREAKS OWNED:
Har: Qui, Dar, RPI, Pri, Uni
Cor: SLU, Col, Yal, Bro
CCT: Yal, Bro, RPI, Uni
SLU: Col, Yal, Bro, Uni, RPI
Qui: RPI, Pri, Uni
Dar: Pri, Uni, Bro, Yal
RPI: Dar, Uni
Col: Pri
Pri: Uni
Yal: Col
Bro:
Uni:

Dartmouth's now in.